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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 15, 2022 02:00PM ET

3 Weeks 0 Days 10 Hours 2 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Jun 15, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.910
1.50 - 1.75
10.2%
1.25 - 1.50
89.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 89.8% 94.9% 17.1%
1.50 - 1.75 10.2% 5.1% 82.9%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 27, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.585
1.75 - 2.00
88.2%
2.00 - 2.25
10.0%
1.50 - 1.75
1.9%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.50 - 1.75 1.9%
1.75 - 2.00 88.2% 94.7% 14.6%
2.00 - 2.25 10.0% 5.3% 73.3%
2.25 - 2.50 0.0% 12.1%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 21, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.065
2.00 - 2.25
65.7%
2.25 - 2.50
30.3%
2.50 - 2.75
2.6%
1.75 - 2.00
1.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.75 - 2.00 1.4%
2.00 - 2.25 65.7% 70.0% 7.3%
2.25 - 2.50 30.3% 28.6% 43.9%
2.50 - 2.75 2.6% 1.4% 42.7%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 6.1%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 02, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.585
2.25 - 2.50
63.5%
2.50 - 2.75
31.5%
2.75 - 3.00
3.5%
2.00 - 2.25
1.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.00 - 2.25 1.3%
2.25 - 2.50 63.5% 69.1% 6.2%
2.50 - 2.75 31.5% 29.1% 38.1%
2.75 - 3.00 3.5% 1.8% 42.9%
3.00 - 3.25 0.1% 0.0% 11.9%
3.25 - 3.50 1.0%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 14, 2022 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.445
2.50 - 2.75
60.5%
2.75 - 3.00
33.1%
3.00 - 3.25
4.9%
3.25 - 3.50
0.3%
2.25 - 2.50
1.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 1.3%
2.50 - 2.75 60.5% 69.0% 6.1%
2.75 - 3.00 33.1% 29.2% 38.1%
3.00 - 3.25 4.9% 1.8% 42.9%
3.25 - 3.50 0.3% 0.0% 11.9%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 1.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Feb 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.220
2.50 - 2.75
32.2%
2.75 - 3.00
46.1%
3.00 - 3.25
18.4%
3.25 - 3.50
2.5%
3.50 - 3.75
0.1%
2.25 - 2.50
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 0.7%
2.50 - 2.75 32.2% 33.2% 2.5%
2.75 - 3.00 46.1% 49.8% 18.9%
3.00 - 3.25 18.4% 16.0% 40.0%
3.25 - 3.50 2.5% 1.0% 30.5%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.0% 7.6%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.6%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 15, 2023 03:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.150
2.50 - 2.75
15.5%
2.75 - 3.00
38.7%
3.00 - 3.25
33.1%
3.25 - 3.50
10.9%
3.50 - 3.75
1.4%
2.25 - 2.50
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 0.3%
2.50 - 2.75 15.5% 14.1% 0.7%
2.75 - 3.00 38.7% 40.3% 7.2%
3.00 - 3.25 33.1% 35.5% 25.0%
3.25 - 3.50 10.9% 9.6% 37.2%
3.50 - 3.75 1.4% 0.6% 23.8%
3.75 - 4.00 0.1% 0.0% 5.5%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.4%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: May 03, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.065
2.50 - 2.75
13.8%
2.75 - 3.00
36.3%
3.00 - 3.25
33.7%
3.25 - 3.50
13.3%
3.50 - 3.75
2.4%
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
2.25 - 2.50
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 0.3%
2.50 - 2.75 13.8% 12.9% 0.6%
2.75 - 3.00 36.3% 38.0% 5.8%
3.00 - 3.25 33.7% 35.9% 21.2%
3.25 - 3.50 13.3% 11.8% 34.6%
3.50 - 3.75 2.4% 1.3% 26.7%
3.75 - 4.00 0.2% 0.1% 9.4%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0% 1.5%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0% 0.1%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0%
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 14, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.060
2.50 - 2.75
12.3%
2.75 - 3.00
33.6%
3.00 - 3.25
34.0%
3.25 - 3.50
15.7%
3.50 - 3.75
3.7%
3.75 - 4.00
0.5%
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2%
2.50 - 2.75 12.3% 12.2% 0.5%
2.75 - 3.00 33.6% 36.6% 5.1%
3.00 - 3.25 34.0% 36.0% 19.1%
3.25 - 3.50 15.7% 13.2% 32.8%
3.50 - 3.75 3.7% 1.9% 27.8%
3.75 - 4.00 0.5% 0.1% 11.8%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0% 2.6%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0% 0.3%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0%
4.75 - 5.00
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 26, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.075
2.50 - 2.75
11.7%
2.75 - 3.00
32.6%
3.00 - 3.25
34.0%
3.25 - 3.50
16.6%
3.50 - 3.75
4.3%
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
2.25 - 2.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.25 - 2.50 0.2%
2.50 - 2.75 11.7% 10.7% 0.5%
2.75 - 3.00 32.6% 33.6% 4.9%
3.00 - 3.25 34.0% 36.1% 18.4%
3.25 - 3.50 16.6% 16.0% 32.1%
3.50 - 3.75 4.3% 3.3% 28.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.6% 0.3% 12.6%
4.00 - 4.25 0.1% 0.0% 3.1%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.4%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0%
5.00 - 5.25
Updated: May 25, 2022 03:35AM EDT

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