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USD/BRL - US Dollar Brazil Real

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5.4587 +0.0396    +0.73%
- Closed. ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Currency
Group:  Exotic
Base:  US Dollar
Second:  Brazil Real
  • Prev. Close: 5.4191
  • Bid/Ask: 5.4582 / 5.4592
  • Day's Range: 5.4048 - 5.4736
USD/BRL 5.4587 +0.0396 +0.73%
USD  
1 USD = 5.4587 BRL
 
BRL  
1 BRL = 0.1832 USD
Date:
01/23/2022
 

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USD/BRL Discussions

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Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 20, 2022 4:47PM ET
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I would like to remind everyone that China just LOWERED their interest rates and that they had and economic growth of 8%+ in 2021. While most countries are stagnant or facing recession, forced to raise the interest rates to curb inflation, they're lowering it to stimulate the market. Contrary to what the regular normie will tell you, China loves a strong USD. They will use their profit to buy Uncle Sam even more (using a lot of USD), since Let's go Brandon is there to do just that: finish selling the USA off to the Chinese. The reason for which China loves a strong USD is because they own such a huge part of the country, obviously, and not because of their deep blue eyes... we all should just remember that out profits are made of other people's losses. Never lose! Manage your risk. There will be huge volatility for sure.
steira steira
steira Jan 20, 2022 4:47PM ET
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In my opinion the USD/BRL could go ~5,20 if it breaks to ~4,80 if it breaks down to 4.20 an then 3.80 - GT to all of you
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 20, 2022 4:47PM ET
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steira steira  good luck with those targets. Just a curiosity: why would you be so bullish on a corrupt country that has nothing to it but being a colony where gringos steal resources from? That's basically what Brazil is. There's nothing here but water, meat, corn, soy beans, metals, etc. Industry and technology are where the big bucks are. I would believe Brazil if it did what South Korea did: invest heavily in basic education for one entire generation, and then proceed to invest into professionals and structure for a thriving technological industry. As it is, nothing but bananas in our future.
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 20, 2022 4:47PM ET
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Patrick de Oliveira fantastic description !!!! You are the best..
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 20, 2022 1:11AM ET
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this year brazil equity market will be flooded with gringos like me. and why not i am up 15% on my brazil portfolio. will book profit before election
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 20, 2022 1:11AM ET
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and yes 5 by june still same target
Stephen Reimer
Stephen Reimer Jan 20, 2022 1:11AM ET
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that's what I'm seeing as well, with Real assets taking off which Brazil is the King of food, materials, metals
John Ebanks
John Ebanks Jan 20, 2022 1:11AM ET
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Just like boxing! Keep your hands up and let them throw all they can collect the ridiculous dividends and now go on the offensive. It's like trying to beat a piece of steel.  Rope a dope style.
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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I expect 5,30 by February, but its a buy always
dx bolyhos
dx bolyhos Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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At this point I don't know what to believe anymore haha
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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dx bolyhos nobody knows , its all probability, you should know your risk thats it .
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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Trilok Singh commodities very expensive !!! Brazil also becoming expensive throughout !! Minimum salary still $220 thats $7 per day.. imagine a family of 4 living with that!!! And there are millions like that. No wonder they daily dream LULA!!!!
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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Clear manipulation !! Someone is playing big !!! When they cash in it will revert furiously !!
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 19, 2022 8:00PM ET
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Francisco Garcia exactly, Brazil is completely commodities based , so inflation hedge , you sell USD. BRL performing better than other emerging markets right now
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 19, 2022 4:13PM ET
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Basic economy for markets: the USA has made it clear that they'll hike interest rates up to 4 times this year. Higher interest rates are fundamentally and historically bad for stocks, because it makes risk investments less profitable than traditional fixed incomes based investments. We all know tech and the general market in the US crashed while commodities and IBOVESPA are killing it. However, people and institutions (even countries. Brazil has a lot of reserves on T10) will shift from risk all over the world to USD as soon as they start to believe those hikes will be real. China just might buy themselves another trillion, just for fun. The payout on their Treasury is already high before the hikes. You can't hedge against inflation using their treasury without converting currencies to USD. Longers can just chill and make new positions, being sure that we'll face volatility, but end up with a stronger USD than before.
Eduardo Scutti
Eduardo Scutti Jan 19, 2022 4:13PM ET
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Perfect! Brazilians have now a great opportunity to buy some USD, the smart ones will make some pretty good profits when the hikes begin.
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 19, 2022 4:13PM ET
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Eduardo Scutti I totally agree and I doubled mu long position just betore the close today. If I am wrong tough luck but I doubt Im wrong .. ridiculous rate of exchange against practically all currencies !!!!!
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Several investment management firms recommended people to get out of dollar and get silver, gold and commodity based stocks priced in "exotic" (haha) currencies. Their reasoning was that USD has peaked and that economic recuperation in the rest of the world will break USD. I'm not onboard for that reasoning, but a good piece of information to put on the scale and evaluate the situation. Play away, swingers, it's a good opportunity. BRL longers will get rekt, though.
