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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

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Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KCDerivedUSD
KCc1ICEUSD
KCc2ICEUSD
KCc3ICEUSD
KCc4ICEUSD
KCc5ICEUSD
KCc6ICEUSD
KCc7ICEUSD
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
200.55
-5.55(-2.69%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Rain , frost .... Just wait for Fed announcement tomorrow
What  fed is gonna announcement tomorrow?
Fed will announce Brazil coffee situation.
 :):):)
190 knock knock
Yep-Yep!
Technically yes 190, needs to close above 189.40 in the nexts days, support at 172.40 and 164.90
Indeed, they will open, but after that you need previous humidity in the ground, then fertilizer to help with the curdling, otherwise it will be a grand show, but nothing else. In our own experience last year with massive,excessive, tropical storms, we had great flowering, but with water oerwhelming, curdling was reduced by more than 40%. So, either way, too much or too little, do not go hand in hand in agribusiness. If you think: Rain, flowers, game over, you are so mistaken.
What will happen next and what will turn into beans and what quality beans, etc - it's a different story. But they will open. :)
 As you say: 100%
Clearly they will open, that is obvious, and not the issue. Curdling is, but evidently you are unaware of the term.
The rain will fall and the flowers will open.
let's sacrifice a lamp to see
*lamb
 Looking at the forecasts, it may rain on 8/30, + 20mm in the southeast region, we may have flowers opening. check it
Can we expect any pullback?
Yes, but maybe not…
I look at price action only. Brazil frost, shortage story are bul *** go into garbage
This is what makes me more patient and wait, but sooner or later the fundamentals will have to come and the peaks will be bigger.
What happen when worldwide run a lacky of something? This is only the begining
All points to that...
"Doctor" Oats kinda giving a clue :).
Name stealer!
Also: cycles wise current (frost) high doesn't fit as a final high at all, unless someone envisions new low around 40c pretty soon. :)
last week for the bulls
Wrong
do not disappear next week
 i won't
World is full coffee but who is gonna drink it at these sky high price ? Lol
are you 12 years old? do you feel these are "sky high prices" ??
He is Antia Freezel on new account : )
If you drink café rio, you won't miss it.
Big reversal ahead of us.
At what level do you see it?
Ongoing just started. Downside reversal.
Prolonged draught+frost+current level of moisture do not support the idea of good flowering at all. If the first flowering will disappoint - we'll see NEW ATH very quickly.  Brazil is the only producer that is able to grow "cheap" arabica due to its technology and the mechanization levels. Currently, there is no origin that could replace Brazil in terms of quantity and price.
Too sharp rise...worried.
It looks like coffee grows only in Brasil , joke
Yes indeed, will be sharp foll
They need to develop new kind of arabica coffee, cactus one ;)
:-)
Chart just changed. Looks like a consolidation phase is over.
   it looks like preaty correct idea....
                                will it be go more than 190 ?
 I think we will see a rise all the way up to 200 before the market decides if its ready for more this side of the end of the year or takes out the frost high in 2022. There will be plenty selling into the strength not seen in Coffee for years but once that volume is soaked up then the game begins where we start to see buyers chasing supply. That I think will happen maybe as early as Ot when we are clearer on the rains and the flowering process is  clearer. For me there are no weather events factored in to the current price looking in to 2022. If e have continued "events" going forward I dont see a premium in the current price to accommodate that. Dont forget, in a prolonged bear market it takes time for the mind set to shift. The market is still entering its next bull phase. Spike to 3.00 and 4.00 can not be ruled  out next year and potentially higher.
Ups, rains disappeared from short term forecast.
Ideal scenario for bulls is one strong rain in September to trigger flowers and drought after that. In general the same scenario as last year.
If not worse! The soil water deficit is greater, the springs are disappearing.
 agree, now situation is worse than it was last year. My point was about rain scenario.
Share your thoughts, don't be shy! :)
fasten your seat belt amigo!
up or down? 😀
https://m.br.investing.com/news/economy/quebra-da-safra-e-exportacoes-devem-elevar-o-preco-do-cafe-em-ate-40-906896?ampMode=1
A question to the current bears: what is your projection until the end of Aug, end of Sep ? You know rain is coming sooner or later. :)
I told never to give up. Time for shorts will come one day.
Coffee needs Fabienne batista to be writing story once a week till October..otherwise this can lose grounds very quickly.. buyers are shy here..
Does he write only about coffee? :)
Hey Bears, don't worry. Coffee will go back to 90~100... in 2026
Its already badly crashin lol
Do you meant tonight at 20.26pm
yep
Is real joke starting? I'm afraid to see.
This is joke...
 yes, some time... Probably 3 to 4 years. So, go short! hahaha
last week shorts stoped my long with huge loss ... Today happened with my short.
 You have to define yourself in a current environment: you're bear or bull. After that you wait for a setup that fits your approach to the market and risk/reward ratio. And be very clear about timeframe you work with: the criteria for the trade (entry, target, SL levels) is different for every timeframe. To be the bear and bull at the same time is not for everyone. It is very difficult approach indeed, requires very special way of thinking, very rare occurrence, etc. Very few people can do it successfully. And the size of the position has to be comfortable too, of course.  :)
Good!!!
Some people think that coffee is a kind of cactus 😂😂😂
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