Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Speculators in Treasury futures are currently holding record short positions on longer term bonds, ahead of next month's FOMC meeting, betting on continued rate hikes as well as the US economy easing...

The commitment of traders report shows Treasury bears are record short 10-year Treasury futures. They will cover. The Treasury bears will cover, but at what price? That's an unknown, but we can see...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large treasury bond speculators sharply boosted their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

Bund minor resistance at 163.60/55 but above 163.70 retests trend line resistance at 163.84/86. A break above 163.97/164.02 tests the May high at 164.15/19. Holding 163.60/55 retests strong support...

Recently my firm replaced all of our short-term bond exchange-traded funds with U.S. Treasury bills. The core motive for this decision was not to pick up a few points of extra yield, though...

Bund holds trend line resistance at 163.84/86 where a high for the day was expected. If we unexpectedly continue higher look for a test of 163.97/164.02 before the May high at 164.15/19. Failure to...

Above compares the PIMCO High Yield A to the S&P 500 over the past 20-years. Junk bonds diverged from the S&P 500 for nearly 24-months, prior to stocks peaking in 2000. Junk bonds diverged...

As I tweeted out last night, I spent the entire weekend putting the finishing touches on my latest book, and I am tremendously proud of it. I will be telling you about it (and how to get it) here on...

US 10 Year Note Futures Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators decreased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

The trend for interest rates over the past couple of years is clearly higher, as yields have risen sharply. The United States 10-Year trend over the past 6 years is flat and the same can be said for...

Economists are expecting that US consumer inflation will hold steady in tomorrow’s July update while Fed funds futures are pricing in another rate hike at next month Federal Reserve meeting. Yet...

Michael Lebowitz previously penned an article entitled “Face Off” discussing the message from the bond market as it relates to the stock market and the economy. To wit: “There is a...

Italy's 10-Year bond yield surged around the Italian election. There's heavy issuance in Sept and ECB tapering in Oct. The yield on Italian bonds surged in May on the victory of the League- and Five...

The US yield curve, as indicated by the spread between the 10-year and 2-year T-Note yields, made a new 10-year extreme over the past fortnight, meaning that it recently became the...