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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 22 (KCN2)

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213.83 -1.92    -0.89%
24/05 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 213.83
  • Open: 215.05
  • Day's Range: 211.20 - 215.60
US Coffee C 213.83 -1.92 -0.89%
Time Frame:
04/25/2022 - 05/25/2022
 
Date Price Open High Low Vol. Change %
May 24, 2022 213.65 215.25 215.60 211.00 15.18K -0.97%
May 23, 2022 215.75 216.85 217.70 214.75 12.02K -0.05%
May 20, 2022 215.85 221.90 223.30 214.30 14.56K -1.30%
May 19, 2022 218.70 218.00 219.40 213.20 14.52K 0.51%
May 18, 2022 217.60 226.50 226.50 215.75 18.11K -4.23%
May 17, 2022 227.20 224.00 229.35 220.55 18.76K 0.62%
May 16, 2022 225.80 224.00 224.00 223.50 0.01K 6.06%
May 13, 2022 212.90 215.90 216.85 209.65 19.97K -1.11%
May 12, 2022 215.30 217.90 218.50 212.55 18.99K -2.09%
May 11, 2022 219.90 204.05 220.45 204.05 29.97K 7.90%
May 10, 2022 203.80 207.10 207.80 202.30 16.18K -1.12%
May 09, 2022 206.10 210.00 212.00 203.35 23.74K -2.07%
May 06, 2022 210.45 216.30 216.50 210.00 25.90K -3.13%
May 05, 2022 217.25 221.00 222.90 216.10 14.91K -1.61%
May 04, 2022 220.80 218.30 221.75 217.90 14.53K 1.31%
May 03, 2022 217.95 216.90 220.80 215.40 14.44K 0.73%
May 02, 2022 216.38 220.45 220.70 214.75 - -2.77%
Apr 29, 2022 222.55 217.90 224.40 217.80 14.48K 2.27%
Apr 28, 2022 217.60 216.30 218.15 214.25 14.57K 0.89%
Apr 27, 2022 215.68 219.88 222.38 214.58 - -2.47%
Apr 26, 2022 221.15 221.45 223.35 219.10 12.53K 0.16%
Apr 25, 2022 220.80 226.40 226.40 221.20 0.04K -2.86%
Highest: 229.35 Lowest: 202.30 Difference: 27.05 Average: 216.96 Change %: -6.01
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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MGom MGom
MGom 7 hours ago
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With the certificates issued and released by CECAFE today, project shipments around of 2.1 M bags to 2.23 M bags for 05/31.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 10 hours ago
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Not so bad according to circumstances. ICE stocks down again.
MGom MGom
MGom 10 hours ago
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Depends on the point of view, for those who said that ICE stocks were going to ZERO, it's so bad.
MGom MGom
MGom 16 hours ago
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Excess by cold (229) is decreasing, if it breaks 213 we will test 210. Will you buy @shortdude ?
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 16 hours ago
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yes, I will, I have some already around 215
NOTHIG PERSONAL JUST BUSINESS
FAROUT 15 hours ago
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Don't do it, this is going to 170 within two months (100%)
Leal Samp
Leal Samp 15 hours ago
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I don’t know if it will go to 170 but sure it will go to 200
MGom MGom
MGom 15 hours ago
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a little early @Dude
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 15 hours ago
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Seems so.
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 7:42PM ET
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https://www epochtimes com br/starbucks-saira-totalmente-da-russia-apos-15-anos-no-mercado-russo/
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 23, 2022 4:56PM ET
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Cecafe export data, 30% lower MoM, at this pace 2,1mln certs only till the end of the monh. Physical export will be then hardly 2mln. May 2021 - 2,67mln.
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MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 4:56PM ET
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*you= they
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 23, 2022 4:56PM ET
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Somehow. Bread and potatoes for french fries they have at home. Coffee they can buy. Ruble is much stronger than before war.
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 4:56PM ET
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BigMac with bread and french fries without meat ? and coffee without coffee, they can buy but not arrive. Good !!
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 21 hours ago
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I wish them the worst outcome from this war yet you are exaggerating. They have own meat too and coffee will come sooner than later. Via India or China they will find the way.
MGom MGom
MGom 13 hours ago
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Hope is the last one that die.
Jose Rolando Topete Aramburo
Jose Rolando Topete Aramburo May 23, 2022 3:53PM ET
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Is it Rabobank? or rather Robbery Bank for farmers..
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:17PM ET
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Let's say, world coffee consumtion in 2023 wil be 170mb (for example). Surplus of 1.7mb would mean that production is forecasted of 171.7mb. Rabobank offers his view and can be right or wrong like anybody else. But what is really amazing - the fact that 1.7mb is ... 1%, and that type of preciseness has no explanation if to assume that CONAB forecasts traditionally were within 10% range. What methodology Rabobank uses to come to such a valuation is a true mystery... :) (It is clear that report is market mover and that the number itself is a result of some math actions, but technically speaking, such a "forecast" is not really useful...)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:17PM ET
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consumption*
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 2:38PM ET
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ICE -3.3K bags
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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On Friday Rabobank estimates that the global coffee market in 2022/23 will revert to a surplus of 1.7 million bags compared to a deficit of -5.1 million bags in 2022/22. Rabobank expects Brazil 2022/23 coffee production to rise +14% y/y to 64.5 million bags. Furthermore, the war in Ukraine and Covid lockdowns in China are expected to moderate global demand for coffee.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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No. Not everyone. Brazilians were saying that they have 3mln bags to export in queue. Queue because of logistics problems. That's why bigger export in first 3 months of 2022. Now queue is empty and we are going to see dramatic drop in export volume. April was already smaller and May might be only slightly bigger than 2mln. The smallest volume for many many months.
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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with a Brazilian crop 22/23 around 58/60 M it is unlikely that exports will decrease that can last
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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Exports may be lower due to lower demand, to be evaluated by futures reports of CECAFE.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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If Rabobank is right export should regain pace. If CONAB is right and Judy not mentioning Maya, export should stay low. I bet that Brazilians do not have stocks left to boost export numbers. They sold everything in anticipation of next good crops predicted by Rabobank ;)
MGom MGom
MGom May 23, 2022 1:53PM ET
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It should be noted that, for many years, the volume exported from July to December is always greater than the volume exported from January to June. Soon we will be in July.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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The reality is: 1) 200 is not tested still; 2) expensive ferts are the fact; 3) no high energy prices resolution in sight; 4) real frost window is approaching; 5) grains are expensive and stimulate substitution for some.
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Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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This is not to mention the low forecasts by Conab. Around here, people say that Conab is not reliable, but among all the companies it is the only one connected with Emater that provides data on municipal production of all agricultural products. In addition to field visits.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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For some Rabobank still is more reliable...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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No doubts, that CONAB has access to the widest and deepest data comparing to the other forecasters. Assuming all that scepticism towards CONAB, most third parties were and are mainly based on CONAB numbers. CONAB numbers are not absolute (can't be by definition) but it seems unlikely that CONAB undereports 25-30% of the crop.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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If to believe that about 70% of BRL coffee farms are still small farms, expensive fertilizers for them are gonna be real issue. From my personal experience, when price for the product is high (enough) and ferts are relatively cheap, farmers tend to apply more to stimulate the production, hoping to catch the high prices still... But when price for the product is high and ferts are very expensive, general thought usually is to apply conservatively to be more hedged. Besides, inflation requires more expenses overall so, for many the budjet just can't stretch that much.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes May 23, 2022 3:10AM ET
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Hardly in current circumstances 2023 crop may be viewed as amazing one. Besides, the ferts situation is valid not just for Brazil but for almost all origins.
 
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