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US Coffee C (KCc5)

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330.85 +1.30    +0.39%
16:58:59 - Closed. Currency in USD
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
  • Prev. Close: 329.55
  • Open: 328.30
  • Day's Range: 320.15 - 332.90
US Coffee C 330.85 +1.30 +0.39%

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Robin Tordoff
Robin Tordoff 9 hours ago
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Double bottom or convenient place to close short term shorts??
coffee arabica
coffee arabica 9 hours ago
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maybe today or monday
coffee arabica
coffee arabica Jun 12, 2025 4:59PM ET
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closed the gap, three days correction, tomorrow 1ooo point up baby
Brent Fleming
Brent Fleming 23 hours ago
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I’m not convinced. Certified stocks + pending is still holding above 850K, and the weather remains favorable—taking frost risk off the table. Managed money continues to liquidate long positions. While the weakening U.S. dollar has been supportive for coffee prices, that slide appears to be losing momentum. If the dollar turns, it could accelerate a move lower. A slight pullback is always possible, but I wouldn’t take a long position without a tight stop. Just my perspective.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 12, 2025 2:17PM ET
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Frosts cancelled, we can go more down!
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 13 hours ago
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After falling in May, coffee futures prices have risen in recent days due to a new cold front that was expected to reach Brazil. The forecast of below-average temperatures for most of the country’s coffee-producing regions raised concerns about possible frosts. “While current forecasts do not indicate a risk of frost, most models are more accurate in the short term, maintaining uncertainty in the market and could lead to new highs. It is also important to note that ICE-certified stocks for arabica and robusta fell below 24/25 levels again last week, raising concerns,” says Laleska Moda, Market Intelligence Analyst at Hedgepoint Global Market. :):):)
Coffee Arabica
Coffee Arabica 12 hours ago
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 11 hours ago
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Yes, she says there are still some concerns :):):). Well, she said on 10th, may be not anymore...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 11 hours ago
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323.90 would be a complete retracement of previous move up. :)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 11 hours ago
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323.90 would be a complete retracement of previous move up. :)
Brent Fleming
Brent Fleming Jun 12, 2025 1:41PM ET
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The prevailing wind patterns seem to favor a more mild winter, pointing to a lower frost risk. I'm starting to think 400-450 plus may be in are rear view mirror.
Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Jun 12, 2025 9:23AM ET
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Gap filled ;)
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Leal Samp
Leal Samp Jun 12, 2025 9:23AM ET
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Oscar Correa im thinking on 315
Jose Lopez
Jose Lopez 7 hours ago
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387
Jose Lopez
Jose Lopez 7 hours ago
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387
Jose Lopez
Jose Lopez 7 hours ago
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387.
Jose Lopez
Jose Lopez 7 hours ago
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387.
Frank Shan
Frank Shan Jun 11, 2025 1:01PM ET
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Even If Downside Is my market idea, I Think that due to several different weather forecast view regarding the min temperatures till Sunday some attention should be paid.
Sebastian Meyer
Sebastian Meyer Jun 11, 2025 1:01PM ET
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I also notice very dry weather in the MG area. About what area are you concerned regarding min temperatures?
Frank Shan
Frank Shan Jun 11, 2025 1:01PM ET
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Pocos de Caldas. Small but usually in the past coldest
m C
m C Jun 11, 2025 1:01PM ET
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normal cycles, its down from here.
Andrei Macoveiu
Andrei Macoveiu Jun 11, 2025 3:55AM ET
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What is rollover price ?
Csaba Balogh
Csaba Balogh Jun 11, 2025 3:55AM ET
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PETER KAVUMA
PETER KAVUMA Jun 10, 2025 11:15PM ET
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Mr. Viriato  Are you in Brazil won't the tests made. Affect the coffee out turn?
Seattle Husky
SeattleHusky Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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Bad News: The latest green coffee bean import data of China (Metric Ton): Jan 2025 -- 15,900.3 (Down by 57.19% YoY), Feb 2025 -- 13,477.1 (Down by 36.92% YoY), Mar 2025 -- 16,676.1 (Down by 22.30% YoY). First Season 2025 China green coffee bean import total (Metric Ton): 46,053.5 (Down by 42.41% compared with 2024). Data source: General Administration of Customs China
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Frank Shan
Frank Shan Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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For the ones that foresee (currently) the consumption skyrocketing in China
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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By last USDA view, consumption in China was roughly 6mb and domestic production was roughly 2mb, what leaves 4mb to be satisfied by the import. 46000mt is roughly 770kb of green bean within first quarter and on average times 4 it would be roughly 3mb of import of GB within calendar year. USDA projected that in MY 24/25 coffee year import of green beans would rise to 3.6mb (projected !), what leaves roughly 500kb for soluble/roasted. If to assume MY and calendar year to be roughly same and to assume that soluble/roasted will stay the same (and usually soluble goes up when price goes up significantly :)), then 500kb is roughly the drop vs projected on annual basis. Anybody who thinks that 500kb drop in Chinese consumption vs 4mb drop on production in Brazil (USDA) is a very important and influencing factor is fooling himself. There is no doubt that rationing is happening but percentage wise as all the current RETAIL online prices still show, it is within a normal range. As example, I could refer to Ivory Coast production, etc - many small origins where due to weather anomalies production ... halved. :):):)
Frank Shan
Frank Shan Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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USDA view Is a reliable source but also the Chinese Custom too I suppose and there is another issue regarding USDA forecast i.e Colombia 2025/26 expected production 12.5 millions recently FNC for same period forecasted 15 millions. Who Will be the right One ? Maybe FNC? Food for thoughts
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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I take figures, presented by Seattle, for granted :) as I do not have the access to Chinese custom data. But on average basis (projecting first quarter towards whole year :)) it would show only 500kb vs previous forecast, not counting first of all soluble and after that - roasted. 500kb itself is not a meaningful figure, it would be about 8% of projected consumption and while it would show the immediate change in trend in China, as a meaningful catalyst for the ICE price move it would mean nothing. It is not my or whoever else personal guess but a hard fact. Regarding FNC and 15mb, I would make a following comment: as CONAB and other institutions in Brazil, FNC is a primary source of data for USDA, then adjusted using USDA statistical models, etc...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 10, 2025 8:24PM ET
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Personally, I have no doubt, that consumption in China will continue growing and an average rate will be comparable with the average rate in Asia. Thus, China remains an absolutely huge potential.
 
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