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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Dec 19, 2018 02:00PM ET

4 Weeks 5 Days 4 Hours 6 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Dec 19, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.720
2.00 - 2.25
34.6%
2.25 - 2.50
65.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 34.6% 27.7% 20.8%
2.25 - 2.50 65.4% 72.3% 79.2%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Jan 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.625
2.00 - 2.25
33.1%
2.25 - 2.50
64.1%
2.50 - 2.75
2.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 33.1% 26.5% 19.4%
2.25 - 2.50 64.1% 70.4% 75.5%
2.50 - 2.75 2.8% 3.1% 5.1%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Mar 20, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.560
2.00 - 2.25
14.3%
2.25 - 2.50
46.5%
2.50 - 2.75
37.7%
2.75 - 3.00
1.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 14.3% 10.1% 6.4%
2.25 - 2.50 46.5% 43.2% 37.8%
2.50 - 2.75 37.7% 44.8% 52.4%
2.75 - 3.00 1.6% 1.9% 3.4%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: May 01, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.455
2.00 - 2.25
12.8%
2.25 - 2.50
43.2%
2.50 - 2.75
38.6%
2.75 - 3.00
5.3%
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 12.8% 9.0% 5.7%
2.25 - 2.50 43.2% 39.8% 34.6%
2.50 - 2.75 38.6% 44.7% 50.9%
2.75 - 3.00 5.3% 6.4% 8.5%
3.00 - 3.25 0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.420
2.00 - 2.25
8.1%
2.25 - 2.50
32.0%
2.50 - 2.75
40.2%
2.75 - 3.00
17.5%
3.00 - 3.25
2.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 8.1% 5.4% 2.5%
2.25 - 2.50 32.0% 27.5% 18.2%
2.50 - 2.75 40.2% 42.7% 41.6%
2.75 - 3.00 17.5% 21.7% 32.5%
3.00 - 3.25 2.1% 2.7% 5.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.365
2.00 - 2.25
7.3%
2.25 - 2.50
29.6%
2.50 - 2.75
39.4%
2.75 - 3.00
19.9%
3.00 - 3.25
3.7%
3.25 - 3.50
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 7.3% 4.9% 2.2%
2.25 - 2.50 29.6% 25.2% 16.3%
2.50 - 2.75 39.4% 41.1% 38.7%
2.75 - 3.00 19.9% 23.9% 33.6%
3.00 - 3.25 3.7% 4.6% 8.4%
3.25 - 3.50 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.320
2.00 - 2.25
5.9%
2.25 - 2.50
25.4%
2.50 - 2.75
37.6%
2.75 - 3.00
23.5%
3.00 - 3.25
6.6%
3.25 - 3.50
0.9%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 5.9% 3.7% 1.5%
2.25 - 2.50 25.4% 20.5% 11.7%
2.50 - 2.75 37.6% 37.4% 31.5%
2.75 - 3.00 23.5% 27.8% 35.3%
3.00 - 3.25 6.6% 9.1% 16.5%
3.25 - 3.50 0.9% 1.3% 3.2%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.295
2.00 - 2.25
5.4%
2.25 - 2.50
23.8%
2.50 - 2.75
36.5%
2.75 - 3.00
24.7%
3.00 - 3.25
8.1%
3.25 - 3.50
1.4%
3.50 - 3.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 5.4% 3.3% 1.3%
2.25 - 2.50 23.8% 18.7% 10.8%
2.50 - 2.75 36.5% 35.6% 29.8%
2.75 - 3.00 24.7% 28.9% 35.0%
3.00 - 3.25 8.1% 11.1% 18.1%
3.25 - 3.50 1.4% 2.2% 4.4%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.2% 0.5%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Nov 16, 2018 09:29AM EST

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Federal Reserve Keeps Rates Steady; Lines up December Hike
Federal Reserve Keeps Rates Steady; Lines up December Hike By Investing.com - Nov 08, 2018

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve left interest rates on hold Thursday, but delivered an upbeat assessment of the economy and labor market, reaffirming expectations for a December rate hike. The...

MarketPulse: DR Horton Hammered as Homebuilders Wobble
MarketPulse: DR Horton Hammered as Homebuilders Wobble By Investing.com - Nov 08, 2018

Investing.com – D.R. Horton's quarterly report and bearish outlook underscored the wobbly backdrop for U.S. housing activity, triggering a wave of selling across homebuilders. DR Horton...

Gold Prices Erase Post-Election Gains With Fed on Deck
Gold Prices Erase Post-Election Gains With Fed on Deck By Investing.com - Nov 08, 2018

Investing.com - Gold prices erased gains seen a day earlier when news that the Democrats had taken control of the House of Representatives, effectively creating a political gridlock in Congress, had...

Analysis

ORBEX
USD Soars As CPI Rises At Fastest Pace In 9 Months By ORBEX - Nov 15, 2018

The US dollar traded up to fresh 2018 highs this week following the release of the latest inflation data, which posted its biggest increase in nine months. Headline CPI inflation rose 2.5% year on...

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