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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision May 03, 2017 02:00PM ET

0 Weeks 3 Days 10 Hours 54 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: May 03, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.095
0.75 - 1.00
95.7%
1.00 - 1.25
4.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 95.7% 95.7% 94.7%
1.00 - 1.25 4.3% 4.3% 5.3%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 14, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.005
0.75 - 1.00
34.9%
1.00 - 1.25
62.4%
1.25 - 1.50
2.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 34.9% 34.9% 54.6%
1.00 - 1.25 62.4% 62.4% 43.2%
1.25 - 1.50 2.7% 2.7% 2.3%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 26, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.930
0.75 - 1.00
31.4%
1.00 - 1.25
59.6%
1.25 - 1.50
8.6%
1.50 - 1.75
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 31.4% 30.6% 49.2%
1.00 - 1.25 59.6% 59.0% 44.3%
1.25 - 1.50 8.6% 10.1% 6.3%
1.50 - 1.75 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 20, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.875
0.75 - 1.00
19.4%
1.00 - 1.25
48.9%
1.25 - 1.50
28.1%
1.50 - 1.75
3.5%
1.75 - 2.00
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 19.4% 18.9% 33.1%
1.00 - 1.25 48.9% 48.1% 45.9%
1.25 - 1.50 28.1% 28.8% 18.8%
1.50 - 1.75 3.5% 4.1% 2.2%
1.75 - 2.00 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 01, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.795
0.75 - 1.00
19.0%
1.00 - 1.25
48.3%
1.25 - 1.50
28.5%
1.50 - 1.75
4.0%
1.75 - 2.00
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 19.0% 18.5% 32.4%
1.00 - 1.25 48.3% 47.5% 45.6%
1.25 - 1.50 28.5% 29.2% 19.3%
1.50 - 1.75 4.0% 4.6% 2.6%
1.75 - 2.00 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 13, 2017 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.765
0.75 - 1.00
15.3%
1.00 - 1.25
42.5%
1.25 - 1.50
32.4%
1.50 - 1.75
8.8%
1.75 - 2.00
0.9%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 15.3% 14.9% 26.0%
1.00 - 1.25 42.5% 41.8% 43.0%
1.25 - 1.50 32.4% 32.8% 24.5%
1.50 - 1.75 8.8% 9.4% 5.8%
1.75 - 2.00 0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 31, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.735
0.75 - 1.00
12.8%
1.00 - 1.25
38.0%
1.25 - 1.50
34.1%
1.50 - 1.75
12.7%
1.75 - 2.00
2.2%
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 12.8% 12.7% 22.8%
1.00 - 1.25 38.0% 37.9% 40.9%
1.25 - 1.50 34.1% 34.1% 26.8%
1.50 - 1.75 12.7% 12.8% 8.2%
1.75 - 2.00 2.2% 2.3% 1.2%
2.00 - 2.25 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75
Updated: Apr 29, 2017 12:39AM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

text
Gold prices edge lower but remain supported By Investing.com - Mar 17, 2017

Investing.com - Gold prices edged lower on Friday, but still remained close to two-week highs thanks to a weaker U.S. dollar and the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance at its latest policy ...

text
Forex - Dollar index edges back down to 1-month lows By Investing.com - Mar 16, 2017

Investing.com - The dollar edged back down to one-month lows against other major currencies on Thursday, despite the release of mostly positive U.S. data, as the dovish tone of the Federal ...

Analysis

Kathy Lien
3 Reasons Euro See-Sawed On ECB By Kathy Lien - Apr 27, 2017 4

By Kathy Lien, Managing Director of FX Strategy for BK Asset Management. It was no surprise that the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday. Investors were focused on ECB ...

Marc Chandler
Draghi Does Nothing And Talks About It By Marc Chandler - Apr 27, 2017 1

As widely expected, the ECB left its key rates and asset purchase plan intact. It reiterated its forward guidance that rates will remain at present levels or lower. Draghi was more confident about the...