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Nero Mastinero
Nero Mastinero Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Patrick could you kindly share the names of the investment management firms who distributed this information? Thank you in advance.
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Nero Mastinero meantike bears heving the fun they hadnt had for long time.. I hope they quickly take advantage this cannot last !!
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Nero Mastinero  Hi Nero! Sure, friend: names like K2 recommended trading dollars for emerging Asian bonds and European stocks. Brandywine went commodities. Bleakley went gold and silver. I will repeat I call that bostadetouro! Hedge Funds and the majority of people and firms trading remain bullish on the long run of USD. In fact, one of the things they repeat the most is that "people have been long at it for too long".
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Nero Mastinero  I'm trying to post but the comments are stuck!
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 13, 2022 3:33PM ET
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Hi Nero! Sure, friend: names like K2 recommended trading dollars for emerging Asian bonds and European stocks. Brandywine went commodities. Bleakley went gold and silver. I will repeat I call that bostadetouro! Hedge Funds and the majority of people and firms trading remain bullish on the long run of USD. In fact, one of the things they repeat the most is that "people have been long at it for too long".
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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Someone big is messing with the market. Im sure because of the pattern.. I have seen this many times .. sooner than later the pattern will reverse. Currencies paying high interest rates sooner than later defacto devalue… in any case notice that BR has not moved much against european currencies !!! Only USD.. and renember USD will start moving up very soon
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Nero Mastinero
Nero Mastinero Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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2003 to 2010 Brazilian economy experienced high growth rates with moderate levels of inflation. Average growth rate of GDP was 4.06% p.y and the average rate of CPI growth was 5.79% p.y. This growth changed dramatically after 2011. Average growth rate was reduced to 1.59% p.y in the period 2011-2014, a reduction of almost 61% in average growth compared to the previous period. At the same time inflation accelerated to 6.17% p.y. 2015-2016 market forecasts for GDP growth showed a contraction of almost 8% in real output. The macroeconomic performance of Brazilian economy in the period 2003-2008 was far superior than the one observed in the second term of President Fernando Henrique Cardoso. President Lula first term had started with an unemployment rate of 12.5%. After reaching a peak of 13.10% of labor force in the first quarter of 2004, unemployment rate begin to fall, reaching 7.5% third quarter 2008.
Nero Mastinero
Nero Mastinero Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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From the numbers, Brazil’s most profitable period of growth was during the Lula administration. Also, the best years for foreign policy. Cardoso e Lula, from my research and studies, have been the most effective presidents for economic stability and growth. Remove the gossip and drama, which runs thick here (BR), and look at the hard facts and it points to Lula being the best option for economic recovery. If we base it on hard facts. The pandemic was a godsend for Bolsonaro because he can blame the rapid decline of the economy on that when in fact without the pandemic foreign economies would continue to stabilize if not grow while in Brazil predictions for economic collapse were publicly realized as of early as 2018. If anything the pandemic slowed it down because globally we were affected. So, it sort of leveled the playing field. I am not emotionally invested in this so you wont read me comment on the candidates character. I’d rather not waste my energy and stick to hard facts.
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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Nero Mastinero  "Gossip and drama"? Lula's first term was an easy ride due to the previous government. He kept in line with those policies. You are ignoring everything that happened from 1994 until he got elected,.and the efforts that came before in order to curb inflation and currency depreciation. You're calling "gossip and drama" the fact that he's condemned and has been unlawfully released by the Supreme Court. The pandemic was good for Bolsonaro? I'm just laughing out loud, so I don't have to cry. You're like the big shot representative from that group of lawyers, the "Prerrogativas"... he said "the crime has been committed, what's the use of punishing it?" about all the crimes of Lula. The man can't even go to the streets without getting called out for what he is: the single most corrupt individual who ever stepped on the presidency, and the most responsible for the economic decline we live in. It's all directly connected to his policies and cartels.  .
Nero Mastinero
Nero Mastinero Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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Patrick de Oliveira if it seems i didnt acredit the Cardoso administration for setting the Brazilian economy in a healthy direction then allow me this moment to do so now. Lula inherited an economy in solid standings n with great growth potential. That is very factual and undeniable. During his years as president he also maintained and grew the economy. The fall of the economy happened during Dilma, Temer and now with Bolsonaro. I didnt say the pandemic made it easier for Bolsonaro. I said the pandemic leveled the global economy in turn this already declining economy didnt hit the lows it couldve if the rest of the world kept on its trajectory sans the pandemix. Entendeu? Im sure the current powers that be would continue cooking the exchange rate as they currently are but we potentially wouldve crossed 6 a while ago. Now, Bolsonaro and his crew can always turn to blame the pandemic for ther economic short comings and not delivering on his campaign policies/promises.
