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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Nov 01, 2017 02:00PM ET

1 Weeks 2 Days 20 Hours 51 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Nov 01, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.840
1.00 - 1.25
97.9%
1.25 - 1.50
2.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 97.9% 97.9% 100.0%
1.25 - 1.50 2.1% 2.1%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 13, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.730
1.00 - 1.25
6.9%
1.25 - 1.50
91.2%
1.50 - 1.75
1.9%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 6.9% 11.9% 17.3%
1.25 - 1.50 91.2% 86.3% 82.7%
1.50 - 1.75 1.9% 1.8%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 31, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.640
1.00 - 1.25
6.4%
1.25 - 1.50
86.0%
1.50 - 1.75
7.5%
1.75 - 2.00
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 6.4% 11.2% 16.3%
1.25 - 1.50 86.0% 81.7% 78.6%
1.50 - 1.75 7.5% 7.1% 5.1%
1.75 - 2.00 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 21, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.590
1.00 - 1.25
3.9%
1.25 - 1.50
54.6%
1.50 - 1.75
38.4%
1.75 - 2.00
3.0%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 3.9% 7.4% 11.7%
1.25 - 1.50 54.6% 57.8% 61.0%
1.50 - 1.75 38.4% 32.3% 25.8%
1.75 - 2.00 3.0% 2.5% 1.4%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: May 02, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.510
1.00 - 1.25
3.7%
1.25 - 1.50
51.5%
1.50 - 1.75
39.4%
1.75 - 2.00
5.2%
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 3.7% 7.1% 11.0%
1.25 - 1.50 51.5% 55.7% 58.0%
1.50 - 1.75 39.4% 33.3% 28.0%
1.75 - 2.00 5.2% 3.7% 3.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 13, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.465
1.00 - 1.25
2.2%
1.25 - 1.50
32.3%
1.50 - 1.75
44.2%
1.75 - 2.00
18.9%
2.00 - 2.25
2.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 2.2% 5.0% 7.7%
1.25 - 1.50 32.3% 41.1% 43.9%
1.50 - 1.75 44.2% 40.1% 37.0%
1.75 - 2.00 18.9% 12.6% 10.5%
2.00 - 2.25 2.2% 1.2% 0.9%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Aug 01, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.415
1.00 - 1.25
2.1%
1.25 - 1.50
31.1%
1.50 - 1.75
43.8%
1.75 - 2.00
20.0%
2.00 - 2.25
2.9%
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 2.1% 4.7% 7.4%
1.25 - 1.50 31.1% 38.9% 42.4%
1.50 - 1.75 43.8% 40.1% 37.3%
1.75 - 2.00 20.0% 14.3% 11.6%
2.00 - 2.25 2.9% 1.9% 1.3%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00
Updated: Oct 21, 2017 12:39AM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Forex - USD/CAD Rises to 2-Week Highs after U.S. Data, Fed
Forex - USD/CAD Rises to 2-Week Highs after U.S. Data, Fed By Investing.com - Sep 21, 2017

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar rose to a two-week high against its Canadian counterpart on Thursday, supported by upbeat U.S. data and news of a potential rate hike by the Federal Reserve by the end ...

Analysis

Ashraf Laidi
Expect Headline-Heavy Finish To The Week By Ashraf Laidi - Oct 18, 2017

The Fed and NAFTA negotiations have stolen headlines for the past two days. We listen to what the market is saying. The US dollar was the top performer while the pound lagged. The China Party Congress...

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