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ICE US Coffee C Futures - May 24 (KCc3)

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147.10 0.00    0.00%
29/09 - Delayed Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
  • Prev. Close: 147.10
  • Open: 149.00
  • Day's Range: 147.00 - 149.45
US Coffee C 147.10 0.00 0.00%

US Coffee C Futures Candlestick Patterns

 
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Pattern Timeframe Reliability Candles Ago Candle Time
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Bullish Engulfing 1H Current
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Falling Three Methods 1M 15 Jul 22
Bullish Engulfing 1M 17 May 22
Three Black Crows 1M 18 Apr 22
Harami Bullish 1W 56 Sep 04, 2022
Three Inside Up 1W 62 Jul 24, 2022
Inverted Hammer 1W 63 Jul 17, 2022
Bullish doji Star 1W 66 Jun 26, 2022
Harami Bullish 1W 66 Jun 26, 2022
Harami Cross 1W 66 Jun 26, 2022
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 30, 2023 9:14AM ET
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ICE finally changed the rules it's regrading old coffee.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 30, 2023 9:14AM ET
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CECAFE A certs of Sept for yesterday: 2.345mb vs 3.008mb of A shipped in Sept 22. We'll see what final CECAFE numbers will show but currently Dif is 650kb or -21% Y/on/Y. Nobody wants A they say... :)
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 30, 2023 9:14AM ET
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Out of curiosity re-checked EU projections for the sector towards 2030, dated about spring 2023, different analytical bodies. Only growth is shown, the subject in question in relation to the acceleration is specialty coffee due to its price and availability. No doom expectations found... Asia-Pacific region showing good growth with China taking 2d place after Japan and growing double digits. US transforms more into quality coffee and coffee drinks and doing just fine. Unless another Covid or event of similar DNA will take place, it is really hard to find any fundamentals that would point to slowing/decreasing of RETAIL coffee consumption in the world. I haven't found any. But I could miss some special reports, etc...
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 30, 2023 9:14AM ET
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Re interest rate, expensive storage and storing at origins, buying bonds instead :). This is not like importing/distribution industries work. The one who supplies the big market share must have product in stock ready for delivery - otherwise competition will eat its slice of cake. Current interest rate is not the highest in history at all :) :) :) and coffee survived all higher ones just fine :). If to count all big markets population wise, assume the growth of population and of income (verifiable figures), ICO projection of demand, rising about 3mb per year looks nothing but just normal. The one who wants additional confirmations may check how many new coffee shops got open globally within last 5 years or so... Thus, every 3 years add 9mb to consumption so, 22+23+24 would add 9mb. Capsules balance the market as it requires much less coffee per cap, but capsules are not all the market. In Brazil there are cultivars for any reason: rust, drought, yield, etc but USDA still sticks to about 30b/ha average yield, even adding density every year... Someone has to provide 9mb more or so every 3 years to keep the stocks to use ratio at bay. Who would it be ? :) :) :) ICE stock report shows 442kb for Friday - no dramatic changes somehow. It's not the only thing in the game, but it says that it is still not comfortable :) to deliver to ICE. Usually, this is not what's happening when there is too much coffee around. Wherever I would look I can't find bearish fundamentals currently and technicals (stochastic, cycles wise) point to a probable reversal soon. Weather beats the previous records one by one and it points to more anomalies going forward if to look simply... All may change and 2024 may come out amazing as more flowering will take place from now and nobody knows at this point but nothing currently points to all new record coming! I again wish everybody profitable trades and good crops to producers! Not to buy or sell :) !
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Sep 29, 2023 1:03PM ET
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Why most of my posts are been deleted? Interesting 🤔
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 29, 2023 10:51AM ET
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In the meantime, the long-term 45-day weather forecast promises nice and evenly distributed rains, which should ensure good conditions during the flowering season. Farmers are behind schedule with the sale of the 23/24 season's crop, having held back in anticipation of a weather catastrophe.  Finally they have to start to sell. At the same time demand for coffee doesn't look too good, retail sales figures show declines, for example Germany -2.3% year-on-year. Buying coffee to stock up is very expensive now, much better to buy bonds instead of coffee, and let the producers to hold on stocks.
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Sep 29, 2023 10:51AM ET
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Those forecasts are very reliable. It's been raining since September 15. Here the same. A lot of rains. Nice quality coffee thanks to good fertilization and rains.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 29, 2023 10:51AM ET
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By the end of September, Brazil is in the dry season. This drama is unnecessary.
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Sep 29, 2023 10:51AM ET
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ShortDude ShortDude  Drama? Everything is perfect. Here the production will be about 25 M bags
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Tesfaye Kenea Degechissa