Nero Mastinero
Nero Mastinero Jan 12, 2022 1:28PM ET
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Patrick de Oliveira One more thing, we can discuss differences in opinion and research/experience without denigrating the value of the other side’s point of virw. I try my best to leave my emotions out of discussions of policy and economics because i believe it clouds my intake and sharing of information. I am planning to set aside time to deepen my research concerning Lula’s corruption. Ive heard both sides and hear a lot of emotion but very little explanation of the conspiracy and allegations. Due to this, i am seeking neutral sources who do not mix emotion with facts. Once, i do, if necessary and if i chose, i will respond with an educated summary that is as unaffected and objective as possible. In the meantime, i will crawl back into my cave and continue watching the market, trading successfully (grateful for my timing : luck and research) and observing with a clear and unbiased eye.
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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164159763153415.jpg
Happy New Year
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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I suggest use moving averages , Fibonaccing and a bigger time frame , these lines which you have drawn are baseless
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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ok let me try that fib works
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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Trilok Singh  havent't you ever heard of "moving beverages"? You guess the price while drinking scotch, vodka and rum! Afterwards, you chart it and that's that! Kkkkkkkkkk!
Eduardo Scutti
Eduardo Scutti Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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It’s funny how people can draw a completely random arrow in a chart and in their head it actually makes sense lol
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 07, 2022 6:20PM ET
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Eduardo Scutti lol.....Moving beverages... and you are right i was down 1/2 bottle of burbon
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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Bravo...brazil bravo...Let's go to 5.00000
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James Long
James Long Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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this is not stock exchange this is Brazil.. !! And you can bet your bottom dollar that this is not a 007 movie!!! Never say never DOESNT APPPLY!!! You can safely say DOLLAR WILL NEVER EVER BE 5.00000000 AGAIN!! I accept serious bets!!
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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James Long totally AGREED Im with you for bets !!!
Stephen Reimer
Stephen Reimer Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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do you not see the correlation of um, Operation Carwash and Facebook being used as a Democratic piggy bank for over 100 million towards Democratic outreach, administration of voting, ballot harvesting. the benchmarks compared against are not much better, some say USD far worse situation which makes Brazilian issues to be nothing but a passing storm.
Joao Sedlmayer
Joao Sedlmayer Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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Write this down. If Lula wins the election the usd/brl is going back to 3.50 area.
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 07, 2022 11:46AM ET
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Joao Sedlmayer  easier to go up to 35.
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 06, 2022 6:15AM ET
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Here’s an update , we can see 5,90-6,02 soon
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 06, 2022 6:15AM ET
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I left order to sell my position at 5.95 so I can make 30 big figures profit… then I will start thinking about my next move which FOR SURE will not be short !!
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 06, 2022 6:15AM ET
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prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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hello ladies thank you for cheap stocks today .. bulls here are really helping me to get brazil stocks at cheap price once again thank you
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Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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Be careful , cheap can become more Cheaper , Ibovespa going 95k soon
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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Now it’s all explained You are Gemini, some people born under this sign tend to have hallucinations and are completely out of reality. If you don’t believe me it’s normal, you will never do!! Look at Donald Trump he shares your sign !!!! Hahaha
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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Francisco Garcia francisco you are right i am gemini…..@trilok. i am bot buying all at once buying 5% of allocated capital on every 1% drop.
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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prashant patel if you are buying it with a base braz real currency you will make money but if you are using USD as a base you will lose your shirt .. election year - very dangerous!!!!
prashant patel
prashant patel Jan 05, 2022 9:03PM ET
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Trilok Singh Love Cuban ! Come by I have 4 more to smoke
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 03, 2022 10:12AM ET
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Hello Trilok!! Didnt last very long your 5.55 prediction did it?
Trilok Singh
Trilok Singh Jan 03, 2022 10:12AM ET
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Yes , but it reached 😎
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 03, 2022 10:12AM ET
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Trilok Singh well thats a good answer I suposse !! Hahaha
Patrick de Oliveira
Patrick de Oliveira Jan 03, 2022 10:12AM ET
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Trilok Singh  yes it did, congrats! I would add that it wasn't a surprise, though. I though you meant we'd hover around it, not trampolin us back. Are you still onboard for a more bullish run until February? I think you also mentioned 5,80 by February around November. I believe that in a few months 5,72 will be the new 5,55: touchy-bouncy! Always good to remember (not you, but the folks who read us) that it was once 5, then 5,15, then 5,32, then 5,49...
Francisco Garcia
Francisco Garcia Jan 03, 2022 10:12AM ET
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Patrick de Oliveira then 5.55 then 5.65 and so it goes and will go on and on !!!
Jack London
Jack London Dec 30, 2021 12:59PM ET
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we could see 4.9 Now. What you thing about IT?
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steira steira
steira Dec 30, 2021 12:59PM ET
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thx, this is really a good quality conversation here - at least in USD/BRL