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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Doug Short
Treasury Yields: A Long-Term Perspective By Doug Short - Jan 22, 2017

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range ...

Mike Paulenoff
T-Bill Technicals Point To New Upleg By Mike Paulenoff - Jan 13, 2017

My work has triggered preliminary signals that TBT's September-December upleg correction ended at Thursday's January 12 low of 38.19 and that a new upleg has commenced. Notice that the 24-hour upmove ...

Gregory W. Harmon
Triple Threat In Treasuries By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 11, 2017

US Treasuries are facing a triple threat from market technicals. Rising off of the July 2015 low, TLT completed a 3-Drives pattern in July 2016. The following reversal retraced 88.6% of the pattern ...

Marc Chandler
Real U.S. Rates Are Elevated By Marc Chandler - Jan 10, 2017

The US 10-year yield fell briefly below 1.32% last July. The yield slowly rose to reach 1.80% in mid October. The day after the election, the yield initially slipped to almost 1.71%. This was a bit ...

Chris Kimble
Bonds: Possible Long-Term Trend Change By Chris Kimble - Jan 09, 2017

If you've been long bonds since July of 2015, it/s been a long and hard 6 months, as bond prices have fallen hard and yields have shot up. Could rates be peaking and bond prices at their lows? For ...