USD/BRL - US Dollar Brazil Real

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Matheus Fernando Mar 19, 2018 11:25PM ET

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Man I Have a question. How Money go up or down ? I mean, how a currency values or devalues?

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Allen Avery Mar 19, 2018 11:25PM ET

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Think about supply and demand or the physical currency. Economy good people invest supply go down currency go up, economy bad people sell investments supply go up currency go down, check out babypips.com for more micro and macro economic movers Read Read Learn Learn B4 you trade, start small on practice accounts so if you switch to real money you still trade small, amount of money made means nothing at first concistency and correct predictions is everything...GL sir!

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Nona Me May 20, 2017 2:59PM ET

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I expected more chatter since bribery charges against Temer

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Joseph Mastoloni May 18, 2017 9:51AM ET

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Can Brazil just get a leader who is somewhat competent

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Lucas Avelino May 18, 2017 9:51AM ET

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Brazil will be, your name is BOLSONARO

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Pablo Ribeiro May 18, 2017 9:51AM ET

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Brazil will broke way before it's get competent...

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Jose Silva May 18, 2017 9:51AM ET

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Lucas Avelino Nobody knows who is Bolsonoro, Can be next Lula or next Jefferson nobody knows, Be honest isn't everthing

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LokoTrader LV May 17, 2017 7:36PM ET

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Temer vai se fuderLol time to make money!

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Mohamed Husseini Apr 17, 2017 10:06AM ET

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that is risky all the way in, brazil's economy is so unstable that at any time BRL could drop to 3.7

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Fábio Peres Feb 17, 2017 11:42AM ET

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esperem 2.46 até o fim de 2017

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Fernanda Stefani Feb 17, 2017 11:42AM ET

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Porque acha isso?

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Bruno Fria Jan 04, 2017 9:23PM ET

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Where's the news?

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Vitor Henrique Dec 14, 2016 6:12AM ET

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3,33 it's the support, also for high or down, FED it's today.

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Real Crocodile Nov 21, 2016 7:08PM ET

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Also, what happens during the night trade? Sometimes there are some variations, but those variations are always disregarded when the day market opens.

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Vitor Henrique Nov 21, 2016 7:08PM ET

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. The volume traded with the market in "off", moves preferentially on working days, and at trading hours, soon he boosts, due to the large supply of this money in abundance in the market ....

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Real Crocodile Nov 11, 2016 11:30AM ET

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Any idea anyone?

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Antonio Castagnoli Nov 11, 2016 11:30AM ET

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We have the so called "failure swing" in the weekly chart. In the monthly chart, we'll have to wait for the monthly close. But, it seems that the breakout in a daily view will be maintained. I'm trying to identify what's gonna happen next, but... I don't know. Really. Volatility of USD/BRL has reduced so much since the "5,5% bull day" (after a long time of 4 months with almost no volatility).

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Real Crocodile Nov 11, 2016 11:30AM ET

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I don't trust this week's exchange rate very much. It looks like the gain in the real was triggered artificially though central bank's currency swaps. Where do you see the failure swing in the weekly chart? Bullish or bearish?

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Real Crocodile Nov 10, 2016 6:47PM ET

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I am speechless....

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Real Crocodile Nov 10, 2016 2:49PM ET

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One more cent up will trigger the circuit breaker at the BMF.

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Real Crocodile Oct 24, 2016 2:54PM ET

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What about the long term? Like 6 months to a year from now?

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Antonio Castagnoli Oct 24, 2016 2:54PM ET

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If it doesn't go bellow 3.15 in october 31st, no trend defined.

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Real Crocodile Oct 24, 2016 2:54PM ET

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Thanks!. Lol, I have no clue how you do that but so far your forecasts have been pretty good.

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Antonio Castagnoli Oct 24, 2016 2:54PM ET

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Monthly trend defined: lateral trend. I'd advise you to look the weekly trends for a longer term trend.

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Vitor Henrique Oct 24, 2016 8:47AM ET

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.Potential positive credibility of the current government, in addition to destabilization of the dollar with news that are shaking the exchange, take into account the "rain does not wet" the Fed is destabilizing the USD against the Brazilian real. 2.9x is more a reality than a possibility, bearish trend line defined the short term.

