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US Coffee C Futures - Mar 22 (KCH2)

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242.85 +6.25    +2.64%
09:28:44 - Real-time derived data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 236.60
  • Open: 238.20
  • Day's Range: 237.15 - 242.97
US Coffee C 242.85 +6.25 +2.64%
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Atul Minocha
Atul Minocha 19 minutes ago
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Robusta has gone mad with all records broken for last 10/11 years
NOTHIG PERSONAL JUST BUSINESS
FAROUT 47 minutes ago
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Semi annual report at Dec. 17 could reverse the trend
Smart Swt Avishek
Smart Swt Avishek 1 hour ago
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any prediction for today closing
Terje Bakke
Terje Bakke 2 hours ago
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A good strategy lately has been to do the opposite of what rabobank says👍🏻
BIG John
BIG John 2 hours ago
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Yes, Robobank is very stably unreliable LOL
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus 2 hours ago
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Coffee looking a bit tired this week and it's teasing just above weekly Rsi. Added a short to the one core position. But the coffee contract is huge lol.
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus 2 hours ago
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Dang! I did not apply my new rule. One of the preconditions of starting a position is that intraday price action should confirm the trade. Enfin, the 2 week price action fits my  position.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 18 hours ago
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Interesting data about export on cecafe website. Nice start od December 👍
James Wilson
James Wilson 16 hours ago
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do you mean data for two days?
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 6 hours ago
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Why not? 2 working days is 10% of the month.
James Wilson
James Wilson 5 hours ago
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Than I see Audi A6 again!
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 48 minutes ago
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Avant ?
BIG John
BIG John 19 hours ago
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Strong day and very strong close, shows more upside is coming IMO.
Sam Houston
Sam Houston 22 hours ago
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238.5 in preparation for red friday..
Sam Houston
Sam Houston 21 hours ago
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seems 238 or above is a nice short..
Konni steira
conny 20 hours ago
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i buy more, i think the can print more $ than coffeebeans exist on earth
Sam Houston
Sam Houston 19 hours ago
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Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus 22 hours ago
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If I was not ******in an untimely natgas position I'd add another short on today's bounce.
Show previous replies (2)
Coffee Arabica
Coffee Arabica 22 hours ago
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Hi V!
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 22 hours ago
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NG is a good example of mood switching. Few believed in summer it can go to 6 or higher but it went. Then it corrected (trying to make a bottom now basis H22 :) ).Now few believe it can go back to 6 while US winter didn't even started yet. Like many, I have no idea what it's gonna do, but I wouldn't be bearish after substantial pullback knowing that US winter is still ahead. Also knowing that EU/Asia winter is coming very cold and US winter was projected also cold. :) Weather is a tricky thing but it seems more reasonable to be bullish after pullback in current circumstances. :)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 22 hours ago
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And Hi back!
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 22 hours ago
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But those that tried to build NG position around 5.5 - 6 level (H22) could find themselves in a very confused situation indeed. :)
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus 16 hours ago
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Viriato Magalhaes Yes, started longs NG too early which is a dangerous flaw in commodities and especially in natgas. Right now, I wish I would not have started that new adventure.,,.
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 02, 2021 9:13AM ET
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seems like same as yesterday
BIG John
BIG John Dec 02, 2021 9:13AM ET
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Let´s not hope so, but sure looks like it.
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus Dec 02, 2021 4:57AM ET
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Told you so.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Dec 02, 2021 4:57AM ET
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No exactly. Nasdaq is green.
BIG John
BIG John Dec 02, 2021 4:57AM ET
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Right or wrong - no one likes "Told you so..." guys. - Praise is something you get - not something you give yourself
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 02, 2021 1:23AM ET
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https://www.barchart.com/story/news/6423225/arabica-coffee-closes-lower-on-projections-for-a-202223-global-coffee-surplus?custom_url=news
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Dec 02, 2021 1:23AM ET
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Due to the quantity and constant fluctuation of the variables, it is absolutely impossible to predict the number of next KC BRL crop or KC BRL losses due to frost and drought. But basic reasonable numbers tell us that after drought and frost the situation is, first of all, not ... bearish, going into 21/22 and 23/24. Any real pullback will be very healthy for the bulls and it will present a great oportunity for position building.
