Bonds Analysis & Opinion

It’s been an ugly few years for U.S. Treasury bonds. T-bond prices have dropped sharply as yields have risen. This has been an added pressure on retirement portfolios, as treasury bonds are no longer...

In normal times, stocks and bonds are negatively correlated—that is when stock prices tank, bond prices rise (and yields, which move inversely to prices, go down). The idea is that investors selling...

Up, down, up, down—US Treasury yields are bouncing around as investors try to balance worries about inflation with concern about a global economic slowdown, or even a recession. Good news, bad...

Fixed income showed some of its traditional diversification edge last week as selling took a toll elsewhere for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (May...

For the first time in 11 months, the US Treasury 10-year yield is above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value model estimate of the benchmark rate. That doesn’t ensure that the 10-year yield...

Bond investors are confused—and no wonder. Central bank officials keep telling them to ignore the evidence in front of their eyes. They are supposed to believe that inflation, which has been surging...

Treasury Yields and the Long-Term Rate of Inflation: A lot of people have gotten excited about the surge in annual inflation rates, but in my view it’s arguably more interesting to look at the...

U.S. Treasury investors are on a roller coaster as yields climbed on interest-rate fears and then plunged on growth worries. Remarks last week by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell about more...

Bond yields are rising at a historic pace putting the 40-year bull market in bonds into question. What should conservative investors be doing given their bonds are no longer providing them the...

It’s been a crazy past couple of years for the 10-year U.S. treasury bond yields and interest rates. The crazy extremes have seen rates fall to near zero and jump back up near 3%. We can see this in...

Does a risk-free bond with a seven percent yield interest you? If so, read more about the red-headed stepchild of the bond world that is finally attracting investors. Series I Bonds (I-bonds) are...

On April 14, as 10-year yield spiked to a new multi-year high at 2.84%, I cautioned MPTrader members about possible near-term upside exhaustion. Daily momentum remained well below the previous day's...

Anyone who has their head screwed on straight is now likely really afraid of inflation. And soaring Treasury yields clearly reflect that fear. The US consumer price index for March rose 8.5% on the...

This post was first published at TopDown Charts Global bond yields breakout to fresh 7-year highs as market participants expect upwards of 250bps of Fed rate hikes in 2022 US fixed income fund flows...