USD/RUB - US Dollar Russian Ruble

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Latest USD/RUB Comments

Ryry BullBear Aug 17, 2017 4:38PM GMT

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How LOW can it GO!?!! haha RyRyBear

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Mr Wealth Jul 31, 2017 12:13PM GMT

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Jacob, can you clarify something regarding lot size for usd/rub trading? Is it the value of a lot smaller than with other pairs like eur/usd? My broker is letting me place like 100 lots on the usd/rub pair but much less on others

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Alexandar Rubakov Aug 02, 2017 11:50AM GMT

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So Mr.Jacob, You think 63-65 is reasonable range for USD/Rub ? It wont go down to 55-58? Due to sanction which will be signed soon will kick USD/Rub to 63-65? If yes... How long it will take for Rub to come down from 63-65 ? Or it will stay there for long term ?

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Phil Tch Aug 02, 2017 3:01PM GMT

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Hi Jacob, does this mean that even if the oil price increases, ruble will still fall? I remember in 2014 the sanction had a large influence on ruble because the oil price was kicked to the basement. Nowdays Russia has learned the lesson and has changed its economic structure so that it does not depend on the oil price so much like before. Moreover, USD has not recovered yet due to the political mess. Could we really expect USD/RUB fly to above 63 right away?

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Jacob AA Aug 03, 2017 8:27AM GMT

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Russian economy depends of row material, not only oil. In 2014 the part of oil in the structure of the export 57.55%. 2017 (6mounth) 24.8%. But oil output haven't changed significant. It's influence of the price change. And effect of the sanctions will be stronger in short term period, because Russian companies have a huge amount of corporate debt in USD. And the most part of payments will be in September and December. Sanctions won't let the companies to receive new loans in USD for refinance. They have to buy USD for repayment of the loans. I think so.

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Phil Tch Aug 03, 2017 9:44AM GMT

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Hi Jacob, thanks a lot for your nice explanation. According to what I have read, the largest impact of this new sanction is on Russia's energy export pipelines. However, here the interest of european investors gets involved, and EU has even announced retaliation action against US. Therefore I feel that this sanction is a double-edged sword. It might impact ruble to some extent, but can also hurt dollar itself. It would be wise to watch the pair for some time before the action.

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Jacob AA Aug 03, 2017 10:43AM GMT

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Yes, we will see reciprocal sanctions of Russia (6 August). Russian central bank may help the companies (probably currency REPO). Raw material prices have high volatility. And other events in future. It's necessary to be careful in this pair.

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Jacob AA Jul 31, 2017 10:48AM GMT

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Strong bullish trend in Eur/rur. I think we will see it in USD/rur too.

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Mr Wealth Jul 31, 2017 12:17PM GMT

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Eur is strong now against most currencies and the all the chaos in the US is making the dollar weak. If usd/rub will go in the same direction for as eur/rub, it will be for different reasons

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