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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 17 (KCN7)

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131.57 -0.45    -0.34%
12:24:55 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 132.02
  • Open: 132.12
  • Day's Range: 130.55 - 132.32
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US Coffee C 131.57 -0.45 -0.34%

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

 
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All Comments (3335)
Max Mars
Max Mars 10 minutes ago
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oh oh.....i m tempted to buy some coffee around 125$ but i m sure its too early...lol.
BK Nielsen
Viking 19 hours ago
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So, "double bottom" should be in, may reverse now.
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri 21 hours ago
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Big battle around 133..though big sell off in sugar and cocoa , coffee is strong today
bidhan patel
bidhan patel 23 hours ago
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Stay away.......
bidhan patel
bidhan patel 23 hours ago
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It's bull trap.........
jibreel algeria
jibreelalgeria Apr 24, 2017 9:56AM GMT
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sherif iv revised short term target to 135.10 from 135.50. we will dispose our 131.80 contracts at 135.00 while we still hold our core position longs. good luck all. but mind you we are july contract, in 2 months prices will not be under 1.30 a pound. so make sure you have a core position.
Sherif Salah
Sherif Salah Apr 24, 2017 11:45AM GMT
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thanks for your value advice
Sherif Salah
Sherif Salah 20 hours ago
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it hit my SL. :-(
Girish pillai
Girish pillai 2 minutes ago
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Hi are u guys still holding ur coffee positions from 131.80....??or have you squared off..Jibreel
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 24, 2017 9:49AM GMT
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Looking at potential ideas and based on the gap at 132.80 on the 5min chart, anticipating potential inverse H&S pattern, with right shoulder forming at the 61.8 retracement.
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL 21 hours ago
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Come on lets break that neck line
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 23, 2017 7:47PM GMT
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Only technical approach is not enough to be safe here..what big guys think is the only truth..they draw the lines not us..We should follow the trend and the cycles
Marcin Andraka
Martinezzz Apr 23, 2017 7:50PM GMT
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What do You expect now?
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 24, 2017 8:46AM GMT
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Short term, under 136 down trend dominates from the graph; sellers seem to be stronger..but I try to look at longer term..it is quite hard to trade daily..I advise to take core position long term..and trade with the minimum position for the short term
Marcin Andraka
Martinezzz Apr 23, 2017 7:39PM GMT
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I think everyone see this head and shoulder pattern so it's too easy to be realize. Everythink is possible and still we can see 155. So MABL don't be so sure of your analysis because it can change very fast.
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 23, 2017 11:16PM GMT
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Lol, i'm not so sure of my analysis, thats the difference im open to the market changing and turning higher, hence the bullish alternative chart, but it has to show me first. I simply trade what is in front of me, thats the beauty of technical trading it takes the deep thinking out of it. i still just struggle to see as a technical trader you was unable to see ANY bearish signals. Best of luck to you sir
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 1:17PM GMT
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Not my preference but potentially one for the bulls here, trade what you see
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 12:54PM GMT
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Haha what a mess, but trend line touches galore, so you get my point, just in case anyone doubts the power of parallel trendline analysis
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 12:24PM GMT
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Potential idea i will be looking at for the week ahead
Zoran Trivunović
Zoran Trivunović Apr 23, 2017 10:35AM GMT
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This is very interesting. Because of bull clothing I will try to catch this linear forecast. Up on 135-136. And then short on 137.50 until 125. Let'S see.
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 11:32AM GMT
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Trade what you see people and right now this is valid. Trading based on an El Nino is pure gambling. Good luck all
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 22, 2017 10:58AM GMT
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Tax reform is on the pipeline..reflation trades boost coffee prices..El Nino, drought also support..
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 22, 2017 10:53AM GMT
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As you remember coffee welcomed at 175-180 levels Trump due to reflation,high growth expectations..however it has been full disappointment till now since he couldnt meet any expectation..Tax reform and other economic reforms are on the pipeline as I have read recently..other than oversupply concerns if reflation trades start I am sure that coffee will boost from these levels..drought, El Nino and harvest must be closely watched..The most important indicator is Trump and reflation..
jibreel algeria
jibreelalgeria Apr 21, 2017 4:45PM GMT
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132.10 weekly support we need a close above 132.20 imo
Show previous replies (2)
jibreel algeria
jibreelalgeria Apr 21, 2017 6:51PM GMT
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Sherif i expect a gap up. Believe it or not that was a bullish close. We closed above weekly support and we tested weekly support. Target should be 135.50, a break above 135.50 next target is 139.00
Sherif Salah
Sherif Salah Apr 21, 2017 9:37PM GMT
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thank you so much , really i respect you.
BK Nielsen
Viking Apr 21, 2017 11:47PM GMT
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Agree. I see upward movement till mid-year approx @ 150 then downward movement to 120-area close to year end before major move up.
jibreel algeria
jibreelalgeria Apr 22, 2017 11:01AM GMT
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Happy trading sherif. Thank you.
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 22, 2017 11:01AM GMT
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Tax reform is on the pipeline..if it passes it will boost coffee prices..as u remmember trump was welcomed at 175-180 levels due to reflation trades..Till now it has been disappointment but worst is over depending on economic reforms
bidhan patel
bidhan patel Apr 21, 2017 4:35PM GMT
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Don't long now Wait till end of month , better entry level...........
