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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 22 (KCU2)

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227.53 +3.58    +1.60%
13:30:07 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 223.95
  • Open: 223.30
  • Day's Range: 221.28 - 227.65
US Coffee C 227.53 +3.58 +1.60%

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 NameSymbolLastChg. %Vol.Time
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF1.33+1.87%48.91K11:35:16 
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF1.308+2.51%386.20K11:20:54 
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.343+3.75%47.25K11:11:21 
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.3750+1.98%3.00K09:05:40 
 WisdomTree Coffee DEOD7B1.304+1.81%44.96K11:36:00 
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily Leveraged DE4RT21.339+2.79%5.00K11:36:00 
 iPath Series B Bloomberg Coffee Subindex Total RetJO61.90+1.80%5.47K15:59:59 

Indices

 NameLastHighLowChg.Chg. %Time
 Dow Jones-UBS Coffee23.116923.173322.5673+0.2991+1.31%15:45:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee13.756413.787313.4347+0.1763+1.30%15:45:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee TR29.578029.651228.8799+0.3811+1.31%15:45:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee Euro Hedged TR29.249429.320728.5539+0.3785+1.31%15:45:00 
 DJ Commodity Coffee208.73209.62203.80+2.67+1.30%15:41:00 

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Domenico DOnati
Domenico DOnati 1 hour ago
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Trading involves a lot of technicalities and strategies but banking with Mr Justin style ı earned much profits in 4 weeks of tradıng sessions. Credits to him. JUSTIN ROBERT on Face📄book or what's👤App👉 + 44736-203-3067 for clinical delivery .His guidance strategies and execution plans are pretty fantastic
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 1 hour ago
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CECAFE and ICE bearish today.
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Gordon Gecko
Gordon Gecko 32 minutes ago
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I ve heard that all week.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 6 hours ago
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By CECAFE, arabica export in 2021 (not including torrado) was about about 32.775mb, average per month 2.73mb. For first 7 months of 2022 CECAFE shows (not including torrado) about 19.300mb of arabica being exported, what gives average per month of about 2.76mb. Total export in 2021 was about 40.61mb. If to aproximate average 2.76mb/m onto 12m we'll see about 33mb of arabica to be exported in 2022. It doesn't mean it will happen but current export in its average shows nothing dramatic. But may show in a near future :) if the assumption about much smaller crop is correct.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 6 hours ago
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While the exact number of how much smaller crop is gonna be is unknown, there are no doubts about the fact that farmers know the real situation already. The one may or may not trust to Rodrigo when he says about his harvest. But Rodrigo knows not just his situation but also the situations of the friends and neighbors. The first thing the farmers will do after beeing sure it is not just very local area problem but a general one - they will slow down the sales until price will reach more atractive level. In my view, they'll be waiting for last top to be re-conquered before some more or less real sales will start. From that last top, if the rumor will be the harvest is that small :), the distance to $3 may be just couple of days :).
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 5 hours ago
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The point about export also is, that it is not current crop and unless someone would like to default, he'll need to deliver and so, the export unlikey will drop very hard in a month or so. But ICE stokcs, on the other hand wil do.
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felipe batista
felipe batista 5 hours ago
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Agreed 👍
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 5 hours ago
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Also, there is a view currently, that pretty soon high energy prices will be resolved (as the war R - U) and so, it will be all back to normal, ferts prices including. God bless!!! it to become truth, but ... what if it'll not? Such an outcome is also possible, and there are some professional analysts already that are saying that high energy prices (as grains, etc) are for quite some time. It is not hard to see what it's gonna be for the farmers in relation to 2023 season and possibly beyond.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 57 minutes ago
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Problem is that we have 230k bags pending in ICE queue and CECAFE gaining pace.
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duncan goldblatt
duncan goldblatt 8 hours ago
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Think I'll gamble a couple shorts here and probably end up throwing money in the garbage again
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Badu reviews
Badu reviews 8 hours ago
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no
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Maks Mars
Maks Mars 8 hours ago
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selloff signal this time…high priced commodities no more sustainable
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Em Re
Em Re 8 hours ago
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The analysts Safras & Mercado have reported than an estimated total 89% of the new Brazil coffee crop has already been harvested.  Based on their forecast for a new crop of 61.10 million bags, the report would indicate that so far approximately 54.40 million bags of the new crop coffee have been harvested. The coffee made up of around 21 million bags of conilon robusta coffee, for which the harvest is just about complete, and approximately 33.40 million bags of arabica coffee estimated to be harvested thus far. The pace of harvest at this time across a 5-year average is reported to be around 91%, thus illustrating that current crop harvest is almost on par in terms of timing when compared to that of the recorded five-year average.The Brazilian National Statistics Agency IBGE, with the new crop harvest almost complete has come forth with a revised estimate for the current July 2022 to June 2023 Brazil coffee crop, to revise their forecast for the biennially bearing 22/23 coffee crop higher by 0.80%, from last months estimate, to total 53.20 million bags. In this report the IBGE has estimated that the 2022 arabica coffee crop shall be 9.60% larger than the 21/22 year at a total 35.10 million bags and likewise that the 2022 Conilon robusta crop shall be 6.80% larger than the 21/22 crop year to total 18.10 million bags. The IBGE is traditionally very conservative in terms of their figures and are usually considered to be between 5% and 10% below reality. The forecast would therefore be seen to be at the lower end of independent local and international surveys, the majority of these forecasting an estimated Arabica at a median of 39 million bags and Conilon Robusta crop in the region of 23 million bags.
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Iswor Pandit
Iswor Pandit 9 hours ago
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sell
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Marco Antonio Jacob
Marco Antonio Jacob 10 hours ago
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With lower exports from Brazil in July and August, and the following months, and lower exports from Central and Colombia through December, the use of certificates will intensify. No coffee house will deliver coffee on ICE. We will see a script already written in 1997.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 7 hours ago
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Hi Marco, I always appreciate your thoughts. Could you tell us your opinion why 2021/22 Brazilian export was considerably larger than you expected at the begining of the crop year? And why we have now 200k bags pending in ICE queue?
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Ramya SH
Ramya SH 12 hours ago
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215&230,,?
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Badu reviews
Badu reviews 15 hours ago
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today prediction ??
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 20 hours ago
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Nobody knows for sure how much smaller this crop is (it was reasonable to assume that it's gonna be smaller) but no matter the percentage is, it will make the stocks smaller. Is was OK to assume that there were big stocks in 2019 but as the say nothing lasts forever. Thus, any critical event (realization of much smaller crop, big drop in ICE/exports, frost, drought, ferts, etc) will be met with more panic. As next year A crop is off season crop, its importance becomes much higher. $3 level may not be the final point at all :). (Ok, that's my believe :) )
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 20 hours ago
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In relation to USDA estimate for A for current crop (41.4mb), a drop of 20%, if it'll materialize, would mean about 33mb and will come up as a complete disaster for many and may create a panic buying in a blink of an eye. (Well, and it'll prove Maja's view at the situation :). )
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 20 hours ago
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Just for reference, Maja's view was that it will be 2023 crop (2023/24 MY) that may break the camel's back and set up a record.
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Hsiang Huang
Hsiang Huang 19 hours ago
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Viriato Magalhaes next season is a "on" season
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 14 hours ago
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2022/23 is on and 2023/24 is off. Although I am not sure how trees will behave after 2 years of adverse weather.
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felipe batista
felipe batista 6 hours ago
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I agree 💯
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