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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 23 (KCN3)

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180.75 -1.95    -1.07%
26/05 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 182.70
  • Open: 182.62
  • Day's Range: 180.33 - 184.78
US Coffee C 180.75 -1.95 -1.07%

US Coffee C Futures User Rankings

 
Ranking of users according to the performance of their sentiments for the US Coffee C Futures.
RankUsernameTotalClosedWinningWin %Chg. %
1Romel Miranda Ribeiro37036932788.62+115.36%
2Abhishek Mysore Ramachandra66664568.18+94.62%
3CELIO ANTONIO V.BAILONI89189080590.45+67.65%
4Vijay Boda23232086.96+62.4%
5Ekaterina Kutnyak87571.43+56.03%
6Riquelmer Cruz1171177765.81+52.12%
7Julian Palacio99666.67+50.93%
8Arunas Balciunas15141178.57+49.94%
9Hich Hich99666.67+49.2%
10Juancho Miranda20201680+45.91%
11CRISTIAN BRAVO1110770+41.78%
12R o m i l do66466.67+41.27%
13Pedro Ginjaume66466.67+41.1%
14Artur Movsisyan98987677.55+40.26%
15Berti Abuaf333100+40.18%
16Steve Roberts1212975+39.95%
17Jakub Barej44375+38.5%
18Prabhakar Bs55480+38.49%
19John Cruise99888.89+37.69%
20Dirk Bolkaerts55480+37.65%
21pedro primeiro91916874.73+37.41%
22Coccolino Alex23221568.18+37.15%
23Adin Emerito Manueles Benitez1010660+36.1%
24Moravid Ecks19191052.63+35.7%
25Debsi66466.67+33.86%
26YOGESH KUMAR19191684.21+33.77%
27Big Cov333100+33.7%
28Luca Brunelli333100+33.15%
29Giuliano Zanlucchi1111981.82+32.75%
30syed rafay alrafai 299777.78+32.7%
31Duygu Akaytar76583.33+32.68%
32David Garbuzov222100+32.01%
33DocGreenmore15815714793.63+31.65%
34Jacopo Bussadori1010660+31.53%
35Ruben Reyes211100+31.5%
36Victor Portillo49482858.33+31.23%
37Lucas Garcia766100+31.08%
38Mas Mas44375+30.91%
39Michael Wagner333100+30.67%
40Josemar Moreira333100+30.39%
41Alberto Zoppis333100+30.36%
42bill billsson222100+30.22%
43Ramon Fiallos44250+30.06%
44сергей тарасов29282071.43+30.02%
45Fabiano Dutkievicz Nakayama88675+30.01%
46Geoffrey Loots98562.5+29.79%
47Kostas Jj222100+29.67%
48BigPG23232295.65+29.1%
49Agustin Gutierrez1616956.25+29.05%
50Tabrez Munavar Hussain444100+28.76%
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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MGom MGom
MGom 4 hours ago
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CECAFE +2241k new Certs today. The traditional increment of rhythm in the last days of the month
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MGom MGom
MGom 4 hours ago
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* +224.1k bags
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 28, 2023 9:43AM ET
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Decline in Indonesian production for 23/24 projected about 2mb (USDA), decline in ES (BRL) production projected about 2mb (CONAB), in total - 4mb. Vietnam R numbers: 21/22 - 30.5 22/23 - 28.7, 23/24 - 30.2mb (projected) but still lower than 2021/22, R forecast (USDA) for India was lowered about 10% (500kb --> 4.58mb), current weather in India far from perfect... Uganda was forecasted to grow for about 300kb. No growth in R sector among top 5 producers is seen... decline attributed to exessive rains, pests, diseases, lower ferts application... Domestic consumption growth rate in Indonesia considered about 5% at the same time as example... R in MY 23/24 hardly will bring bumper crop either... :)
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 28, 2023 9:43AM ET
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Thus, assuming existing A+R data to be useful :) it is only Brazil :) that supposed to surprise everybody. Potential of Brazil is proven, but besides potential simply there is no other origin the story can be told as the hard :) data would not support this story. And retail consumption as cups consumed daily/annualy should not be confused with importers expectation for lower prices and so lower current import as it is not the same. If Brazil will show another drop in export in May (or globally), it may be viewed as less coffee, unwillingness to sell or to buy, etc but hardly as 4mb sudden drop in retail consumption within 5 months as hardly 10mb drop in annual export would mean 10mb drop in consumption - unprecedented.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 28, 2023 9:43AM ET
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Coming USDA report is very important indeed :). Not agitating or unfluencing anybody to buy or sell as all I post is mainly to hear other opinions and for myself :).
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 10 hours ago
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Average growth rate within 55 years pre-Covid was about 2mb per year. Main drivers: population growth, income growth, cultural traditions. There is no point to talk abot falling consumption: it may decrease for a year or so due to factors as COVID, etc, but as a trend it's steady up. As COVID period had shown, what was lost during COVID was gotten back quickly right after. Part of GCA decision GCA to stop publishing may be that absence of info give importers a bit more time to stay in waiting mode (or they may think it).
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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All KC spikes happened due to weather Disaster of some sorts, no D - no spike.In 2018 rough production cost for A (Brl) was considered about $1.25/more. Around 2008 USDA’s average production cost was about $1.25.In June 1998 KC fell below 1.25 and was staying under till October 2007 or so. ICO, rounded, A+R production, mb: 37 in 98, 48 in 99, 48 in 02, 48 in 06, 39 in 07. No rise in production from 99 to 07.Around Oct 07 price rised over $1.25 and was staying higher till Oct 17 or so. ICO, rounded, A+R, mb: 52 in 08, 55 in 13, 57 in 16, 53 in 17. And 2 record crops ON 18, ON 20. Production was rising while price was rising/staying above the level. Around Jan 2018 price went below 125 and was under about 3 years - 3 times less than within previous cycle, new cyclical low was higher.even after two record crops in a row. On adjusted to 2018 basis (USDA), 2020 A crop did not produce new high/had lower yield.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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Consumption last 10y was rising about 3mb/y - current rate is nothing exotic. 