Oktay KARADENİZ
Oktay KARADENİZ Apr 21, 2017 2:40PM GMT
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90$ coming very soon :)) lol
Glenn Herwig
Glenn Herwig Apr 21, 2017 2:53PM GMT
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Where are you getting that number from? I think the lowest is 115ish area 10 yr chart looks like we could head higher
jibreel algeria
jibreelalgeria Apr 21, 2017 4:43PM GMT
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oktay stick to currencies, this isnt the board you want to be on
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 11:22AM GMT
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Glenn we have now broken the neckline of the potential head and shoulder pattern that targets the 90ish level. I would be surprised to see that play out down to those low levels but it cannot be ignored. Only a big reversal back above there negates this.
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 21, 2017 2:38PM GMT
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For the previous contract unfortunately under 133 it may fall till 118-120 levels..free fall ..because I dont see any support..hedge funds move in short..
BK Nielsen
Viking Apr 21, 2017 1:10PM GMT
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Time to long for bounce here.
bidhan patel
bidhan patel Apr 21, 2017 12:44PM GMT
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More downside coming , 125.
BK Nielsen
Viking Apr 21, 2017 1:14PM GMT
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Lol, not today. After 5 % fall it is likely with bounce ;)
Uncle Murda
Uncle Murda Apr 21, 2017 1:32PM GMT
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yes... 2 days with -5% is enough.. 3rd day in a row is not needed
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 21, 2017 9:36AM GMT
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Well i said i'd come back when coffee dumps,lol this was just priceless. Remember this chart, that i posted back on the 7th April, just beautiful..... I wish i could of seen Emres and Martinezs little faces when this was up at 145, i even said there was a gap up at 144.50 to be filled, i hope some traded bearing this in mind. Please people stop believing this constant biased Bullish rhetoric from the known few on this board, the chart was absolutely littered with multiple multiple bearish signals.......Be long, be short, but be open to the possibilities, rather than saying this has to be bullish because of xyz....... As i stated on the 7th i have now bought a small position as a hedge as it has come into trend line support. Trade what you see and if this drastically reverses today then wait for the close and trade it but until then its clear to see that this chart is bearish...... Please see my other previous charts for where i believe this could be heading and good luck
Uncle Murda
Uncle Murda Apr 21, 2017 10:04AM GMT
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ok.. i got that you're bragging for your forecast being on point.. HOWEVER, where is the substance for the current situation: if we today close is green, this is a sing of reversal and will spark another small rally? is this what u sayn? cos to me this could be more of a sideways, range-bound, consolidation type of period and probably then we gonna reverse... I didn't see this strong jump back to the markets, that buyers were supposed to deliver. I am trading the May contract and there the price is with nearly 4 dollars below... So to me the level of 131 is interesting and thats why i did open a long position... Lets see the outcome....
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 11:13AM GMT
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The substance is in the chart, we've now broken the neckline of a potential head and shoulder pattern that now has to be respected until it breaks back above. Theres also the potential AB=CD pattern which again points lower and the overall bearish long term wedge pattern that we are currently in, the 55EMA crossing the 200EMA, all of which i have stated in my previous posted charts. Theres a gap down at 115ish, which is more likely to be filled before the one at 208 and again also fits in with the chart pattern. Its insane the amount of bearish signals. Day after day people post on here about it cant go much lower, even now they dont wanna see where this could go..
Matt Blinkhorne
MABL Apr 22, 2017 11:14AM GMT
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I merely trade the technicals but even the statement from ICO about US having stock levels not seen since May 2003 when the price was at the 60 level has to be taken into consideration as a potential for lower levels.....I've said many times im long term bullish, but the chart doesn't validate being so right now and a big reversal would need to occur in order for this to change, at which point i will gladly accept my thoughts were wrong and go long. Trade what you see.
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 20, 2017 9:38PM GMT
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Drastic sell offs on all ags. Under 136 algo stops worked I think..El Nino probable in near future may reverse the trend
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 20, 2017 9:48PM GMT
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Actually 136 was for previous contract..roll over cost makes it about 138.5 for the current one..It was critical but broken down rapidly for now..as I've read oversupply triggers but I still dont agree with this..
Uncle Murda
Uncle Murda Apr 21, 2017 7:59AM GMT
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So what is the probability of this drop to continue - what is the max downside ($125 - $110)? Could someone share some more fundamentals... Thanks
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 21, 2017 9:50AM GMT
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First support 120-125 then stronger one 110-115 ..I dont expect these levels..cocoa drags down coffee I think because there has been highest harvest for more than 10 years in cocoa..hedge funds open short in ags
Uncle Murda
Uncle Murda Apr 21, 2017 10:10AM GMT
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I also dont expect to fall below 130, but i dont follow fundamentals, so i just guess here :) My only believe is that in the very short future, this should make a correction of 2-3% and then retest the support from last the last 2 sessions
Emre Ileri
Emre Ileri Apr 21, 2017 11:20AM GMT
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Hedge funds short on oversupply concerns in ags especially in cocoa. Coffee Critical supports are 120-125 and stronger levels are 110-115..Droughts and El Nino may reverse the trend in following period..I dont expect short cycle to last long term..
Zoran Trivunović
Zoran Trivunović Apr 20, 2017 5:56PM GMT
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2. ****scene :) keep Calm people we are not done yet.
Max Mars
Max Mars Apr 20, 2017 5:42PM GMT
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Oh oh....as I wrote time ago not a big deal goin long on coffee...big ones will start buyin from 110$
Glenn Herwig
Glenn Herwig Apr 20, 2017 6:57PM GMT
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I'm holding on to the coffee etf should I sell it I'm down 10%
adi hashi
adi hashi Apr 21, 2017 8:49AM GMT
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Which etf do u hold?
Glenn Herwig
Glenn Herwig Apr 21, 2017 1:20PM GMT
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JO
 
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