Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to rise, pushing ever higher above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three models. The trend...

Chris Kimble of Kimble Charting Solutions is a favorite technician, and his work is read regularly for good reason. The above chart from Kimble Charting Solutions highlights what could be a potential...

The major issue with the bond market right now is the overwhelming amount of bond issuance combined with the notable absence of the usual buyers. In other words, the illiquidity is already causing...

Rising interest rates have created a decline in treasury bonds not seen in modern times.Well, they say crisis equals opportunity.This may be the case today as we look at a long-term...

Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote “8 Reasons For A Bull Market.” While in hindsight, it is easy to see that was the right call, overall, psychology was...

The ongoing bear market in Treasury bonds is among the worst on record, but several sectors of the fixed-income market remain ports in a storm, based on year-to-date results through Thursday (Oct. 5)...

The bond market rout continues to deteriorate and cause growing pains for banks.  Losses in long-maturity bonds are nearing historical levels after coming under severe pressure due to...

Even though stocks are higher because of this, don’t get too excited that US 30-year yields look like they have found resistance near term. From the looks of it, we have, at least until Friday...

Skyrocketing bond yields put markets in a spin Fed’s higher for longer calls grow louder US 10-year yield approaches 4.8% at 16-year highCan they reach 5.0% and how soon before something...

There are several indicators to watch when assessing risk across the financial markets, and today we discuss one of the more important ones. Junk bonds. When junk bonds are performing well and in...

When we previously wrote about the 10-year government bond yield in mid-February, when it was hovering around 3.75%. Elliott Wave analysis led us to believe that it could reach the 5% mark.Less than...

A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drives yields higher.Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which rose again in yesterday’s trading to...

Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...

There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets.History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...