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USD/BRL - US Dollar Brazil Real

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4.0757 +0.0003    +0.01%
17:53:22 - Real-time Data. ( Disclaimer )
Type: Currency
Group: Exotic
Base: US Dollar
Second: Brazil Real
  • Prev. Close: 4.0754
  • Bid/Ask: 4.0742 / 4.0772
  • Day's Range: 4.0744 - 4.0762
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USD/BRL 4.0757 +0.0003 +0.01%
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USD/BRL Overview

 
Comprehensive information about the USD BRL (US Dollar vs. Brazil Real). You will find more information by going to one of the sections on this page such as historical data, charts, converter, Technical analysis, news, and more.
Technical Chart
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Last Update:
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  • Max
Prev. Close4.0754
Bid4.0742
Day's Range4.0744 - 4.0762
Open4.0754
Ask4.0772
52 wk Range3.1195 - 4.215
1-Year Change30.97%
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USD/BRL News


USD/BRL Analysis


IG
Daily Inter-Market Analysis And Macro Insights By IG - Aug 31, 2018

Its dark days again in emerging markets (EM) and negative flows here have resonated in a modest risk-off feel to developed markets. Argentina has been at the centre of the markets...

Technical Summary

Type 5 mins 15 mins Hourly Daily Monthly
Moving Averages Strong Sell Sell Strong Sell Buy Buy
Technical Indicators Strong Buy Strong Sell Strong Sell Neutral Strong Buy
Summary Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Neutral Strong Buy

Candlestick Patterns

 

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Candle Sticks Characteristics:

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Type
Pattern Indication
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Pattern Timeframe Reliability Candles Ago Candle Time
Emerging Patterns
Three Outside Down 5H Current
Inverted Hammer 1W Current
Completed Patterns
Engulfing Bearish 5H 1 Sep 25, 2018 10:00AM
Engulfing Bearish 1M 8 Jan 18
Bullish doji Star 30 8 Sep 25, 2018 01:30PM

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Time: Sep 25, 2018 05:53PM (GMT -4:00)

Economic Calendar

Time Cur. Imp. Event Actual Forecast Previous
Tuesday, September 25, 2018
07:00   BRL BCB Copom Meeting Minutes        
Tentative   BRL BCB National Monetary Council Meeting        
08:55   USD Redbook (MoM) 0.3%   0.3%
08:55   USD Redbook (YoY) 5.8%   5.4%
09:00   USD House Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 6.4%   6.5%
09:00   USD House Price Index (MoM) (Jul) 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
09:00   USD House Price Index (Jul) 265.0   264.4
09:00   USD S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 s.a. (MoM) (Jul) 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
09:00   USD S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
09:00   USD S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Jul) 5.9% 6.2% 6.4%
10:00   USD CB Consumer Confidence (Sep) 138.4 132.2 134.7
10:00   USD Richmond Manufacturing Index (Sep) 29 22 24
10:00   USD Richmond Manufacturing Shipments (Sep) 33   23
10:00   USD Richmond Services Index (Sep) 18   31
10:30   USD Dallas Fed Services Revenues (Sep) 26.9   21.5
10:30   USD Texas Services Sector Outlook (Sep) 25.6   21.5
11:30   USD 4-Week Bill Auction 2.080%   2.020%
13:00   USD 5-Year Note Auction 2.997%   2.765%
16:30   USD API Weekly Crude Oil Stock 2.903M   1.250M
Wednesday, September 26, 2018
07:00   USD MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate     4.88%
07:00   USD MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW)     1.6%
07:00   USD MBA Purchase Index     234.2
07:00   USD Mortgage Market Index     342.7
07:00   USD Mortgage Refinance Index     917.1
09:30   BRL Bank lending (MoM) (Aug)     -0.2%
10:00   USD New Home Sales (Aug)   630K 627K
10:00   USD New Home Sales (MoM) (Aug)   0.5% -1.7%
10:30   USD Crude Oil Inventories   -1.279M -2.057M
10:30   USD Crude Oil Imports     -0.106M
10:30   USD Cushing Crude Oil Inventories     -1.250M
10:30   USD Distillate Fuel Production     -0.079M
10:30   USD EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks   0.752M 0.839M
10:30   USD Gasoline Production     -0.114M
10:30   USD Heating Oil Stockpiles     0.495M
10:30   USD Gasoline Inventories   0.788M -1.719M
11:30   BRL Foreign Exchange Flows     -1.477B
14:00   USD FOMC Economic Projections        
14:00   USD FOMC Statement        
14:00   USD Fed Interest Rate Decision   2.25% 2.00%
14:30   USD FOMC Press Conference        
 

