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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 22, 2021 02:00PM ET

0 Weeks 4 Days 0 Hours 35 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Sep 22, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.920
0.00 - 0.25
83.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
16.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.25 - 0.00 16.7% 20.0% 16.7%
0.00 - 0.25 83.3% 80.0% 83.3%
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 03, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.915
0.00 - 0.25
81.9%
0.25 - 0.50
1.8%
-0.25 - 0.00
16.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.4%
-0.25 - 0.00 16.3% 21.3% 16.3%
0.00 - 0.25 81.9% 78.3% 81.9%
0.25 - 0.50 1.8% 1.8%
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 15, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 0.000
0.00 - 0.25
78.4%
-0.25 - 0.00
19.2%
0.25 - 0.50
1.7%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.7% 1.4%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 19.2% 23.8% 16.3%
0.00 - 0.25 78.4% 74.8% 81.9%
0.25 - 0.50 1.7% 1.8%
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 26, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.925
0.00 - 0.25
76.9%
0.25 - 0.50
3.6%
-0.25 - 0.00
18.8%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.7% 1.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 18.8% 23.3% 15.9%
0.00 - 0.25 76.9% 73.6% 80.3%
0.25 - 0.50 3.6% 1.9% 3.8%
0.50 - 0.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 16, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.920
0.00 - 0.25
76.9%
0.25 - 0.50
3.6%
-0.25 - 0.00
18.8%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.7% 1.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 18.8% 23.3% 15.9%
0.00 - 0.25 76.9% 73.6% 80.3%
0.25 - 0.50 3.6% 1.9% 3.8%
0.50 - 0.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: May 04, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.920
0.00 - 0.25
76.9%
0.25 - 0.50
3.6%
-0.25 - 0.00
18.8%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.7% 1.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 18.8% 23.3% 15.9%
0.00 - 0.25 76.9% 73.6% 80.3%
0.25 - 0.50 3.6% 1.9% 3.8%
0.50 - 0.75 0.0% 0.0%
0.75 - 1.00
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 15, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.910
0.00 - 0.25
71.9%
0.25 - 0.50
9.9%
0.50 - 0.75
0.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
17.2%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.6% 1.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 17.2% 22.3% 14.5%
0.00 - 0.25 71.9% 71.4% 74.8%
0.25 - 0.50 9.9% 4.9% 10.3%
0.50 - 0.75 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
0.75 - 1.00 0.0% 0.0%
1.00 - 1.25
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 27, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.900
0.00 - 0.25
68.0%
0.25 - 0.50
14.3%
0.50 - 0.75
1.0%
-0.25 - 0.00
16.0%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.6% 1.2%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 16.0% 20.8% 13.2%
0.00 - 0.25 68.0% 67.9% 69.0%
0.25 - 0.50 14.3% 9.7% 16.5%
0.50 - 0.75 1.0% 0.4% 1.3%
0.75 - 1.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.00 - 1.25 0.0% 0.0%
1.25 - 1.50
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 21, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.870
0.00 - 0.25
58.6%
0.25 - 0.50
24.0%
0.50 - 0.75
3.4%
0.75 - 1.00
0.2%
-0.25 - 0.00
13.2%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.5% 0.9%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 13.2% 16.1% 10.8%
0.00 - 0.25 58.6% 56.6% 59.0%
0.25 - 0.50 24.0% 23.7% 25.9%
0.50 - 0.75 3.4% 2.6% 4.0%
0.75 - 1.00 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
1.00 - 1.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 02, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.810
0.00 - 0.25
53.0%
0.25 - 0.50
28.3%
0.50 - 0.75
6.0%
0.75 - 1.00
0.6%
-0.25 - 0.00
11.7%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.4% 0.8%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 11.7% 14.5% 9.7%
0.00 - 0.25 53.0% 52.4% 54.0%
0.25 - 0.50 28.3% 27.1% 29.3%
0.50 - 0.75 6.0% 4.8% 6.3%
0.75 - 1.00 0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
1.00 - 1.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 14, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.760
0.00 - 0.25
37.2%
0.25 - 0.50
37.7%
0.50 - 0.75
14.5%
0.75 - 1.00
2.7%
1.00 - 1.25
0.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
7.4%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.3% 0.5%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 7.4% 8.6% 6.0%
0.00 - 0.25 37.2% 36.1% 37.1%
0.25 - 0.50 37.7% 37.9% 38.7%
0.50 - 0.75 14.5% 14.4% 15.1%
0.75 - 1.00 2.7% 2.3% 2.8%
1.00 - 1.25 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
1.25 - 1.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00
2.00 - 2.25
Updated: Sep 18, 2021 12:10AM EDT

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