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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 18 (KCU8)

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105.92 -1.08    -1.01%
13/08 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 105.92
  • Open: 107.03
  • Day's Range: 104.35 - 110.17
US Coffee C 105.92 -1.08 -1.01%

US Coffee C Futures Overview

 
"Coffee C futures and options are the benchmark for worldwide coffee prices, with a contract based on Arabica coffee. Most coffee is traded in New York, and is roughly 8 times of the yearly production of coffee. More information can be found in other sections of this page, via the navigation tabs; real-time CFD data, historical data and prices, charts, technical analysis and a user discussion area."
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Prev. Close105.92
MonthSep 18
Tick Size0.05
Open107.03
Contract Size37,500 Lbs.
Tick Value18.75
Day's Range104.35 - 110.17
Settlement TypePhysical
Base SymbolKC
52 wk Range104.35 - 141.35
Settlement Day09/18/2018
Point Value1 = $375
1-Year Change - 24.5%
Last Rollover Day06/17/2018
MonthsHKNUZ
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US Coffee C Futures News


US Coffee C Futures Analysis


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 NameSymbolLastChg. %Vol.Time
 iPath Series B Bloomberg Coffee Subindex Total RetBJO41.18-0.89%79.18K13/08 

Technical Summary

Type 5 mins 15 mins Hourly Daily Monthly
Moving Averages Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell
Technical Indicators Strong Sell Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell
Summary Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell Strong Sell

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Candle Sticks Characteristics:

Time Frame
Type
Pattern Indication
Reliability
Pattern Timeframe Reliability Candles Ago Candle Time
Emerging Patterns
Bullish doji Star 15 Current
Completed Patterns
Three Black Crows 30 1 Aug 13, 2018 12:30PM
Engulfing Bearish 1M 2 Jun 18
Bullish doji Star 1D 2 Aug 09, 2018

