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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

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195.17
-10.93(-5.30%)
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

impossible
Next crop has to be really umber one. For sure ;)
what is this????
I closed all my shorts here, it could go couple of $ lower but I've enough, I think the selling is overdone, I'll short the pull back after 1 or 2 weeks.. GL and have a nice weekend
100
Opened long- 172.8 Lets see how its play
Straight to fill gap 113$ lol
Lula for president lol
I vote for cry wolf outcome. Not immediately but surely. :)
What do you mean?
Agora Inmet allerting re possible frost. :) Personally, I was following Inmet during last frost and I remeber that many didn't take it seriously as they've been following big europian models, etc. Not agitating, but when it comes to local weather, solid local providers have more tools in hands as they know local patterns better and have stations, supplying operative info on hourly basis. :)
i dont believe it, Inmet wouldn’t do it.But i don’t believe we will have a frost either. At this time of the year no way.But in other hand the climate change is crazy, anything can happen.
100%. Inmet doesn't promise - just allerting, outcome can be any. But as you said, they would not do it without material facts observed. :)
Got some coffee for 170. :)
Nice :):)
what effect will the presidential election have on these futures? If Lula wins, will it go up or down?
be the trend always your best friend lol
This is hilarious
I don't rely on her weather forecasts :), but I like Inmet. Frio atípico atinge grande parte do Brasil nos próximos dias! :)
I trust Inmet. :)
Cold doesn't mean frost.
tody in brazil is green , heading in london is red
What is the likely background? Does he have the strength to reach 220 again in a short time?
Difficult question, if you talk about short term I would like to se weekly close ubove 190....otherwise any possible reversal on a daily...can take some time.. close toady at least ubve 181 is what i am looking for to think about entering...even then it's a bit of a gamble...just my opinion though
Eventually...
My gosh free coffe 4all
Market is pricing now story about great next crop. Everything else doesn't matter now. Until it will. There will be plenty of time to join bulls in case of export drop or any weather problems. Now for me market has gone too far.
For me TOO...
Always try to balanced sure but from a monthly to hourly chart there is nothing at all bullish about this contract...to look for every piece of bullish news can be misleading to novice traders imo...sure we are all waiting for a decent retracement or maybe reversal but that hasn't happened yet...bottom picking and averaging can be dangerous.
So weather reports showing cold weather is fake made up?? - How you read other persons oppinoed is up to you. - I could claim your comments to be hurting this industry to, however I accepted you read facts diff. - What I DON´T accept is your personal attack and accusing me being someone I AM NOT! STOR IT !!
Whatever you say mrs Wallengren but remember you are hurting this industry a
Kenan Hajdari What a BS comment - But keep trying to talk up your position. - Maya is reporting facts, and here honorst intepretasion of what she sees. - I now and the share some of here tweets so that this chat can get just a LITTLE bit more balanced to all the Bearish comments inhere.
Maja Wallengren aka Big John- this woman is hurting coffee industry a lot with her manipulatory fake news.I am not sure though if she is aware of that.
Maja Wallengren@SpillingTheBean*BREAKING: Brazil's Inmet CONFIRMS that new MONSTER cold front is intensifying & has issued FROST WARNINGS for ALL Brazilian $coffee producing regions including PA, SP, SM, AM, CE, RJ, ES and BA, this is NOT a joke but very real threat to 2023 flowering!
Funny enough, but but current situation may turn out to be cry wolf story.
https://shar.es/afhRXl
One of the largest website in the agricultural sector in Brazil, reported that the setting of the flowering was much lower than expected, the market only saw flowers, the website " notícias agricolas
Also there is a good issue of Fundacao Procafe (last one I believe) that's covering this flowering and alerting re possibility of small crop in 2023.
The Procafe foundation and the most serious in the sector, together with Cecafe, are reliable institutions.
Personally, I like Alisson. I follow him for quite some time and what I like about the guy is that he never declares end of the world and changes his view according to the weather development and so on... Also, whatever he's saying in regards to agronomy can be easily verified from other different sources. :)
In futures markets, we can sell or buy, go long or short, the market moves to the side of greater flow. What would be what some call manipulation ?
100%. It does not matter. It goes where it goes whatever the one call it. ICE has its rules: filed for inspection bags either are gonna pass or they're gonna not. If it's old or new coffee doesn't mean a lot from ICE stock value point iof view. If it'll not pass we'll see same or smaller number eventually...
the tendency is to go to zero, close to that ICE starts to be a priority, all in its time.
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