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Real Crocodile Oct 20, 2016 7:17PM ET

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What happens after w.9xxx?

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Antonio Castagnoli Oct 20, 2016 7:17PM ET

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2.9xxx I mean, less then 3.00

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Real Crocodile Oct 20, 2016 7:17PM ET

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Yes, I understood. I meant, what happens after 2.90? Do you think it can go even lower? 2.70? 2.50?

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Antonio Castagnoli Oct 20, 2016 6:22PM ET

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If it breaks 3.10, wait for 2.9xxx.

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Real Crocodile Oct 19, 2016 4:33PM ET

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Here we go. The front month contract DOLX16 closed under 3.200 for the second straight day.

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Diego Santos Oct 14, 2016 4:24PM ET

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As you can see guys it doesnt want to get bellow 3.20 ahhah however I can't see it will last longer probably its intervention from Brazilian central bank. They know as long as it gets bellow it.... the market will do the rest and probably lots of companies are still long on dollar what can cause big losses

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Real Crocodile Sep 14, 2016 8:19PM ET

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What is the next resistance?

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Diego Santos Sep 14, 2016 8:19PM ET

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@real crocodile follow the trend.. closing bellow 3.20 its heading to 3 and then 2.9. the daily fluctuations doesnt matter... file the news!

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Antonio Castagnoli Sep 14, 2016 8:19PM ET

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Diego, that analysis is completely correct, but we have to wait to see how the Central Bank of Brazil is going to react in prices bellow 3.20. They have already shown that they don't want, at least on that time, prices bellow 3.10. But, this time, I don't believe the government will interfere when prices reach 3.10, but when they reach 3.00 (I think that the only thing that the Brazilian government is doing is only retarding a tendency of bear).

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Real Crocodile Sep 14, 2016 8:19PM ET

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Thanks guys!. How low do u think it can go? And what about inflation? If it goes to 2.50, that would make Brazil really expensive. But is that possible?. I get paid BRL but have interest in the US. So I used to buy USD every month as a hedge. I've stopped buying in February. Should I start buying again, little by little every month or wait?

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Real Crocodile Sep 12, 2016 4:13PM ET

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I can't find any direction. I looks like volatility has resumed.

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Diego Santos Sep 06, 2016 5:47PM ET

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Weakness Signal Finally.... Lets see go ahead BR towards 3.06 :D

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BullTrader Sep 06, 2016 5:47PM ET

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Ops

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Diego Santos Sep 06, 2016 5:47PM ET

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that's right @eckner!

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Real Crocodile Sep 06, 2016 2:11PM ET

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Yes, it looks like it. lol. . Does anyone have an idea of how low USD/BRL can go? . . 1- It has been stuck around 3.2 for about 2 months.. 2- It seems like the BCB might lower the selic soon. Medium/long term Brazilian government bonds are already below 12%; while the fed is likely to lift the US rate once before the end of the year. 3- It seems like the BCB increases the reverse currency swap auction when the BRL goes up too much.. . I am not a good investor and have no clues how these forces will interact together to determine the fate of USD/BRL.

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Diego Santos Sep 06, 2016 12:31PM ET

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I think it was more a consolidation rather than a firm trend been formed. today its dropping hard along with divergence forming down.

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Antonio Castagnoli Sep 05, 2016 6:01PM ET

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Failure swing

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Real Crocodile Sep 05, 2016 6:01PM ET

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Why is USD/BRL going up?. It seems like the fed will not lift the interest rate to more than 2-3% over the next decade. . Plus the impeachment is over.. All the Latam currencies have been up. So why is the BRL down?

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Rafael Sanches Magna Sep 05, 2016 6:01PM ET

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Good question Real Crocodile

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Antonio Castagnoli Sep 05, 2016 6:01PM ET

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Well, I have no idea why, but now it's lateralised and I don't think it's a good currency to deal for mid term. What I have in mind is that the last top (3.34) is still lower than the last wave top (3.3678), showing that we probably have a new resistance at those points (I'd sell at 3.35, if that happens again, which is possible, because it's lateralised).

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Diego Santos Aug 22, 2016 1:09PM ET

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Oh great traders here on Br currency :) that's nice... from now I see a great short opportunity heading to 3.06.. eheh

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