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4.1602 -0.0029    -0.07%
04:04:27 - Real-time Data. ( Disclaimer )
Type: Currency
Group: Exotic
Base: US Dollar
Second: Brazil Real
  • Prev. Close: 4.1630
  • Bid/Ask: 4.1567 / 4.1636
  • Day's Range: 4.1485 - 4.1632
USD/BRL 4.1602 -0.0029 -0.07%
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USD/BRL Discussions

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top form
top form 19 hours ago
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Completely agree the Real will eventually appreciate. However, with the possibility of the Left Candidate PT - Haddad going to the second round, it may be early to bet against the US Dollar.
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stephen chu
stephen chu 17 hours ago
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latest polls from yesterday shows that Bolsonaro would beat everyone in the 2nd round except for Gomes indicating he would beat Haddad as well,  with only a few  bumps along the way the Real should slowly appreciate thru the end of this year. . GDP growth shows that Brazil is on track for sustained economic growth as it accelerates yoy
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 17, 2018 4:33PM ET
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economic growth surges .57 % in july almost 3 times the .20% estimated by economist..look for the Real to keep improving
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Stephen Reimer
Stephen Reimer Sep 17, 2018 4:33PM ET
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amen to that
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marcos sedlmayer
marcos sedlmayer Sep 15, 2018 7:43AM ET
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Nilton I'm trying for days to buy Real and I can't find a bank that's want to sell. they say dollar is over priced.
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Anderson Amorim
Anderson Amorim Sep 15, 2018 7:43AM ET
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Of course it is.
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Sohail Afzaal
Sohail Afzaal Sep 14, 2018 2:06PM ET
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Which Broker is best for  this Pair USD/BRL.
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Bryce Canyon
Bryce Canyon Sep 14, 2018 10:30AM ET
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Fascist Bolsonaro or Marxist PT boy Haddad. Not much of a choice for the Brazilians. Either way, the Real will go down.
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Nilton DaSilva
Nilton DaSilva Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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Banks in Brazil are selling their "real" to hedge against overall EEM crisis.  At the same, they manage risk by holding USD against BRL.  As soon as this "dark cloud" goes away, we will see a jump that will be difficult to chase.  I am building my positions now.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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spot on
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top form
top form Sep 14, 2018 9:50AM ET
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Do you mean shorting the USD vs Real or building equity positions?
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Sunil Bhopal
Sunil Bhopal Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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is this just more speculation that a lefty might win?
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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just the contagion effect of the argentina peso dropping today iMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 6:39PM ET
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or it could be Haddad and Gomes poll %s scaring the mkts since they are ahead of Alkmin or  Haddad tied with Alkmin and Gomes in 2nd place is the problem
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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why no central bank swaps today - its irresponsible of the brazil  central bank
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Levent Gürsel
Levent Gürsel Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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coz this pair is going 6
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top form
top form Sep 13, 2018 4:59PM ET
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Levent GürselAt least 5 for sure
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 2:17PM ET
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thanks argentina peso for messing up BRL today
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 13, 2018 7:36AM ET
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In a country where casting a ballot is mandatory, more than 20 percent are likely to abstain.  this means a right winger win
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 8:05PM ET
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US and China resumes trade talks which is positive for all EM markets
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 8:05PM ET
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although the positive may be muted due to past lack of optimism over a solution - its still a positive nevertheless
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 3:10PM ET
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here is the deal Brazil voters mainly do not know who their candidates are until wks before the election nor do most care - without Lula most of those voters will not even show up wealthiest parties show up to vote Bolsonaro is anti violence so many may vote for him on that platform Alckmin could have the spending TV power to push & influence himself into the 2nd round. The reason the election is in disarray is that the polls in brazil have always been misleading with the margin of error very high not the 2% they indicate The one thing the polls fail to capture are the voters that will actually show up for the election. The PT party is dealt a severe ******without Lula so PT votes will not reflect the polls results as many will not show up to vote despite being polled the who cares attitude of most voters except the rich in Brazil . Alckmin has massive party coalition and despite the polls he may end up in the 2nd round b/c TV ads Alckmin will gain to get closer to the 3rd and then 2nd
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 2:48PM ET
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As most of the polling takes place in hub cities-they do not take into account the areas outside of the hub cities and its region based causing a lot of polling errors..as a result Alkmin despite lagging with only 10% can resurface by the time voting starts  and yes if the final 2 is Bolsonaro and Alkmin - Alkmin has a higher chance of winning in the 2nd round
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 1:43PM ET
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US Dollar has peaked and will be headed mostly lower for the rest of the year - the EM contagion fears as Ive always said was contained in Turkey and Argentina and the indirect effects have been smoke and mirrors once the Brazil elections go positive the US dollar drop the EM improvements and the BRL will be below $4.0 headed towards $3.79 handle again IMHO
