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⚠ Q3 Earnings Alert! Plan early for this week’s stock reports with all key data in 1 place See list
Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
4
Weeks
0
Days
0
Hours
11
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.330
4.50 - 4.75
77.9%
4.75 - 5.00
22.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 28.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 77.9% | 77.6% | 71.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 22.1% | 22.4% | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.475
4.25 - 4.50
74.3%
4.50 - 4.75
24.7%
4.75 - 5.00
1.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | — | 11.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | 5.5% | 45.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 74.3% | 73.7% | 43.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 24.7% | 20.8% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 1.0% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.625
4.00 - 4.25
59.2%
4.25 - 4.50
34.7%
4.50 - 4.75
5.8%
4.75 - 5.00
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 2.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | — | — | 17.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | 4.1% | 45.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 59.2% | 56.9% | 35.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 34.7% | 33.9% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 5.8% | 5.1% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.2% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.890
3.75 - 4.00
42.7%
4.00 - 4.25
41.6%
4.25 - 4.50
13.9%
4.50 - 4.75
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 1.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 14.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | — | 2.6% | 40.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 42.7% | 37.9% | 36.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 41.6% | 42.1% | 6.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.9% | 15.5% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.8% | 1.8% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.1% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.025
3.50 - 3.75
25.6%
3.75 - 4.00
42.0%
4.00 - 4.25
25.0%
4.25 - 4.50
6.6%
4.50 - 4.75
0.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 1.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 11.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | 1.6% | 34.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 25.6% | 23.8% | 37.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 42.0% | 40.4% | 13.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 1.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 6.6% | 7.3% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.7% | 0.7% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.225
3.25 - 3.50
10.2%
3.50 - 3.75
32.1%
3.75 - 4.00
35.2%
4.00 - 4.25
17.7%
4.25 - 4.50
4.3%
4.50 - 4.75
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 0.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 5.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | 0.6% | 21.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 10.2% | 9.5% | 35.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 32.1% | 29.8% | 27.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 35.2% | 35.3% | 8.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 17.7% | 19.4% | 0.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 4.3% | 4.9% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.5% | 0.5% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.320
3.00 - 3.25
6.7%
3.25 - 3.50
24.7%
3.50 - 3.75
34.2%
3.75 - 4.00
23.6%
4.00 - 4.25
8.8%
4.25 - 4.50
1.8%
4.50 - 4.75
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | 0.4% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 4.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | 0.4% | 16.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 6.7% | 6.5% | 31.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.7% | 22.9% | 30.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 34.2% | 33.4% | 14.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 23.6% | 24.8% | 3.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 0.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.8% | 2.0% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Oct 10, 2024 01:25PM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
SNB cuts interest rates again; third consecutive reduction
By Investing.com - Sep 26, 2024
Investing.com - The Swiss National Bank cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.0% on Thursday, its third consecutive reduction. The Swiss central bank had been widely expected to ease...
Dollar continues to fall; euro near multi-month high
By Investing.com - Sep 25, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar weakened Wednesday, adding to the previous session’s losses, with the euro benefiting despite signs of economic weakness in the eurozone. At 04:00 ET (09:00 GMT), the...
Fed's 50 bps rate cut was "right decision" - Kashkari
By Investing.com - Sep 23, 2024
1
Investing.com - The Federal Reserve’s move to cut interest rates by a half-of-a-percentage point last week was the “right decision”, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel...
Analysis
S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Deeper Downward Revisions Set Companies Up for Big Beats
By Christine Short - Oct 10, 2024
1
Important earnings season ahead as investors look for confirmation that the US economy is still heading for a soft landing Q3 S&P 500 EPS growth is expected to come in at 4.2%, the fifth...
Interest Rates Drop, Small Caps Rise: Is It Time to Buy This 7.3% Yielder?
By Michael Foster - Oct 10, 2024
Normally when interest rates fall, we closed-end fund (CEF) investors are tempted to pick up a fund like the 7.3%-paying Royce Small-Cap Trust (NYSE:RVT). It seems like a particularly savvy move...
Risk Appetite Ebbs as Markets Fret Over China Stimulus, Fed Rate Cuts
By Trading Point - Oct 08, 2024
Risk sentiment dented as China refrains from fresh stimulus measures Fed officials give cautious green light to more rate cuts Dollar and equities turn lower after recent gains as US CPI...