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ICE US Coffee C Futures - Dec 25 (KCc5)

ICE
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KCDerivedUSD
KCc1ICEUSD
KCc2ICEUSD
KCc3ICEUSD
KCc4ICEUSD
KCc5ICEUSD
KCc6ICEUSD
KCc7ICEUSD
Currency in USD
353.85
-6.05(-1.68%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Wow, Orange juice fell even 10% more!
The bulls were drowned in the rain from the forecast. May they rest in peace.
Inmet shows Varginha station is getting some drizzle :).
at Espersnca farm yesterday we had 22 mmm
Yes, there was glitch in my system :(:(:(. Caldas shows 21.2mm accumulated from 10th to 14th (till now). Kind apologies !!! :)
(As example, Inmet shows monthly accumulated for Bambui (A565): Jan - 260.4mm, Feb - 49.2mm, March till now - 4.2mm.) :).
Inmet shows Varginha station is getting some drizzle :).
Inverted cup & handle in the making
I saw lines going down then up… it means something?
Think we do not talk abt. the same
As mentioned Yesterday 372 area could becl Dangerous for the longs
Hopefully the huge amount of rain this week and upcoming weeks will help the soil moisture levels! :) thank god Brazil didn't catch fire.
last forecast, does not show rain for state sao paulo and minas
Beside those weather models. Check soil moisture levels;)
With those temperatures, it will take lots of rain to make the difference.
May you tell city/region?
Don't be shy...
Common sense is often quite beneficial. Example 1: the comparison of the prices for a roasted whole/ground pound of coffee beans in 1975 and consumption in 1975 in US vs the same in 2024 provides valuable information about price and consumption trends and the correlation of those. Example 2: 10gm of coffee, taken from 340gm pack, purchased for $5 for a home consumption gives a price of 15c per cup. 10gm from the same pack for $7 gives a price of 21c per cup. Thus, 6c per cup increase for home consumption will stop people drinking coffee at home ? :):):). Example 3: Inmet has daily and monthly precipitation data for each station it deals with, it shows exact number that was accumulated within that period, no guesses are needed. But as Rodrigo and Bruno mentioned many many times, station may get 2mm and the farm 50km away from the station may get nothing. Because POTENTIAL rain is not ALWAYS rain at all and micro climate matters. A big wide front is a different story... So, forecasts have to be viewed correctly and the data about retail price per pack and consumption figure for a given year, etc may be derived online in a matter of few clicks.
Well, all depends on the goal. For specs the market is characterized by volume and volatility. For any intraday trader, the volatility in KC of 15 points on the volume of 20k is a ... blessed day by definition. :) A boring market would be 1 - 2 points volatility on low volume. :)
Obviously It depends of anyone Is able tò participate in the Swift accelereted movements. But since I think that futures should be more linked tò the physical and dedicates tò traders / origins and industry I think ( and this Is my personal opinion ) that It Is a boring market. Take a look at the current volumes and not the ones of the end of the day when especially in the last 2 hours the volumes increase for the match of the operativity previous mentioned. And I let anybody tò have hid proper opinion and I Will not continue in this back and forth Exchange of opinion
Frank, thank you very much for your comments !
Next 10 days every day will rain in Varginha and all MG. Welcome rain
Why has he been saying this since September?
5 hours driving with zero rain, hearing some thunders now in Alfenas
Thunders are gone and no one drop of rain in Alfenas today,
Latest pole on some EU markets show that 59pct consumers stopped or will stop drinking coffee, 24 pct will decrease drinking coffee abd abt 17 pct will go on drinking coffee in HORECA, because of high or more higher prices. And of course there are some fairytales that some drink 2 litre coffee since its 5th year hahahahahha what a plonker
It is what you are talking since August, the nonsense German-Russian American
There is something strange going on. All analysts are silent and haven't said any word on coffee for about a week. ???!!!!
?????
Why shoul matter for you the price, you dont even drink coffee anymore. Let me guess, you are just a speculator whom doesnt kniw norhing about coffee at all.
Inventory +10k again and a yellow alert for rainstorms tonight and tomorrow! Perfect for the soil and berries
The weather ship has sailed long gone. Rains now won’t help in the current crop maybe minimise the damage for 2026-27.
Yes because trees have put a veto on water usage for development of its beans and leafs hahahahhaha
Looks like staff from NOAA weather ship has been fired.