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar 23 hours ago
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right shoulder formed, waiting for 228 breakdown 😎
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 23 hours ago
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For example, BRL$ is in long downtrend currently. But it has a tendency to appriciate when agro prices overall go up (BRAZIL is a big hub of agro :) ). From current levels BRL can appriciate 5 - 10% easy. It will be a very bullish factor for KC as for other agros.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 23 hours ago
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A reasonable conservative figure of 21/22 KC BRL shortage would be 10mil bags (can be more easy). Add to this other origins small problems collectively about 5mil bags, add some openning stocks :) discrepancies :) of 2 - 3 mil bags and the number will come to 17 - 18 mil bags. It's all speculation, for sure, but a reasonable one (weather is not cooperative currently as the whole situation either...)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 23 hours ago
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But when specs are record long pullbacks don't need the fundamentals to occure. :)
Freelance Team
Freelance Team Dec 01, 2021 5:46PM ET
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5H looking like formation of head and shoulders
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 01, 2021 5:46PM ET
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228 is the neckline to be broken down
Freelance Team
Freelance Team Dec 01, 2021 5:46PM ET
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If 228 and the rest of the outline is not broken in a fairly symetrical time frame there ma be more uptrend.
Freelance Team
Freelance Team Dec 01, 2021 5:46PM ET
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previous peaks were not symmetrical on the 1M
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 01, 2021 5:46PM ET
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if 240 is broken upside, then upto 260 with a failed h&s imo
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus Dec 01, 2021 4:17PM ET
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Could bounce on Thursday with Nasdaq puking...
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Dec 01, 2021 2:01PM ET
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Supportive ICE data
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 01, 2021 2:01PM ET
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supportive of long or short?
Keith Moore
Keith Moore Dec 01, 2021 1:25PM ET
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12-2 starts the very bullish season! I'm just going to Drop that here
BIG John
BIG John Dec 01, 2021 1:25PM ET
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Why 12/2 ? - I am bullish coffee, but I don´t see why tomorrow should be special?
Keith Moore
Keith Moore Dec 01, 2021 1:25PM ET
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Actually it was meant for the Gold room! To many windows open. Glad to hear your bullish though as I I'm long today but this closing near the lows makes me Nervous!
Maciej Maciej
green_bastard Dec 01, 2021 1:25PM ET
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yes because it has more potential to the downside. 60 vs 130
Terje Bakke
Terje Bakke Dec 01, 2021 12:24PM ET
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I call them April fools day everyday Bank. Remember their last crystal ball prediction😏
MGom MGom
MGom Dec 01, 2021 12:03PM ET
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Believe it or not, Raboband said: 1) Arabica projected to average $2/lb in 1Q22, dropping to $1.66/lb in 4Q22 2) Robust to an average of $2,000 / t in 1Q22, falling to $1,800 / t in 4Q22
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Dec 01, 2021 12:03PM ET
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Robusta is gonna be new star! :)
MGom MGom
MGom Dec 01, 2021 12:03PM ET
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Evening Star candlestick ?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Dec 01, 2021 12:03PM ET
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:):):)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Dec 01, 2021 11:51AM ET
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Not related to any analytical exercise, there is one technical issue currently: the specs long position itself. When it becomes close to the record one, the market becomes vulnerable quite quickly. It doesn't mean much in terms of ability of KC to go higher, but the longer specs get, the more vulnerable market becomes. It works both sides (today opening gap occured on roughly 250 lots :) ), but keeping in mind the level we are at, and many metrics being really streched out, the pullback may be very sensitive. At the same time it would be very healthy for the next bull move. :)
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Dec 01, 2021 11:51AM ET
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Probably they reduced longs a bit from 245 evels.
Mercury KG
Mercury KG Dec 01, 2021 11:35AM ET
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Rabobank made a silly forecast yesterday, did not help the bulls.Their envoy has been a lowly bank teller too long. He must thinkit is still flowering. They must be shorting the market, but they are going to get their shorts wetjust like some crystal ball and turban types...
Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Dec 01, 2021 11:35AM ET
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They just need a good buy entry
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus Dec 01, 2021 10:32AM ET
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Wow, everyone bullish.
Jarred Buchanan
Jarred Buchanan Dec 01, 2021 9:21AM ET
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Its time to skyrocket! Multiple short supplies, new “variant” paranoia is overblown. Time to skyrocket!
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria Dec 01, 2021 9:21AM ET
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If not for the market retraction following the fear of the new "variant" we would already be above 250.
Konni steira
conny Dec 01, 2021 9:21AM ET
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Hi Rodrigo, i think it's healthy for the market that we don't go to straight up...gap closed today
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus Dec 01, 2021 8:21AM ET
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Let's face it. One year bull rally is finishing. Sell the rip until 180 in February.
Roelant Martinus
Roelant Martinus Dec 01, 2021 8:21AM ET
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Keeping one short as core position & scalping additional shorts on the way down. That's what I'm doing.
BIG John
BIG John Dec 01, 2021 8:21AM ET
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Happy to take your money.
Hsiang Huang
Hsiang Huang Dec 01, 2021 8:21AM ET
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I will keep my long position till 300-320
tolga akpınar
tolga akpınar Dec 01, 2021 8:10AM ET
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get ready for a downfall, 228 critical imo
Robin Tordoff
Robin Tordoff Dec 01, 2021 5:43AM ET
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Going to long the break at 237
 
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