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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

John Mousseau
President Trump: Bond Market, Week One By John Mousseau - Jan 25, 2017

The market euphoria brought on by President-elect Trump (rising equity markets and bond yields) has now moved on to the reality of President Trump. The spadework of working with Congress to move his ...

Doug Short
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective By Doug Short - Jan 22, 2017

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range ...

Mike Paulenoff
T-Bill Technicals Point To New Upleg By Mike Paulenoff - Jan 13, 2017

My work has triggered preliminary signals that TBT's September-December upleg correction ended at Thursday's January 12 low of 38.19 and that a new upleg has commenced. Notice that the 24-hour upmove ...

Gregory W. Harmon
Triple Threat In Treasuries By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 11, 2017

US Treasuries are facing a triple threat from market technicals. Rising off of the July 2015 low, TLT completed a 3-Drives pattern in July 2016. The following reversal retraced 88.6% of the pattern ...

Marc Chandler
Real U.S. Rates Are Elevated By Marc Chandler - Jan 10, 2017

The US 10-year yield fell briefly below 1.32% last July. The yield slowly rose to reach 1.80% in mid October. The day after the election, the yield initially slipped to almost 1.71%. This was a bit ...

Chris Kimble
Bonds: Possible Long-Term Trend Change By Chris Kimble - Jan 09, 2017

If you've been long bonds since July of 2015, it/s been a long and hard 6 months, as bond prices have fallen hard and yields have shot up. Could rates be peaking and bond prices at their lows? For ...