Central Banks

Federal Reserve (FED)
Current Rate 2.00%
Chairman Jerome H. Powell
Central Bank of Brazil (BCB)
Current Rate 6.50%
Chairman Ilan Goldfajn
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Sunil Bhopal
Sunil Bhopal Sep 24, 2018 6:20AM ET
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would be nice if this fell sub 4.0 today
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 21, 2018 8:25AM ET
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global commodities rebound will drive Brazil economic GDP rebound higher then the 2.5% 2019 projection July was just a small indicators or the Brazil recovery ahead risk factors subsiding and reward factors escalate to be in Brazil now..as Turkey and Argentina crisis subsides it will also start the next EM market rebound circling around the worlds EM markets especially the ones erroneously dragged with them..Real USD to be back in the $3.80 this year $3.50 next year IMHO
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top form
top form Sep 19, 2018 2:06PM ET
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good analysis stephen Bovespa could rise even more than 20% next Year. But what worries me is PT Haddad's fast rise in the polls. Only now, major resources are being poured into his campaign since he started 2 weeks late. What if he defeats Bolsonaro? Will smart money still make its way back?
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 19, 2018 2:06PM ET
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here is the deal the commodities rebound has led every cycle of brazil economy which is a bigger macro issue that is what draws in the investments - the elections is a noise - no matter who wins the success is based on the macro issue of how robust the commodities rebound is - the elected one gets all the credits for the macro rebound issue just like Trump got the credit for everything when the rebound was already gaining steam - its called luck to the elected one based on when he gets elected - Haddad has met with all the major investment firms to assure him his pragmatic approach to economic recovery - people are only worried whether Haddad can control the extremist in his PT party - but Bolsonaro is by far the one to beat both first round and 2nd round - like I said the election is itself the volatility more then who is elected  - that is just a made up fear by the media
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Stephen Reimer
Stephen Reimer Sep 19, 2018 2:06PM ET
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ignore the noise and focus in on the macro trend, if you listened to the noise, how would one had invested in US equities following Trumps election with his campaign and cohorts under investigation. It's just noise that one needs to ignore to profit from the real underlying Micro and macro events.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 19, 2018 10:38AM ET
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smart money will come back in very soon as the commodities recovery is expected to take hold and so goes the Real and stock market - ie with commodities recovery coupled with political more certainty a 21% rise in the Brazil stock market next year is very very promising IMHO and the Real will do extremely well going forwards - smart money exited as usual at the right time and they are about to come back in droves again IMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 19, 2018 10:14AM ET
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as long as Italy situation continues to stabilize and China indicated they will support the Yuan that eases EM worldwide like it did today - the Real will have other tailwinds behind it as well
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top form
top form Sep 19, 2018 10:14AM ET
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Agree 100% but the FED is expected to raise rates soon, and that could strenghten the USD against all currencies including the Real.
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top form
top form Sep 19, 2018 5:00AM ET
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Admire your courage. Even if its looking forward to november, december, january. I honestly wouldn't have the guts to 'stomach' a bet against the USD in favor of the Real at this point. So much can happen until elections are over.
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top form
top form Sep 18, 2018 8:51AM ET
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Completely agree the Real will eventually appreciate. However, with the possibility of the Left Candidate PT - Haddad going to the second round, it may be early to bet against the US Dollar.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 18, 2018 8:51AM ET
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latest polls from yesterday shows that Bolsonaro would beat everyone in the 2nd round except for Gomes indicating he would beat Haddad as well,  with only a few  bumps along the way the Real should slowly appreciate thru the end of this year. . GDP growth shows that Brazil is on track for sustained economic growth as it accelerates yoy
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 17, 2018 4:33PM ET
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economic growth surges .57 % in july almost 3 times the .20% estimated by economist..look for the Real to keep improving
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Stephen Reimer
Stephen Reimer Sep 17, 2018 4:33PM ET
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amen to that
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marcos sedlmayer
marcos sedlmayer Sep 15, 2018 7:43AM ET
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Nilton I'm trying for days to buy Real and I can't find a bank that's want to sell. they say dollar is over priced.
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Anderson Amorim
Anderson Amorim Sep 15, 2018 7:43AM ET
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Of course it is.
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Sohail Afzaal
Sohail Afzaal Sep 14, 2018 2:06PM ET
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Which Broker is best for  this Pair USD/BRL.
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Bryce Canyon
Bryce Canyon Sep 14, 2018 10:30AM ET
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Fascist Bolsonaro or Marxist PT boy Haddad. Not much of a choice for the Brazilians. Either way, the Real will go down.
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Nilton DaSilva
Nilton DaSilva Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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Banks in Brazil are selling their "real" to hedge against overall EEM crisis.  At the same, they manage risk by holding USD against BRL.  As soon as this "dark cloud" goes away, we will see a jump that will be difficult to chase.  I am building my positions now.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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spot on
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top form
top form Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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Do you mean shorting the USD vs Real or building equity positions?
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Sunil Bhopal
Sunil Bhopal Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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is this just more speculation that a lefty might win?
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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just the contagion effect of the argentina peso dropping today iMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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or it could be Haddad and Gomes poll %s scaring the mkts since they are ahead of Alkmin or  Haddad tied with Alkmin and Gomes in 2nd place is the problem
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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why no central bank swaps today - its irresponsible of the brazil  central bank
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Levent Gürsel
