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US Coffee C (KCZ6)

Real-time derived
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KC·Derived·USD
KC!·ICE·USD
KCc1·ICE·USD
KCc2·ICE·USD
KCc3·ICE·USD
KCc4·ICE·USD
KCc5·ICE·USD
KCc6·ICE·USD
KCc7·ICE·USD
Currency in USD
316.15
0.00(0.00%)
Real-time Data·

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Coffee KC are you ok? Making tons on dollars with this decreasing market? Im still alive
Interesting comments from Maja: 1) warehouses in SDM she visited are not very full :); 2) from the coffee that is still arriving quite some percentage is not getting accepted because of the quality issues. Thus, the information about warehouses not accepting coffee that was distributing in the end of the harvest could be true but related not to the absence of space but the beans quality :):):). It would fit perfectly the context :):):)...
Sane in every where
Same in every warehouses, the problem on the perception of full em warehouses is because in the past was burlap bags with 60 kgs, now there are big bags, 30% less capacity.
If to consider that about 10% is complete loss/very bad quality it becomes clear why CONAB has increased A production: it just laughed as it knew that it's not gonna produce a long lasting effect :):):).
Frank. What was the gap range you mentioned?
does 318.15 fill the gap? Ha
No
No because the line says it will definitely almost maybe go past 318.736383 if it already goes past that number for 1.2843 seconds.
more pending coffee from Brazil overnight. will be red day.
Maybe
People know something you still dont know…
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all went silent
On the way to 500 by july! All news from now on is Brasil Big crop… Yes! But not enough to fill pipeline and build buffer - abundance would have to bring ICE certified stock back to 4-5M bags… and its still under 250K not even a day of global arabica roasting demand…
Maja is in Brazil. First impressions: 1) loss on rains about 1 - 2 mb :) or a bit bigger; 2) very real quality loss in relation to export; 3) no amazing uniform widespread flowering. :). Score update: 2 : 1.
Yes for me Is horrible, bur some European Eastern countries love it
Any coffee find a market!
I have to agree. This is the coffee KC was hoping for at 150 :)
Coffee prices fell sharply on Thursday, with robusta posting a 2-week low. Beneficial growing conditions in Brazil and Vietnam are negative for coffee prices.  Above-normal rainfall in Brazil during the now critical flowering stage may benefit next year’s 2026/27 coffee harvest, a bearish factor for prices.  Somar Meteorologia reported last Monday that 33.3 mm of rain, or 104% of the historical average, fell in Brazil's Minas Gerais, the country's main arabica-coffee growing region, in the week ended October 4.  In Vietnam, forecaster Vaisala said recent abundant rains have improved soil moisture levels and should aid cherry development in Vietnam’s Central Highlands, the country’s largest coffee-producing region. 
or maybe because of the outstanding flowering?
Looking at 500 by july next year
Hey Cooffee KC can you tell us what is happening?
October 2026 - 10/14/2026 - Volume 2,212,584 +34.7 pct ; Shipment 1,645,592 +63.0 pct
Too much coffee Elmut, it is why it is already 1.30; the way you predicted
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Bruno O Souza the more he brags the worse it gets
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ICE certs on rise again.
There is no law that every gap has to be filled. Some gaps are never filled, some - much much later ...
Apparently
On the way
Neither one Brazilian talks about the magnificent flowering and perfect weather for coffee fruit development.
It us why the market is going down, because everybody knows that new harvest will be very big and talk about it but Brazilians…..
"Fruit development." Hurry up and delete that while there's still time.
Which months carry the highest el nino risk?
what is happening now to affect upcoming crop is the question.
don’t think that it is already showing with KC, very big harvest almost 4 million + bags exported in September and the price around 3 dollars per pound, the retoric that proucers holding stocks is not true other wise how could be breaking records in exports?
the market is down 25% yoy. Is 295 - 300 too high or two low for you? Your comments suggest both.
Sep has shown good export numbers: 3.93mb, 20% more vs 2025 and second largest for Sep, with 2024 being the champion :) ! What this information would imply, if to look in a simple way ? 1) Brazilian producers sell coffee with no problem (no greedy producers have been detected :) ). 2) Importers are ... very interested in coffee for current price :), otherwise why record number :) ? 3) 2025 was indeed a production issue season. Thus, besides the weather :) all eyes at the ICE and how many bags will get certified till the end of the year :). (We remember very well that only :) Olam and LDC alone should send 500k bags :)...)