Boring market. Specs play alone option and arbitrage. Trade and industry absent
In your opinion, what percentage of this market are the specs ? :)
50% the rest traders that are able tò afford hedge positions and very few origins participating
:):):)
Ro AI, I'm checking on NOAA precipitation for yesterday, I'm trying hard, but I don't see anywhere the 10-20mm you predicted? In fact, most areas didn't get any rain at all, or less than 5mm fell.
UFO City got 20mmm;)
Noe to 4.03/5
cherries+rains & flowers.
Why ? Explain more ...
He wants to sell there
Below 372 could be a Dangerous area for the longs
Really? Can we test it?
buy and be happy, dont worry about weather or crop size, just buy it. Huge inflation in the world, it not about coffeee pleople
Orange juice fell 50% due to Brazils weather ;)
How much metric tons you have already stored in anticipation of the rising prices?
According to every weather station, A yellow alert has been given out due to heavy rains in the area of the Minas Gerais coffee fields!
You can observe panoramic cameras from a peak known for free flight here in the region. You can even observe the city you have mentioned lately (they never let me).
:):):)
it is strange that administrators accept so much nonsense here and block info that could add knowledge to the forum
week 420!
is it a buy or sell pls
I have had less than 10 cups of coffee in my lifetime, cause coffee can be addictive, harmful to the brain, and it leaves nasty stains on teeth.
yes we beed rain in order to coffee beans finish developing
im doing the last fertilization
One interesting thing here is; how someone that drinked in his whoke life less than 10 cups of coffee can talk about people stoping drinking coffee? Isnt ridiculous?
Keep in mind 12-03-2024 inventory 450k bags. Price $195,40. 12-03-2025 inventory 794k bags. Price $386.45
by the way, send me your address on pricate abd will sebd you Esperanca coffee roasted by Academia do Cafe
794k still better than 450k! :)
stil …..
Worth noting before harvest will start :), all in USDA terms: 1) 2018 record ON A crop was 48.2mb, it was followed by 2019 OFF which was 42mb, diff was roughly 13%, perfectly normal, diff to 20% would be normal; 2) 2020 A ON crop was 49.7mb (New Record !) but next A 2021 OFF crop was ... 36.4mb on ... drought + OFF, diff = 27%, 27% - 13% (ON/OF 18/19) = 14% on drought; 3) 2023 A OFF crop was a record OFF crop of 44.9mb and following ON/OF 18/19 ratio, it should point to ... some expansion/intensive management that took place to capitalize on prices and to ... (!!!) upcoming 2024 A ON crop of roughly 51.5mb and would be a new record; 4) however, instead on high temps and dry spells 2024 came out as 45.4mb what is roughly ... 12 percent diff and it is a bit below the percentage that was attributed to drought effect on 2021 crop, thus nothing out of norm; 5) basing on virtual 51.5mb for ON 2024, 40mb for OFF 2025 historically would be nothing strange just on ON/OFF basis, on 18/19 ratio it would be about 44.8mb or roughly same as in 2023, all other factors being stable.
I think that farmers have not waited tò longo for appropriate steps. we should start to recognize their professionality both when market Is low and also when market Is higher
Hello Viriato. Producers should keep track of soil temperatures. If it's too hot, microorganisms die off and it will take a while to recover. Roots take about two weeks to recover. Another thing is that when it's too hot, soil looses about 5 to 7 mm of water everyday. Plantations may need lots of rain to recover.
I know as I follow science :). I'm sure producers do what they can but the instrument is limited when the weather does not cooperate :). Specs wise, as you see, not much people believe in the effect of high temps and solar on coffee trees :):):). As many do not see the difference between the forecast and reality and do not believe local weather stations data :):):). The pest index has to be watched carefully as borers, mealybugs and mites more pronounced invasions :) would be very logical after all of those high temps and so on... higher elevations including :). And a specially for high end :) density farms.
Upcoming weather forecast looks very good for the poor dry hot, but yet freezing coffee plants! :)
this is what i meant, one more zero, sorry, its because i said uau, 20 mmm is nothing in two days, yesterday we had 18 mmm at the farm but if do not continues …..
im reporting from the field, i live in Brasil and travel to a lot of coffee regions, actually i do not use facebook, today we have a student from Amsterdam in our coffee class
im arguing from the field, dont use facebook at all
...
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