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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

Real-time capital.com
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KCDerivedUSD
KCc1ICEUSD
KCc2ICEUSD
KCc3ICEUSD
KCc4ICEUSD
KCc5ICEUSD
KCc6ICEUSD
KCc7ICEUSD
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
220.33
+3.13(+1.44%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

/2023/01/03/forecast-are-coffee-prices-poised-for-a-rebound-in-2023/ Happy new year!
CECAFE today: Certs 616,088 bags +40.8% ADoAD, showing potential shipments at the end of Jan23 of 3.7 million bags. Coffee sprouting from the dark.
Dec22 shipments 3,087,927 bags (this is not fake like the 2.65 M bags previously mentioned by Mr. @Nick)
ICE stocks + 7.4 thousand bags. ICE Stocks + Pending is 1,039,185 bags, practically the same number as the previous day. By the numbers and balances, the coffee keeps coming.
Observations in the field carried out in coffee plantations, in the last year, show that many branches had a dry point and there was ****of small berries, on a large scale, due to the lack of reserves in the plants, after a period of hydric stress, which considers an effect of a physiological nature.
Matiello: Recovery in arabica will not come in 2023 and the conilon crop will also be smaller after the unseasonal cold weather and excessive rain
Huge gap down tomorrow due to bearish FED news
Please clarify bad news for bulls ?!
Bad news for the bulls since 232.
US payrolls data much higher than expected FED will be ultra hawkish
Today ice coffe reported a very high failure rate, but the news it is that somebody collect more than 5k bags.
I agree... but I just copied the information from the CECAFE website. the correct terminology would be ADoAD, Accumulated up to Day 04/01/23 X Accumulated up Day to 04/12/23
The most important information is that THERE IS COFFEE for exportation.
Just fir record; today ice stock +pending 1039k respect yesterday reduction of -18k. ( collect & failing)
Rains is coming ... again
Does not mean anything at this stage anymore. Basics !
kkkkkk kkkkkk kkkkkk
Barchart today : 'Coffee prices this morning are mixed, with arabica dropping to a 3-week low.  An easing of dry conditions in Brazil is bearish for arabica prices after Somar Meteorologia reported Monday that Brazil's Minas Gerais region received 115.4 mm of rain last week, or 193% of the historical average.  Minas Gerais accounts for about 30% of Brazil's arabica crop.'
doesn't make sense to wait.. u either buy 159 or 155.. everything in between is just trying to act smart..
hi.. another limit buy executed at 159.4.. now half pos at 159.4 and half at 154.9
May contract trade between 175to 225 .....possibly
Was aiming gap 181,5 but it looks like hedge funds got no hurry lol
the Jun contract will be 2,50
125$ ?
When ? in 2030 ?
I'm not much of a fundamentalist but this contract gives me sell signals, rather than buy...specially if we see aclose below 167...it is def tryning to bottom out from the big fall be all witnessed but maybe not at these levels...maybe I'm wrong, only time will tell but I have a stop in place...just in case
Could well be but I'm going to bail @ 160...good enough for me...maybe we get another bounce in the mean time :)
first need break 159.40 and 154.80. For now, in the medium term, the bulls still remain in command by TA
yes if that current price level 160 hold but FED could give another big slump to commodities
Excessive rainfall may that jeopardized the logistics of transporting coffee probabely has damaged the plants as well lol
For now, hot coffee water is burning you
If coffee can not open your eye keep dreaming with your fake
Mr Nick, who sold coffee at 232, waiting for the rains and the flowers, need not worry about his threats, hot water and fake news about Brazilian exports.
Brazil Dec exports PLUMMET close to 1M bags. It seems the reality is hitting the bears face hard. yet I expect 1 ir 2 more weeks of bull squeeze before the bounce. So be prepared to average downspecially if goes below $155 and have some in your basket in case it bounces suddenly.
We've been reading this squeeze story since we reached 260 and went to 155. Understand that chameleons change color at any time. Don't worry if the water gets thin, just buy at the right time.
