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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Jan 31, 2018 02:00PM ET

6 Weeks 5 Days 1 Hours 11 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Jan 31, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.595
1.25 - 1.50
97.9%
1.50 - 1.75
2.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 97.9% 100.0% 97.9%
1.50 - 1.75 2.1% 2.1%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: Mar 21, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.540
1.25 - 1.50
42.7%
1.50 - 1.75
56.1%
1.75 - 2.00
1.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 42.7% 49.3% 42.7%
1.50 - 1.75 56.1% 50.7% 56.1%
1.75 - 2.00 1.2% 1.2%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: May 02, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.405
1.25 - 1.50
39.2%
1.50 - 1.75
55.0%
1.75 - 2.00
5.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 39.2% 46.2% 39.2%
1.50 - 1.75 55.0% 50.6% 55.0%
1.75 - 2.00 5.7% 3.1% 5.7%
2.00 - 2.25 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: Jun 13, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.340
1.25 - 1.50
17.6%
1.50 - 1.75
46.3%
1.75 - 2.00
32.8%
2.00 - 2.25
3.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 17.6% 23.1% 19.6%
1.50 - 1.75 46.3% 48.4% 47.1%
1.75 - 2.00 32.8% 26.9% 30.4%
2.00 - 2.25 3.2% 1.6% 2.9%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.0%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: Aug 01, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.270
1.25 - 1.50
16.5%
1.50 - 1.75
44.5%
1.75 - 2.00
33.7%
2.00 - 2.25
5.0%
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25
1.25 - 1.50 16.5% 21.2% 18.0%
1.50 - 1.75 44.5% 46.3% 44.8%
1.75 - 2.00 33.7% 28.7% 31.7%
2.00 - 2.25 5.0% 3.7% 5.2%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
2.50 - 2.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: Sep 26, 2018 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.270
1.25 - 1.50
10.2%
1.50 - 1.75
33.8%
1.75 - 2.00
37.8%
2.00 - 2.25
16.0%
2.25 - 2.50
2.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 10.2% 13.1%
1.50 - 1.75 33.8% 36.7%
1.75 - 2.00 37.8% 35.5%
2.00 - 2.25 16.0% 13.3%
2.25 - 2.50 2.1% 1.5%
2.50 - 2.75 0.1% 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0%
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST
Meeting Time: Nov 08, 2018 01:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.180
1.25 - 1.50
9.7%
1.50 - 1.75
32.6%
1.75 - 2.00
37.6%
2.00 - 2.25
17.2%
2.25 - 2.50
2.8%
2.50 - 2.75
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 9.7% 12.0%
1.50 - 1.75 32.6% 34.8%
1.75 - 2.00 37.6% 35.6%
2.00 - 2.25 17.2% 15.0%
2.25 - 2.50 2.8% 2.4%
2.50 - 2.75 0.2% 0.2%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25
Updated: Dec 15, 2017 12:29PM EST

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Forex - USD/CAD Little Changed After U.S., Canadian Data
Forex - USD/CAD Little Changed After U.S., Canadian Data By Investing.com - Dec 15, 2017

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar was little changed against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, after the release of disappointing U.S. and Canadian data and as fresh U.S. tax reform woes coupled with ...

Forex - Dollar Remains Moderately Lower in Cautious Trade
Forex - Dollar Remains Moderately Lower in Cautious Trade By Investing.com - Dec 15, 2017 1

Investing.com - The dollar remained moderately lower against other major currencies on Friday, amid fresh concerns over U.S. tax reform plans and as the Federal Reserve's most recent policy statement ...

Analysis

Ashraf Laidi
6 Reasons For The Dollar Slump By Ashraf Laidi - Dec 15, 2017

As Fed Chair Yellen delivered her 5th and final rate hike, the combination of the FOMC forecasts (dot plot) and Yellen’s press conference failed to issue any hawkish signals anticipated by most...

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