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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John Dhondt
StockWatcher 12 hours ago
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we must have respect for the meaning of everbody. Who is the dummy? Nobody nows witch way it will go, but everyone has the right to have a meaning. Only time wiil show the way.
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an com
an com 13 hours ago
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Are you all seriously listening to new dummies who will be out for a year in first wave of short covering
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JC Osb
JC765 13 hours ago
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Not sure I understand
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John Dhondt
StockWatcher 15 hours ago
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The coffee consumption now is much more than in 2001. Every product was much cheaper in 2001. In 2001 everybody  earned less money than now. Production costs now much higher than in 2001. Nobody works for free, producers will block the price. you can't compare the price in 2001 with those in 2018 i think.
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES 15 hours ago
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This is only an idea of ​​reasoning, an approximate calculation comparing only the costs of production: Cost of production Brazil in 2001 = 42 cts / lb, per bag 60 kg, cost in 2018 per bag 60 kg = 70 cts / lb. We can use an exaggerated margin of error of 20% change in cost. Then 2001 = 49 cts / lb and 2018 = 84 cts / lb
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Sam Cedra
Sam Cedra 15 hours ago
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You forgot the consumption ;)
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES 14 hours ago
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Around:. . 2001 Production 115,000 bags and Consumption 113,900 . . 2017 Production 158,560 and Consumption 161,234
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Max Mars
Max Mars 16 hours ago
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Sold that spike....more down rolling gap still to be filled lol
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES 16 hours ago
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In 2001 we saw coffee at 41 cts / lb, with Brazil producing around 49 million bags in 2001 (OIC). This year Brazil produces around 60 million bags in 2018 (OIC forecast) what do you think about the prices for the rest of 2018 and throughout 2019?  We can go below 100 cts / lb v
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Marcin Andraka
Martinezzz 15 hours ago
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JC765 Weren't they loosing in 2001 when price was at 40's? i'm not saying we will see 40-50 level for 100%. But I think it's very possible, we've seen that price few times in the past.
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES 15 hours ago
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This is only an idea of ​​reasoning, an approximate calculation comparing only the costs of production: Cost of production Brazil in 2001 = 42 cts / lb, per bag 60 kg, cost in 2018 per bag 60 kg = 70 cts / lb. We can use an exaggerated margin of error of 20% change in cost. Then 2001 = 49 cts / lb and 2018 = 84 cts / lb
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Marcin Andraka
Martinezzz 15 hours ago
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 Maybe. But even with that we still have some space to drop. From 105 to 85 it's 20 cts so not bad:)
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Micky Mcfly
EvenSteven 17 hours ago
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Im buying at these levels. This is push down to close shorts before the market goes into gridlock. .Producers will stop selling on these prices from next week
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Steve Siwen
Trader_Steve 17 hours ago
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I also loaded coffee today. worst case final dip below 100 USD, but I think downside is limited from here.
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JC Osb
JC765 18 hours ago
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Who knows where the bottom is but one thing is for sure, the bottom is closer than the top
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Ganesh Chowdary
Ganesh Chowdary 17 hours ago
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Yep
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JC Osb
JC765 18 hours ago
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i wonder if the spec shorts have even started rolling yet. I would expect that to bring a bit of a bounce.
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Max Mars
Max Mars 20 hours ago
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Rolling gap is calling so fast lol great gain selling this garbage in deflationary era
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Ale Avvo
Ale Avvo 21 hours ago
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I don't understand why in this platform is 109 and in my MT4 is 105.7
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Abu Odai
Abu Odai 21 hours ago
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109 is November’s contract yet 105 is August
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Rafal Ogrzewalski
ShortDude 21 hours ago
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So buy cheap on mt4 and sell here good price!
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Ale Avvo
Ale Avvo 21 hours ago
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Thanks Abu
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Rafal Ogrzewalski
ShortDude 21 hours ago
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Coffee is so predictable. This becoming to be scary. Everyday red.
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer 22 hours ago
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btw, it looks like no rain for next 10 days?
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Rafal Ogrzewalski
ShortDude 22 hours ago
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Every month the same story. This is price after contract roll... and falling.
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Myunghee Kim
Myunghee Kim 22 hours ago
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Sep. contract is still on, until 23rd August.
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Epik ur coms
Epik ur coms 22 hours ago
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What was this????
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JungHao Wang
JungHao Wang 22 hours ago
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It shows the Dec contract
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Ma Va
Ma Va 22 hours ago
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so just short dec contract, it should go to sept level any time soon....
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Rafal Ogrzewalski
ShortDude 22 hours ago
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Ma Va true. Short it
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Lars Hansen
Lars Hansen 22 hours ago
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WOW - what a spike.
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Max Mars
Max Mars 22 hours ago
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Sell that spike rolling gap is waiting lol
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John Dhondt
StockWatcher 23 hours ago
