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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
4
Weeks
6
Days
8
Hours
44
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.350
3.50 - 3.75
93.6%
3.75 - 4.00
6.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 93.6% | 93.6% | 95.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.320
3.50 - 3.75
82.9%
3.75 - 4.00
16.3%
4.00 - 4.25
0.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 3.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 82.9% | 86.3% | 92.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.7% | 0.5% | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.305
3.50 - 3.75
77.4%
3.75 - 4.00
20.8%
4.00 - 4.25
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 0.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 11.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 77.4% | 84.4% | 85.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 20.8% | 14.8% | 3.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.8% | 0.8% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.275
3.50 - 3.75
65.7%
3.75 - 4.00
29.3%
4.00 - 4.25
4.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 1.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 19.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 65.7% | 73.1% | 75.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.3% | 24.2% | 3.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 4.6% | 2.7% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.250
3.50 - 3.75
61.2%
3.75 - 4.00
31.8%
4.00 - 4.25
6.3%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 1.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | — | — | 20.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 61.2% | 69.7% | 73.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 31.8% | 26.4% | 3.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.3% | 3.7% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.245
3.25 - 3.50
3.7%
3.50 - 3.75
59.4%
3.75 - 4.00
30.3%
4.00 - 4.25
6.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | — | — | 0.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | — | — | 5.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 30.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 59.4% | 66.2% | 61.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.3% | 24.6% | 2.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.0% | 3.4% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 27, 2027 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.250
3.25 - 3.50
3.7%
3.50 - 3.75
59.4%
3.75 - 4.00
30.3%
4.00 - 4.25
6.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.7% | 5.6% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 59.4% | 66.2% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.3% | 24.6% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.0% | 3.4% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 17, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.255
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
3.25 - 3.50
6.6%
3.50 - 3.75
57.9%
3.75 - 4.00
29.0%
4.00 - 4.25
5.7%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 6.6% | 6.5% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 57.9% | 65.6% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.0% | 24.3% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 5.7% | 3.3% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 28, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.265
3.00 - 3.25
0.6%
3.25 - 3.50
10.1%
3.50 - 3.75
56.0%
3.75 - 4.00
27.4%
4.00 - 4.25
5.4%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.6% | 0.4% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 10.1% | 9.1% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 56.0% | 63.8% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 27.4% | 23.3% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 5.4% | 3.2% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.5% | 0.2% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 09, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.380
2.75 - 3.00
0.1%
3.00 - 3.25
2.1%
3.25 - 3.50
17.3%
3.50 - 3.75
51.5%
3.75 - 4.00
24.0%
4.00 - 4.25
4.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 2.1% | 3.7% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 17.3% | 29.7% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 51.5% | 48.5% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.0% | 15.7% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 4.6% | 2.1% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 28, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.335
2.75 - 3.00
1.1%
3.00 - 3.25
9.4%
3.25 - 3.50
33.8%
3.50 - 3.75
38.2%
3.75 - 4.00
14.6%
4.00 - 4.25
2.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.1% | 0.8% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 9.4% | 8.5% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 33.8% | 33.2% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 38.2% | 42.5% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 14.6% | 13.2% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.6% | 1.7% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 15, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.465
2.50 - 2.75
0.3%
2.75 - 3.00
3.3%
3.00 - 3.25
15.8%
3.25 - 3.50
34.9%
3.50 - 3.75
32.1%
3.75 - 4.00
11.5%
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 3.3% | 2.8% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 15.8% | 14.9% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 34.9% | 35.6% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 32.1% | 34.9% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.5% | 10.2% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.0% | 1.3% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 27, 2027 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.505
2.50 - 2.75
0.3%
2.75 - 3.00
3.3%
3.00 - 3.25
15.8%
3.25 - 3.50
34.9%
3.50 - 3.75
32.1%
3.75 - 4.00
11.5%
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.3% | 0.2% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 3.3% | 2.8% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 15.8% | 14.9% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 34.9% | 35.6% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 32.1% | 34.9% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.5% | 10.2% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.0% | 1.3% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 08, 2027 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.670
2.00 - 2.25
0.1%
2.25 - 2.50
1.3%
2.50 - 2.75
7.3%
2.75 - 3.00
21.9%
3.00 - 3.25
34.0%
3.25 - 3.50
25.5%
3.50 - 3.75
8.4%
3.75 - 4.00
1.4%
4.00 - 4.25
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.3% | 1.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 7.3% | 6.7% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 21.9% | 21.5% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 34.0% | 35.4% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.5% | 27.0% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 8.4% | 7.4% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 1.4% | 0.9% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | — |
Updated: Mar 26, 2026 04:45AM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar posts weekly decline amid central bank caution around Iran war
By Investing.com - Mar 20, 2026
Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar steadied on Friday, but was below multi-month highs and on pace for a weekly decline, with investors attempting to suss out the path ahead for U.S. interest rates in...
U.S. dollar slips as traders assess Iran war, host of central bank commentary
By Investing.com - Mar 19, 2026
Investing.com -- The U.S. dollar slipped on Thursday, taking a breather after the previous session’s gains as investors assessed further developments in the Middle East conflict and a host of...
Gold slides on bets for higher interest rates for longer amid raging Iran war
By Investing.com - Mar 19, 2026
58
Investing.com -- Gold prices slumped on Thursday, as the yellow metal continued to be pressured by expectations of higher interest rates for longer due to surging oil prices sparked by the ongoing...
Analysis
US Dollar Strength Reflects Rates Spike More Than Safe Haven Demand
By Marc Chandler - Mar 25, 2026
3
The dollar’s resilience since the war began is not a mystery, but it is being misread. The Dollar Index has appreciated roughly 1.8% this month alone, following a modest 0.65% gain in February...
3 Smart Investments If Interest Rates Stay Higher for Longer
By Chris Markoch - Mar 24, 2026
The March Federal Reserve meeting made it clear that investors are dealing with a much different backdrop than they may have thought when the year started. Heading into the year, there were hopes for...
Why I Prefer This Monthly Income Treasury Bill ETF Over Money Market Funds
By Tony Dong - Mar 23, 2026
The Federal Reserve has decided to hold its policy interest rate steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range. While there has been growing concern around cracks in the labor market, the ongoing U.S.-Israel...