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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 24 (KCU4)

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239.98 +1.78    +0.75%
07:32:50 - Real-time derived data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 238.20
  • Open: 237.05
  • Day's Range: 236.65 - 240.80
US Coffee C 239.98 +1.78 +0.75%

US Coffee C Futures User Rankings

 
Ranking of users according to the performance of their sentiments for the US Coffee C Futures.
RankUsernameTotalClosedWinningWin %Chg. %
1Romel Miranda Ribeiro37036932788.62+115.36%
2Abhishek Mysore Ramachandra66664568.18+94.62%
3CELIO ANTONIO V.BAILONI89189080590.45+67.65%
4Vijay Boda23232086.96+62.4%
5Ekaterina Kutnyak87571.43+56.03%
6Riquelmer Cruz1171177765.81+52.12%
7Julian Palacio99666.67+50.93%
8Arunas Balciunas15141178.57+49.94%
9Hich Hich99666.67+49.2%
10Juancho Miranda20201680+45.91%
11CRISTIAN BRAVO1110770+41.78%
12R o m i l do66466.67+41.27%
13Pedro Ginjaume66466.67+41.1%
14Artur Movsisyan98987677.55+40.26%
15Berti Abuaf333100+40.18%
16Steve Roberts1212975+39.95%
17Jakub Barej44375+38.5%
18Prabhakar Bs55480+38.49%
19John Cruise99888.89+37.69%
20Dirk Bolkaerts55480+37.65%
21pedro primeiro91916874.73+37.41%
22Coccolino Alex23221568.18+37.15%
23Adin Emerito Manueles Benitez1010660+36.1%
24Moravid Ecks19191052.63+35.7%
25Debsi66466.67+33.86%
26YOGESH KUMAR19191684.21+33.77%
27Big Cov333100+33.7%
28Luca Brunelli333100+33.15%
29Giuliano Zanlucchi1111981.82+32.75%
30syed rafay alrafai 299777.78+32.7%
31Duygu Akaytar76583.33+32.68%
32David Garbuzov222100+32.01%
33DocGreenmore15815714793.63+31.65%
34Jacopo Bussadori1010660+31.53%
35Ruben Reyes211100+31.5%
36Victor Portillo49482858.33+31.23%
37Lucas Garcia766100+31.08%
38Mas Mas44375+30.91%
39Michael Wagner333100+30.67%
40Josemar Moreira333100+30.39%
41Alberto Zoppis333100+30.36%
42bill billsson222100+30.22%
43Ramon Fiallos44250+30.06%
44сергей тарасов29282071.43+30.02%
45Fabiano Dutkievicz Nakayama88675+30.01%
46Geoffrey Loots98562.5+29.79%
47Kostas Jj222100+29.67%
48BigPG23232295.65+29.1%
49Agustin Gutierrez1616956.25+29.05%
50Tabrez Munavar Hussain444100+28.76%
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 7:38PM ET
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Anybody, who expects some official declarations of crop numbers, etc should keep in mind two main things: 1) what institution he would like to make it; 2) what history tells about similar situations in the past. In current situation, when confusion is quite high already, there are two organizations, that will play most significant role: CONAB and USDA. USDA will print it in December, CONAB's next one is gonna be in September. Until then the only true official :) numbers are exports and ECF/ICE stocks. History wise, and it is easy verifiable via previous reports, related to similar situations, both, CONAB and USDA never rushed to make very low or much lower projections before harvest is officially over. If the crop is not :) that amazing as many still hope :), CONAB will correct it in Sep report. But it would be very naive to expect CONAB to show 10mb drop from their May number, especially, assuming their methodology :) and final figures, etc. And USDA will say nothing until Dec, what is very smart, as it lets the dust get settled by itself and if all is not very very bad, then effect will be not as critical as it would be if USDA would drop a bomb in June report. So, those that expect some tragic numbers to be officially declared, have to ask themselves carefully who has to do it ??? :) :) :)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 7:38PM ET
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Few things may be added to it: 1) High temps continue torturing many origins; 2) Coffee tree is still the tree that provides a good yield within specific but not ANY conditions; 3) usually, farmers are not crying left and right about bad crops - nobody wants to be/look like a looser :); even if it's not his particular fault; 4) at the time of record crops you don't get news/rumors (I skip science :) on purpose), like we get last few months; 5) never in agrohistory any tree or plant while being (functioning) in critical conditions, compensates size or weight or quality of the fruit by some other factor :): plant is trying to minimize the damage but not to provide record yield for the farmer :).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 7:38PM ET
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Thus, the reduction as official number(s) will not be admitted all at once, it will be a process with a lot of rumors and speculations. But science, the one believes it or not, says very clear that 25/26 crop will be affected. Degree depends on many factors, still unknown, but vs would be normal OFF crop (and globally :)) - it will be smaller, that's what science says. It is hard to screw the science :)...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 7:38PM ET
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What comes out of all that ? That, as stubborn danish woman Maja said, every level will not be given up easy, and unless some big disaster will heat - it will be fight and retest. Until now 200 was defeated and now it will be very meaningful if any retest will stop on 220 - 230 but not 200... That will mean that market came to a conclusion that until huge crops became confirmed reality :), 200 level is a new base. From which, if something will strike hard, the spike will go :). Besides, now any risk factor will be considered with a multiplier ...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 7:38PM ET
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Maja tweeted, that Oaxaca coffee officials expect loss between 30 and 60%. People do not drop 30 - 60% just out of conspiracy :)... And stations data confirms the temps... Same applies to Brazil :).
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 22 hours ago
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One has to be careful with Maja and her opinions not to fall into the trap. She's always bullish and blows huge trouble for the coffee crop no matter what. This year she is fortunate that the weather has actually gone crazy. But after all, she was predicting prices of 300 and higher even before the heat came and the harvest promised to be very good. That's why the price dropped below 150. Now she's talking about huge deficits and new ATH. Without new flowering troubles in Brazil ATH is quite doubtful.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 19, 2024 1:09PM ET
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Robusta is green. Small hint to Arabica traders
Dilger Beccarra
Dilger Beccarra Jul 19, 2024 12:31PM ET
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Which are the actual contract conditions?
fudbal fudbalko
fudbal fudbalko Jul 19, 2024 6:52AM ET
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After all, coffee isn't gold....
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 19, 2024 6:52AM ET
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It's interesting that you know already how the weather will be in one year on advance..
Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza Jul 19, 2024 6:52AM ET
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ShortDude ShortDudeit was my question too, and coffee is not gold because we can produce it… depending on the weather
fudbal fudbalko
fudbal fudbalko Jul 19, 2024 6:52AM ET
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ShortDude ShortDudeTime doesn't matter, it's just that when the governments of various countries burden the pores, people won't drink it anymore. According to every economic law, farmers will have to bring down prices
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 19, 2024 6:52AM ET
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At some point everything will go somewhere :), but predictions or projections make sense when they are targeting specific time frame. Otherwise, while proven being correct, they (predictions) worst nothing. Everybody was laughing at emotional danish woman Maja at the time and recently, however til now she is the one who was correct. :) But not those, promising/expecting 80-100mb and coffee at $1. :)
fudbal fudbalko
fudbal fudbalko 21 hours ago
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Viriato Magalhaesin a year at most....
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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BRAZIL'S 2024/25 COFFEE PRODUCTION FORECAST REVISED DOWN TO 66.04 MLN BAGS FROM 70.37 MLN INITIALLY ESTIMATED - SAFRAS & MERCADO
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To Mas
To Mas Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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better moved positive sl to 237 after this news
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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Revision is only 5% down. No big deal maybe
To Mas
To Mas Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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nevermind i am out with my sell :) gl buyers
Jing SQL
JingSQL Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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Could you share the source/URL? I've just searched Google and only found your post here。Thank you.
Jing SQL
JingSQL Jul 19, 2024 5:52AM ET
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Could you share your source/URL? I've searched Google and only found your post here。Thank you.
To Mas
To Mas Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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h4 chart looks like beggining of 20 dollar drop
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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Friday morning at low liquidity someone is playing nicely.
To Mas
To Mas Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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when they say on TV that cofffee will go up its garanteeed signal to sell lol they said it at 250
Terence Lee
Terence Lee Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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nice call my stops taken out 236
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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True. When everyone is talking in TV about higher prices at least intermediate top is in.
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria Jul 17, 2024 6:13AM ET
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Today is Friday, right? Wait for Monday.
Krzysztof Chrustowski
Krzysztof Chrustowski Jul 17, 2024 4:38AM ET
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Multinational food giant Nestlé says it has developed a new high-yielding coffee variety called Star 4, while targeting the world’s largest coffee-producing market, Brazil. In an announcement of the launch of Star 4 last week, the Swiss company said the cultivar has demonstrated relatively high production yields and overall resiliency to pests and disease. The company went a step further to suggest that those factors represent a sustainability win for the green coffee sector as a whole, despite the proprietary nature of the development. “The new variety is characterized by its larger bean size and coffee leaf rust resistance,” Jeroen Dijkman, head of Nestlé’s Institute of Agricultural Sciences, said in the press release. “Our field trials have demonstrated that, using similar inputs, the yields of Star 4 are substantially higher than the two most used Brazilian local varieties, which reduces its carbon footprint.”
coffee arabica
coffee arabica Jul 17, 2024 4:38AM ET
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they understand about coffee like I do about nuclear bombs
Alex Cataldo
Alex Cataldo Jul 17, 2024 4:38AM ET
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Nestle produces nespresso's entire coffee line, instant coffee mixes, and most of the shelf for starbucks...... I would say they know quite a bit about the industry and the crops. They have the capital and ventured interest in this type of thing.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 17, 2024 4:38AM ET
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Nestle is a Swiss multinational food and drink processing conglomerate corporation headquartered in Vevey, Switzerland. It has been the largest publicly held food company in the world, measured by revenue and other metrics, since 2014.
Alpha Centauri
Alpha Centauri Jul 17, 2024 4:38AM ET
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They also sell the water. But bottled;)
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jul 17, 2024 4:24AM ET
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The assumption that the weather for the 25/26 crop will be supportive of good yields is based on what? Each successive month is record hot. Summer is raging in Europe. The heat is also at a record high in much of the continent. Brazil has winter and temperatures in the coffee regions are more like summer.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 17, 2024 4:24AM ET
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This assumption is based on nothing currently, as 2025 crop depends on 2024 development as 2024 depended om 2023. By science and historical precedents, 2025 will show a reduction vs would be normal. The question is what will be reduction ? If the weather somehow will be ideal - reduction will be smaller, if the weather will be not cooperative - reduction will be bigger. But ideal weather is very highly unlikely. :):):)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jul 17, 2024 4:24AM ET
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First official admittance of the drop should be seen in Sep, when CONAB will come out with its numbers. USDA is only in Dec... :):):)
Atilla Hidi
Atilla Hidi Jul 17, 2024 4:24AM ET
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250
Terence Lee
Terence Lee Jul 17, 2024 2:07AM ET
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added another long...trailing stops to 271/276
 
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