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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 22, 2021 02:00PM ET

7 Weeks 0 Days 16 Hours 36 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Sep 22, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.910
0.00 - 0.25
93.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
6.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.2%
-0.25 - 0.00 6.7% 3.3% 8.7%
0.00 - 0.25 93.3% 96.7% 91.2%
Updated: Aug 03, 2021 08:10PM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 03, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.920
0.00 - 0.25
91.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
8.5%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-0.25 - 0.00 8.5% 3.3% 10.4%
0.00 - 0.25 91.3% 96.7% 89.2%
Updated: Aug 03, 2021 08:10PM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 15, 2021 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 99.920
0.00 - 0.25
91.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
8.5%
-0.50 - -0.25
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
-0.75 - -0.50 0.0%
-1.00 - -0.75
-0.25 - 0.00 8.5% 7.5% 10.4%
0.00 - 0.25 91.3% 92.4% 89.2%
Updated: Aug 03, 2021 08:10PM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Gold Down, Investors Look Ahead to Latest U.S. Jobs Report
Gold Down, Investors Look Ahead to Latest U.S. Jobs Report By Investing.com - Aug 02, 2021

By Gina Lee Investing.com – Gold was down on Monday morning in Asia, as the dollar hovered near a one-month low. The health of the U.S. labor market is also on investors' minds as they await the...

Analysis

Matthew Weller
Week Ahead: BOE, NFP, And FAAMG...Oh My! By Matthew Weller - Aug 01, 2021 1

There were two main highlights from last week: The Federal Reserve meeting and earnings reports from some of the planet’s most valuable companies. As we noted in our Fed recap, the central bank...

Kenny Fisher
Will GDP Rain On Canadian Dollar’s Parade? By Kenny Fisher - Jul 30, 2021

The Canadian dollar has enjoyed an excellent week, with gains of 1.0%. With key events on both sides of the border as we wrap up the week, we could see some strong movement from USD/CAD in the North...

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