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Coffee comes from 300 in 2011. Is 7 years always lower, 107 now. This cant go on for ever. The farmers have to earn also something. I dont short, the chance to go up is higher i think.
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Fabio Ricci
Fabio Ricci 22 hours ago
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Well said after all :)
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 12, 2018 4:15PM ET
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hard to mentally prepare for lower price. I see some chart improvement for last days, and solid support around 107usd and the COT...I think that some MM will reduce shorts because it do not make sense.
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mh mh
mh mh Aug 12, 2018 3:01PM ET
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8 month ago didn't think coffee will go below 113 but my personal views never clouded my judgement in trading coffee and I don't think anyone should go long in sept contracts this week, because next week is rollover and sept should be making fresh lows by weekend.
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mh mh
mh mh Aug 12, 2018 3:01PM ET
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why would I want to short coffee when it's 7 points away from a 12 years low, I rather be patient and find a good sign to enter long December,
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Julio Peralta
Julio Peralta Aug 12, 2018 3:01PM ET
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Because of your previous comment: “ I don't think anyone should go long in sept contracts this week, because next week is rollover and sept should be making fresh lows by weekend” if you advise against going long this week, then selling U at a certain level may be an opportunity to make a few cents.
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mh mh
mh mh 6 hours ago
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Julio Peralta it's I believe we are heading down but I still won't short , there plenty of fish in the sea , just have to be patient for coffee ,
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Parasmal Jain
Parasmal Jain Aug 12, 2018 9:31AM ET
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way will be coffee market in month end
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Ale Avvo
Ale Avvo Aug 12, 2018 9:31AM ET
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??????
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Steve CF
WaveRunner Aug 12, 2018 9:31AM ET
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IMO we are looking down from here to the end of the month, a drop to about 101.95 before a significant bounce and then continued downward...maybe to around 98/99
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mh mh
mh mh Aug 10, 2018 11:23PM ET
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finally the USD takes out 95 and dec contract will rollover next week,  is it possible that we rollover heading up ,  the answer is yes I hope sept start collapsing next week which can bring dec down to 105
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 11:23PM ET
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So waiting just for collapse?
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 1:55PM ET
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In terms of craziness on FX market and other softs action today has not been so bad, I hope that Mr.Trump will change his mind during weekend and some bad weather news affecting coffee will come up for Monday.
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 1:55PM ET
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I agree. BRL was down like 1.7%. Huge move and rather muted reaction here
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Pedro Vieira Lomar
Pedro Vieira Lomar Aug 10, 2018 1:55PM ET
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Completely agree Lets wait for the CoT and check how the MM trend is going
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 1:55PM ET
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So, new record short and commercials are buying. What do you think now?
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES Aug 10, 2018 1:21PM ET
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Somar Now  : This Saturday we will have another day with intense cold in all Paraná, due to the presence of the mass of polar air. In the municipalities located in the southern limit of the coffee region and in the Pioneer North, there is the possibility of formation of weak frosts in valleys
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MARIO GOMES
MARIO GOMES Aug 10, 2018 1:21PM ET
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* Pioneer = North of Parana, state of Bra. zil
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 1:21PM ET
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Áno update or link on source?
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 10:36AM ET
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Anybody know where the big option OI sits? If there is a lot at 108, I wouldn’t rule out a spike to that.
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 10:36AM ET
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http://mb.boardhost.com/coffeetraders/msg/1533908012.html
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 10:36AM ET
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I read that site daily, but have never joined or posted. Unfortunately that is only the futures OI not the options
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Jose Marquez
Jose Marquez Aug 10, 2018 9:28AM ET
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BRL in free fall today the cafe will hit even bottom ....
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Jose Marquez
Jose Marquez Aug 10, 2018 9:28AM ET
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Eddie Krammer This year I lost because of the coffee more than 25k ... I recommend to those who can leave now with few losses abandon the boat because it will be really ugly ... the contract roll is being prepared by the MM .. December contract bar below of 106 ...
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Eddie Krammer
Eddie Krammer Aug 10, 2018 9:28AM ET
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Jose Marquez I admit that it is quite likely. So you are in sidelines or in shorts?
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Jose Marquez
Jose Marquez Aug 10, 2018 9:28AM ET
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Eddie Krammer I already jumped out on the last contract roll, this year the cafe looks like it's going to be a real disaster for the bulls ...
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 7:41AM ET
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Dollar is definitely a strong headwind but sometimes risk-off from geopolitics will lift the heavily shorted commodities
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Steve CF
WaveRunner Aug 10, 2018 7:41AM ET
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The USD should be about finished in it's current rally 95.98-96.23 is the upward target.....it should fall from here back to support levels at the 94ish level. Hopefully gold and silver will rally during that period is my bet.
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Steve CF
WaveRunner Aug 10, 2018 7:41AM ET
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C'mon 106.67 break....I know you want to!
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Rafal Ogrzewalski
ShortDude Aug 10, 2018 7:41AM ET
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WaveRunner It will for sure.
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