(There are rumors about some quality issues in relation to A. While there is no doubt that this coffee will be consumed domestically or blended anyway, if true - it will get visible via ICE passing rate, at least to some extent... )
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Down
Black Crows --- Helmut: 1 : 0. :):):)
Score update: 1 : 1. Game in progress :).
Will update the score tomorrow after the close :).
The score remains 1:1. We'll see if 280 will give up next week or 300 will give up :)...
Above 3.00 in october, is it because the biggest harvest ever? Or I am Missing something
what Yolanda said.
Just because they are distributing the excess at higher rate to smart investors
can go to any way, the producer doesnt have the capacity to move the market up, otherwise we would never have the coffee bellow 1 dollar for so long, what i want to say is the price went high not because producer work but because has no coffee left in stocks, the producers are having harvest issues since 2021, this is what move the market, 10 millions bags left over is nothing(enough only for 3 weeks world consumption), any climate problem ……
What is happening Coffee kC? too much coffee available?
each does what can do you for instance always BS around
you should visit Brasil maybe you can lear sonething, even if i doubt it
And Colombia too.
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Considering all the comments and the current market behaviour, I think the key question now is whether Coffee C can remain at relatively high levels until the end of the year. We have several bearish factors on the table: expectations of a larger Brazilian crop, strong availability, good export flows and the possibility of additional coffee being certified against ICE. Normally, this combination should put significant pressure on prices. However, what I find interesting is that, despite all these bearish arguments, the market is still showing considerable resistance and buyers seem to appear whenever prices move lower. Could this mean that most of the bearish fundamentals are already priced in? Do you think the market can hold around these relatively high levels through November/December, or do you expect increasing physical availability and ICE stocks to eventually push Coffee C significantly lower before the end of the year? I would be interested to hear the views of both bulls and bears, especially from those following the physical market closely.
none is all paper but its going to 5
it proves the pipeline is empty all the phisical is already moving, not enough surpluss to go back to 5Mish bags on ICE - all coffee will be gone before the next harvest arrives
Nothing goes through ICE but it’s an accurate data set to determine physical global supply?
$240-$309 Oct Prices Expectations
No, $239 to $310
Yesterday it touched 309.
https://invst.ly/1k6-v2 - We like the chart - BIG time. 304 is a no brainer to test the MA50 & MA200. "IF" it breaks through, I would not prefer to be on the short side ( Check COT report ). It should go direct to 325 - non-stop. GL to all. 6 contracts now - and will not add more to the winner, until close & conformation above 305.
The only driver Is the small gap in the area 320 and the possibility to delivery around that level
hmmm. stopped out at 292
Back from vacay - enjoyed all the coffee profits - looking for 5ish by July next year ;) - for now more horizontal chopping on a slight upward trending support
hello ,from which country do you buy your coffee from ?
Trade the market - coffee coffee - i think no coffee just paper 🤷🏻‍♀️ evethything is the same, that is why commodity - but if you know where its going, there are profits to make! 5ish next year!
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its a little odd... it reacts up with 10Y yield.
Forget old tools & systematics....SI vs SI
WOW! Nice Whiplash!
yes, but hold your horses. Its testing 50% on the Fibonacci exactly here around 289. Green light if it closes above 292
Wheatowmaker again I guess it closes above 292 TODAY...
So what's the call for tomorrow? more up or back down? It would be nice to hear some comments with justification for your chosen direction.
I'll go first: Today's +3.5% move was strong and closed near the upper end of the session rather than giving the rally back. It also pushed KCZ26 through the 200-day moving average, which should attract momentum buying and put more pressure on shorts. For that reason, I expect UP first, with 292–293 the key test. If we break and hold above that, 300 becomes the next target. If rejected, I expect a pullback into the 280–285 zone.
wait for the confirmation of MA50 break through MA200, then buy. It's the way to increase your possibilities. I have been swing trading for many years, and it's not every day I see such a clear sky. We hit and rebounded precisely on the trendline. We got the breakout yesterday. Now we need the last indicator to be confirmed. I have 4 contracts so far, first two bought at 274. I will add to winner at 294, 302 and 308
If you are short here... better keep an eye to the MA50, what it does to the the MA200. To me, it looks like a golden cross forming. Just say... ( again.. don't kill the messenger)
Just curious. What time frame are you talking about and what type of MA? Simple. Smoothed, Exponential, etc...
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