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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Nov 08, 2018 01:00PM ET

2 Weeks 4 Days 15 Hours 8 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Nov 08, 2018 01:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.800
2.00 - 2.25
93.5%
2.25 - 2.50
6.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 93.5% 94.8% 97.4%
2.25 - 2.50 6.5% 5.2% 2.6%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 19, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.720
2.00 - 2.25
16.2%
2.25 - 2.50
78.4%
2.50 - 2.75
5.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 16.2% 16.4% 20.2%
2.25 - 2.50 78.4% 79.3% 77.7%
2.50 - 2.75 5.4% 4.3% 2.1%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.600
2.00 - 2.25
15.2%
2.25 - 2.50
74.4%
2.50 - 2.75
10.1%
2.75 - 3.00
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 15.2% 15.7% 19.4%
2.25 - 2.50 74.4% 76.6% 75.2%
2.50 - 2.75 10.1% 7.5% 5.3%
2.75 - 3.00 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 20, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.525
2.00 - 2.25
5.8%
2.25 - 2.50
37.7%
2.50 - 2.75
50.0%
2.75 - 3.00
6.4%
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 5.8% 6.0% 7.4%
2.25 - 2.50 37.7% 38.8% 40.6%
2.50 - 2.75 50.0% 50.3% 48.7%
2.75 - 3.00 6.4% 4.7% 3.3%
3.00 - 3.25 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: May 01, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.390
2.00 - 2.25
5.3%
2.25 - 2.50
35.0%
2.50 - 2.75
49.0%
2.75 - 3.00
10.0%
3.00 - 3.25
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 5.3% 5.5% 6.8%
2.25 - 2.50 35.0% 36.1% 37.9%
2.50 - 2.75 49.0% 49.4% 48.0%
2.75 - 3.00 10.0% 8.5% 7.1%
3.00 - 3.25 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.345
2.00 - 2.25
2.5%
2.25 - 2.50
19.2%
2.50 - 2.75
41.5%
2.75 - 3.00
30.8%
3.00 - 3.25
5.7%
3.25 - 3.50
0.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 2.5% 2.7% 3.2%
2.25 - 2.50 19.2% 20.8% 21.3%
2.50 - 2.75 41.5% 42.8% 42.6%
2.75 - 3.00 30.8% 28.9% 28.9%
3.00 - 3.25 5.7% 4.5% 3.9%
3.25 - 3.50 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.265
2.00 - 2.25
2.3%
2.25 - 2.50
17.8%
2.50 - 2.75
39.7%
2.75 - 3.00
31.7%
3.00 - 3.25
7.7%
3.25 - 3.50
0.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 2.3% 2.5% 3.0%
2.25 - 2.50 17.8% 19.3% 20.1%
2.50 - 2.75 39.7% 40.9% 41.3%
2.75 - 3.00 31.7% 30.1% 29.7%
3.00 - 3.25 7.7% 6.5% 5.5%
3.25 - 3.50 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.210
2.00 - 2.25
1.5%
2.25 - 2.50
12.8%
2.50 - 2.75
32.6%
2.75 - 3.00
34.2%
3.00 - 3.25
15.5%
3.25 - 3.50
3.1%
3.50 - 3.75
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 1.5% 1.7% 2.0%
2.25 - 2.50 12.8% 13.9% 14.6%
2.50 - 2.75 32.6% 34.0% 34.4%
2.75 - 3.00 34.2% 33.6% 33.5%
3.00 - 3.25 15.5% 14.1% 13.3%
3.25 - 3.50 3.1% 2.5% 2.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2019 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.160
2.00 - 2.25
1.4%
2.25 - 2.50
12.1%
2.50 - 2.75
31.3%
2.75 - 3.00
34.1%
3.00 - 3.25
16.7%
3.25 - 3.50
3.9%
3.50 - 3.75
0.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 1.4% 1.6% 1.9%
2.25 - 2.50 12.1% 13.1% 14.1%
2.50 - 2.75 31.3% 32.7% 33.6%
2.75 - 3.00 34.1% 33.6% 33.5%
3.00 - 3.25 16.7% 15.4% 14.2%
3.25 - 3.50 3.9% 3.3% 2.5%
3.50 - 3.75 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.25 - 4.50
Updated: Oct 20, 2018 12:39AM EDT

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