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mh mh
mh mh Sep 12, 2018 1:29PM ET
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what looks really promising supports the idea that we are building a bottom that it seems the Brazilian real is building a bottom as well , but give you heads up , building a bottom can end up with a final dip that seems we are heading down to the abyss but usually this will be a  false signal that suddenly reverses and don't look back.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 11:00AM ET
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when both the emerging market situation improves and the election outcome projections become more positive - we could get a double whammy on the upset for the Real - right now its at its bottom and it can only go up IMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 11:00AM ET
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I meant upside not upset - typo
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Nilton DaSilva
Nilton DaSilva Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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Paulo, you are not correct.  Check latest Ibope polls published 9/11.   Bolsonaro will certainly be in the 2nd round on Oct 8.  And, there is no statistic evidence that he will either win or lose the race for president in the final round - unless he faces Haddad who will certaiinly lose against Bolsonaro. That's is what the latest poll says with the caviat that polls are not 100% reliable in Brazil.  Also, the media wants you to think that election polls are driving the Bovespa index & USDBRL.  Truth is that the real devaluation is linked to what is going on internationally with all emerging markets and the USA FED rise in interest rates.  Please read  and research a bit more before posting.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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I believe Brazil is impacted indirectly by the fear of EM contagion but also directly by the elections as well due to the fear of the leftist parties not having the acumen or business savvy to make the reforms and draw back in foreign investments leading to outflows instead - right now its the elections - it happened in Australia, Mexico and every country where policy does matter. . . however I do believe the elections directly affect the real whether it is media created ie by the polls etc or fund managers shorting the Real using the elections as the excuse etc. but only the right wingers have the mindset to make reforms and expand market friendly changes that would bring in massive inflows of foreign investments needed to make Brazil great again IMHO
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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I partially agree about your comments. USD/brl is driven by international commercial war between USA and China. But u must read again my commentary that is only related to election in Brazil, I sad nothing about economy because we have only speculations.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 9:27AM ET
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ie Lula and his leftist PT Hadadd  candidates and other leftist party candidates drew less then 7% in the polls giving them zero shot at the second round the Real would be under $4 right now back towards $3.85
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 12, 2018 1:06AM ET
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what's your sources? u have no idea what is happening in Brazil. You are completely lost about Brazil's rumors. In any situation that has been predicted Bolsonaro doesn't reach the victory.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 12, 2018 1:06AM ET
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if you believe in the polls that are all completely different every time each one comes out - they had polls in the past where a past candidate was ahead and they lost - even in the US Hilary was way ahead up to day of election and she lost - the pollsters in Brazil is even worst - they poll mostly the poor who don't even show up at the elections - and who don't even care - in Brazil the voting blocks are mostly the well educated and rich - ie right wingers
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 11, 2018 4:11PM ET
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the bottom line is Alkmin has all the TV ads by the time election starts the runoff will be Alkimn and Bolsonaro - which means two pro markets - right now its all noise and speculators punishing Brazil for allowing Lula PT party to make a mockery of its election
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Paulo Joel Batista Xavier
Paulo Joel Batista Xavier Sep 11, 2018 4:11PM ET
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what's your sources? u have no idea what is happening in Brazil. You are completely lost about Brazil's rumors. In any situation that has been predicted Bolsonaro doesn't reach the victory.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 11, 2018 11:04AM ET
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appears a newer poll shows leftist Gomes has 13% and Haddad has 9% and Bolsonaro only gaining 2% - these Polls must be a joke all different results changing all the time..appears elections is all that is driving the Real now
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 10, 2018 8:19PM ET
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Brazil Real and Mexico currencies are decoupling from other emerging markets as Latin America may be seen as save havens from the trade wars with China and may even benefits..so it appears that the Election is the only impact on its currency - ie if Bolsonaro continues his ascent - we may have a continued Real rally into the end of the year - $3.70 here we come IMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 10, 2018 8:15PM ET
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a translated poll into English shows:..Bolsonaro reaches 30%.The first survey released after the attempt against Jair Bolsonaro, the third in the series of the FSB to banco BTG, shows Jair Bolsonaro for the first time with 30% of the voting intentions.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 10, 2018 7:05PM ET
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Brazil was the main supplier of crude oil to independent refineries in China in August, up 81.4% year-on-year to 1.21 million tons, S&P Global Platts said..Brazilian shipments of crude oil from January to August increased by 80.7% year-on-year to 10.37 million tons.
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 10, 2018 6:25PM ET
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in latest poll Lula drops to 12% and Haddad his replacement gets only 3%..with Bolsonaro at 26% - the left wingers with tiny support - it appears a right winger will win IMHO
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stephen chu
stephen chu Sep 10, 2018 6:19PM ET
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In the new poll, Mr. Bolsonaro garnered 26% support, while “didn’t know/didn’t respond” was the second most common answer, with 22%, and “no one” came in third, with 13%.
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