Tesfaye Kenea Degechissa Sep 29, 2023 10:51AM ET
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Why is that 45-days forecast reliable?
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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Meanwhile :), we like or not, the idea of Super El Niño started slightly spreading around :) :) :). Weather channel aired NCAR/UCAR view of what may come - likely :) :) :) to develop into strongest on record, comparable with 97/98. Peak is expected in Dec... Still a prediction, specifically based on new model, etc... We should monitor if more institutions/weather gurus will join the club shortly...
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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Only time will tell, but if the chorus will get more pronounced, perception will start shifting too...
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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While Maja has left us, you fill the role of messenger of doom with great dedication.
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MGom MGom
MGom Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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Could El Niño be the last hope ?
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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Los Ninos :) :) :). As Maja got back to work :) recently :), I have to give it all back after enjoying my short moments of glory! :) :) :) I'm consistent but never a doom prophet - whoever is short or long, I do not care and wish everyone to make and not to loose! I'll be very silent since Oct as I don't have much to say anymore and I don't like to annoy people for a very long time :) :) :) ! KC is approaching key levels for me as the weather trends do and may be it's gonna be my chance to collect straight 100p that I missed in 2010 (it was a lot of frustration :( ) ! Or may be not - anyway, I'm very excited to find out !!! I wish everyone a great weekend and profitable trades !
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 29, 2023 9:08AM ET
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I start building it up. :) :) :)
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Nikolay Borisov
Nikolay Borisov Sep 29, 2023 7:49AM ET
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Yes, next month bullish!
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To Mas
To Mas Sep 29, 2023 7:49AM ET
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lets catch that falling knife and thow it to the sky :D
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To Mas
To Mas Sep 29, 2023 4:13AM ET
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looks clear sell today also last day in month hmm i am curious how it ends
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 29, 2023 2:25AM ET
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Retail sales in Germany -2,3% YoY.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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Meanwhile, CECAFE reviewed its Excel and found that Brazil has exported much more in recent days than previously reported. See what a beautiful correction
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MGom MGom
MGom Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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Don't be so critical. It may be that a single operator only certified its exports in the last days of September
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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Maybe I would agree with you if it weren't for the fact that for most of the day there were no numbers or daily report to download on the cecafe website. Evidently they were tweaking the reports.
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mariusz pruchinski
mariusz pruchinski Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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Sounds like bullish news isn't it ?
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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How it can be bullish. Could you explain?
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 28, 2023 4:09PM ET
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At least producers are still friendly and importers interested ! No boycott in sight :) :) :) !
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Maks Mars
Maks Mars Sep 28, 2023 3:50PM ET
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Hello my friends silent on coffee due to big banks (Vontobel) so cant go short due to lack of european etfs or derivates certificates…..will wait for right moment to start accumulating long from 130 to 90$ lol
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MGom MGom
MGom Sep 28, 2023 3:22PM ET
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Predictions confirming themselves. Simple, without sophisticated analysis. Refrain from excesses.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 28, 2023 3:22PM ET
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We'll see if it'll be serious drought from now on towards 27/28 :). Many never come true :). Period from now til 2040 fits incredibly perfectly into current (2020 - 2053) GSM cycle. Study was done without any connection to it... I'll refrain :).
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Sep 28, 2023 3:22PM ET
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Viriato you are going further and further away. Are you forecasting the weather for 2053?
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MGom MGom
MGom Sep 28, 2023 3:22PM ET
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I don't know if I'll make it, but I hope I'm alive by then to evaluate.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Sep 28, 2023 3:22PM ET
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I'll not make it 100%. :) :) :)
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