Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Markets need to re-think the sustainability of the bond rally seen in the past month. Nominal and real rates are seen up. But not by very much. With no sense as of yet that the Fed is done, we...

10-Year US Yields About to Rebound Higher?The United States 10-Year Yields have been pulling back since toping back in October at 4.33% but are they about to rebound from current levels? The market...

Important inflation data hits Tuesday before the Fed finishes its final meeting of the year on Wednesday Corporate bond spreads should continue to be monitored, but we are not seeing significant...

The past few years have seen extreme volatility in the bond market, equating to similar interest rate fluctuations.And it all started with the onset of the coronavirus. The initial panic decline in...

Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy.This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade...

Stocks are overbought and overvalued relative to bonds Over the next year or so, the macro and liquidity environment suggest bonds will fare significantly better than stocks. Institutions will...

Weaker domestic inflation and lower dollar tailwinds for international fixed income Emerging market bonds have rallied sharply off their October low Continuation likely, but gains could be...

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Last month I reported that the ‘fair value’ of the US 10-year Treasury yield appeared “lofty” relative to the average estimate for a combination model. In the weeks since, the...

Bond market returns for 2022 have been horrific, right along the credit curve. For 2023, returns will be helped by a higher starting running yield and subsequent falls in market rates. Bonds will be a...

The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That...

This is a monthly chart of the iShares 1-5 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:IGSB). The chart was sent to me by a technician although the chart sent wasn’t particularly legible...

The rise in interest rates has been meteoric, with mortgage rates reaching levels not seen in nearly two decades.The 10-year U.S. treasury bond yield is highly watched as a leading indicator, and that...

With yields trading at elevated levels and stocks trading at depressed levels, it makes sense that junk bonds are not faring well this year. But they are trying to re-group for a potential...