BRL closed 5.4800 +2.17%, what impact for KC tomorow ?
He says whatever justifies to short no matter how meaningless it is.
Wow 27% DoD after new year holidays. let short the coffee man. You are joking or have a agenda here. I bet the second lol.
Did I accept -32% ? of course not !! Stop being a liar!! You need to learn to read reports and do the math correctly. Fake man !!!
ICE stocks, No Grading today, Pending bags + 6.787 bags.
-12% MoM and -1,99% jul22 to Dez22 x jul21 to dez21
Correct and now things getting to be interesting. We have to beat 2022 months now. Jan 3.4mln Feb 3.6mln and March 3.8mln bags. What do you think? What numbers we are going to see during next 3 months? Bigger or smaller than in 2022?
In 2021 we expected a reduction from Jan22 to Jun22, this did not happen.I hope it will be lower in 22/23, but the important thing would be to understand the reason: Lack of coffee or lower demand.Stocks in importing countries will be decisive for completion.Attention: USDA projects lower exports to Brazil on 22/23, but on the other hand, an increase in stocks from the current 0.54 M bags to 4.12 M bags on 22/23, +662.96% in Brazil. Why ? Crop 22/23 was not so small or less worldwide demand ? Some sugestions ?
To all hot water drinkers the cermony is over. Time to cover the aass lol.
doesn't matter if the market goes up or down, the important thing is to be on the right side and by the looks of it you seem to be scalding yourself with hot water.
MGom. I meant that 34mb only of arabica (roughly) will be exported in annual 2022 year from Brazil. Historically speaking, 34mb of arabica is a very good number :). Total export should come about 39mb or more possibly. By Nov 31 2022 Brazil exported about 31.89 mb of arabica.
Ok, now clear. Tks
BRAZIL WATCH: Dec #coffee exports PLUMMET to 2.645M bags, down over 32% on exports of 3.894M bags same month last year, CECAFE reports Monday in prelim figures for the month.
Final December export is still unknown. Should be around 3.1mln bags as we have 3.2mln certs issued. Guys if you don't know basic info sources for coffee traders better do not trade.
2.86 correct final number
No this is not a final number.
Coffee exports from Brazil to Eastern European countries, in the period from January 22nd to November 22nd x January 21st to November 22nd, were -44.9%, showing that the war and lower demand from those countries had an impact the volume exported in this period.
*No, no !!! The countless officers today are correct, the malice of their speech is that it is not correct, and false.
MGom which support is for these countries stats of less demand ? You are spi....tting in your own mouth. Where does the exported coffee goes to if 44 less demand ? Hahahahah what a fake news spreader.
you only understand rice, nothing about of cafe anda rains.
This contract just tracking the $ today...nothing to get exited about....yet
yes thats called backwardation. and shows there is strong demand . generally the front months is the cheapest. good short oportunity in my opinion combined with cot data orange juice and sugar
but this data isnt for daytraders. i keep my position generally a few days or weeks
backwardation very often helps short
Long awaited +10% day for a happy new year ?
Watched the contracts? Coffee is back in backwardation. Be careful with shorts.
Hedge funds have to pretend nothing happened while the exports are 20% down. Now they blindly talkig about lower demand showed in their magic ball to save their squeezed *** lol. In two weeks the spring will be released. Be patient.
oops it started much faster than my prediction. lol Hedge funds will serve hot water instead of coffee to their content makers to fight the price appreciation. Warning big bags of gas are exploding :))
3.211.211 should be final certs amount in December, physical export, my bet, wil be around 3,1mln, 20% drop YoY.
not -49%, is -44,9% ... I'm a trader, who teaches is the teacher, look for it I can guarantee you will find it
You are giving fake infos and you can not send the proof. But its your modus.operandi long time. No need to loose time with you.
Ok, let's continue with the rice project, maybe you'll do better
The most acertive comment is for Mr. Dieter Lochned, the price attempt to break 172 resistance but it couldn't make it, now a down will come to 160, sellers taking away profit $$$$!!
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