Levent Gürsel Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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coz this pair is going 6
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top form
top form Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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Levent GürselAt least 5 for sure
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 2:17PM ET
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thanks argentina peso for messing up BRL today
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 7:36AM ET
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In a country where casting a ballot is mandatory, more than 20 percent are likely to abstain.  this means a right winger win
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 8:05PM ET
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US and China resumes trade talks which is positive for all EM markets
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 8:05PM ET
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although the positive may be muted due to past lack of optimism over a solution - its still a positive nevertheless
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 3:10PM ET
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here is the deal Brazil voters mainly do not know who their candidates are until wks before the election nor do most care - without Lula most of those voters will not even show up wealthiest parties show up to vote Bolsonaro is anti violence so many may vote for him on that platform Alckmin could have the spending TV power to push & influence himself into the 2nd round. The reason the election is in disarray is that the polls in brazil have always been misleading with the margin of error very high not the 2% they indicate The one thing the polls fail to capture are the voters that will actually show up for the election. The PT party is dealt a severe ******without Lula so PT votes will not reflect the polls results as many will not show up to vote despite being polled the who cares attitude of most voters except the rich in Brazil . Alckmin has massive party coalition and despite the polls he may end up in the 2nd round b/c TV ads Alckmin will gain to get closer to the 3rd and then 2nd
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 2:48PM ET
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As most of the polling takes place in hub cities-they do not take into account the areas outside of the hub cities and its region based causing a lot of polling errors..as a result Alkmin despite lagging with only 10% can resurface by the time voting starts  and yes if the final 2 is Bolsonaro and Alkmin - Alkmin has a higher chance of winning in the 2nd round
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 1:43PM ET
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US Dollar has peaked and will be headed mostly lower for the rest of the year - the EM contagion fears as Ive always said was contained in Turkey and Argentina and the indirect effects have been smoke and mirrors once the Brazil elections go positive the US dollar drop the EM improvements and the BRL will be below $4.0 headed towards $3.79 handle again IMHO
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mh mh
mh mh Sep 12, 2018 1:29PM ET
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what looks really promising supports the idea that we are building a bottom that it seems the Brazilian real is building a bottom as well , but give you heads up , building a bottom can end up with a final dip that seems we are heading down to the abyss but usually this will be a  false signal that suddenly reverses and don't look back.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 11:00AM ET
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when both the emerging market situation improves and the election outcome projections become more positive - we could get a double whammy on the upset for the Real - right now its at its bottom and it can only go up IMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 11:00AM ET
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I meant upside not upset - typo
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Nilton DaSilva
Nilton DaSilva Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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Paulo, you are not correct.  Check latest Ibope polls published 9/11.   Bolsonaro will certainly be in the 2nd round on Oct 8.  And, there is no statistic evidence that he will either win or lose the race for president in the final round - unless he faces Haddad who will certaiinly lose against Bolsonaro. That's is what the latest poll says with the caviat that polls are not 100% reliable in Brazil.  Also, the media wants you to think that election polls are driving the Bovespa index & USDBRL.  Truth is that the real devaluation is linked to what is going on internationally with all emerging markets and the USA FED rise in interest rates.  Please read  and research a bit more before posting.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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I believe Brazil is impacted indirectly by the fear of EM contagion but also directly by the elections as well due to the fear of the leftist parties not having the acumen or business savvy to make the reforms and draw back in foreign investments leading to outflows instead - right now its the elections - it happened in Australia, Mexico and every country where policy does matter. . . however I do believe the elections directly affect the real whether it is media created ie by the polls etc or fund managers shorting the Real using the elections as the excuse etc. but only the right wingers have the mindset to make reforms and expand market friendly changes that would bring in massive inflows of foreign investments needed to make Brazil great again IMHO
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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I partially agree about your comments. USD/brl is driven by international commercial war between USA and China. But u must read again my commentary that is only related to election in Brazil, I sad nothing about economy because we have only speculations.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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ie Lula and his leftist PT Hadadd  candidates and other leftist party candidates drew less then 7% in the polls giving them zero shot at the second round the Real would be under $4 right now back towards $3.85
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 12, 2018 1:06AM ET
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what's your sources? u have no idea what is happening in Brazil. You are completely lost about Brazil's rumors. In any situation that has been predicted Bolsonaro doesn't reach the victory.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 1:06AM ET
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if you believe in the polls that are all completely different every time each one comes out - they had polls in the past where a past candidate was ahead and they lost - even in the US Hilary was way ahead up to day of election and she lost - the pollsters in Brazil is even worst - they poll mostly the poor who don't even show up at the elections - and who don't even care - in Brazil the voting blocks are mostly the well educated and rich - ie right wingers
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 11, 2018 4:11PM ET
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the bottom line is Alkmin has all the TV ads by the time election starts the runoff will be Alkimn and Bolsonaro - which means two pro markets - right now its all noise and speculators punishing Brazil for allowing Lula PT party to make a mockery of its election
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 11, 2018 4:11PM ET
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what's your sources? u have no idea what is happening in Brazil. You are completely lost about Brazil's rumors. In any situation that has been predicted Bolsonaro doesn't reach the victory.
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