3mb x 3y = 9mb, 6y - 18mb (!). Thus, 21+22+23 = 9mb more in consumption. For healthy stocks/usage this number should be reflected in stocks/production. GCA stopped publishing after 30 years or so. GCA - privet club to benefit members, they suffer the most when price suddenly spikes as their margin drops, hedges crash… GCA didn’t stop during previous cycles, why now ? Can they foresee something (reasonable probability) and take preventive measures? Physical traders now: 1) there is plenty of coffee hoarded, price will drop after harvest to 120/100; 2) (!) last year trading houses were struggling to make profit. Comments from the houses unlikely can be other than record crop is coming...Strong El Niño was never beneficial for coffee production and Brazil is not only origin. But only Brazil was showing tremendous growth last decade, no other origin the story can be told.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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Nobody knows if expected El Nino will come strong or not (moderate/week considered beneficial) but some weather people draw a lot of parallels, basing on current data and comparison with previous strong ones. No guarantee that GSM will make El Nino stronger but GSM is known as producing weather anomalies/disasters. Unless real ha/density would be added, it is hard to see new record crop also next year but not hard to see potential weather risks that may come instead.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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A specially, if price will drop to 120/100 level :).
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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Last low can be retested and until it's broken in a sure manner, to me it is still in uptrend :). However, to be comfortable, current pullback would need to stop within 155 - 175 range :). Friday's cecafe shown 1430mb A vs 2129mb same day last month. Cecafe knows its business :) and month is not done but current :) gap at least shows hesitation :).
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 27, 2023 9:39AM ET
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Cecafe*** - sealed bags (not certs)
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 26, 2023 2:33PM ET
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ICE below 600k!
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa May 26, 2023 2:33PM ET
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And cecafe 80.399 🤔
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MGom MGom
MGom May 26, 2023 2:33PM ET
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below 600k,  and ?
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 26, 2023 2:33PM ET
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ICE down. Cecafe slow and good below USDA forecast. Robusta up again. This is bearish for KC?
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MGom MGom
MGom May 26, 2023 2:33PM ET
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ShortDude ShortDude imagine if it was bearish, at what level would we be? USDA os comming to clear this.
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Robin Tordoff
Robin Tordoff May 26, 2023 9:29AM ET
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Nice short coming here. 182, should break, hedge in place.
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MGom MGom
MGom May 26, 2023 9:29AM ET
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if break 180.60 ... SL's may be triggered
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Sam Houston
Sam Houston May 25, 2023 7:07PM ET
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hi..
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 7:07PM ET
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Hellou
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 1:55PM ET
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11k bags less on ICE. Good pace. Can be totally ignored?
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 1:55PM ET
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70k cecafe only.
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MGom MGom
MGom May 25, 2023 1:55PM ET
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Average of 4 days of this week, around 134k and may23 month 113k/day
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MGom MGom
MGom May 25, 2023 1:55PM ET
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For the month of may23, we will have 3 business days more than the month of apr23. Remembering that the average Certs/day so far on may23 is 134k.
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Tuula Just
Tuula Just May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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hold your patience near 181.70...once again after area is done we go 158 zone.
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MGom MGom
MGom May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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Directly.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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We have good demand for beans from ICE.
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Tuula Just
Tuula Just May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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115 zone. what moves market?dreams and selectove thinking....looking only info what fits in picture.... 115 with ups and down ...very clear .only patience.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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While zero stocks on ICE? Hard to imagine.
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Leal Samp
Leal Samp May 25, 2023 1:00PM ET
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Watching 181.70 🧐🧐
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 25, 2023 12:02PM ET
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As commodity prices fall, the argument for strengthening the BRL disappears.
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MGom MGom
MGom May 25, 2023 10:58AM ET
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Encapsulated !
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