Bonds Analysis & Opinion

On April 14, as 10-year yield spiked to a new multi-year high at 2.84%, I cautioned MPTrader members about possible near-term upside exhaustion. Daily momentum remained well below the previous day's...

Anyone who has their head screwed on straight is now likely really afraid of inflation. And soaring Treasury yields clearly reflect that fear. The US consumer price index for March rose 8.5% on the...

This post was first published at TopDown Charts Global bond yields breakout to fresh 7-year highs as market participants expect upwards of 250bps of Fed rate hikes in 2022 US fixed income fund flows...

Over the past two years, we have seen inflation soar. And with that has coming rising interest rates. This week’s CPI and PPI data have only confirmed consumers' fears. But how much of the...

It’s been a crazy last couple of years. And that is probably an understatement.2022 is off to a similar start with supply disruptions, surging inflation, and war overseas. Needless to say,...

For 36 years the yield on the 10-year T-Note moved lower within the channel drawn on the following chart. Depending on how the lines are drawn, an upside breakout from this channel may or may not have...

This post was first published at TopDown Charts US investment grade and high yield spreads jumped earlier this year, but then retreated in late March (albeit within an uptrend). Recent hawkish tones...

French presidential elections are due this month, which means fresh selling of French government bonds on the usual fear of a far-right candidate closing ground behind the pro-European centrist...

Worries of a looming recession intensified late Thursday last week after the yield on the United States 2-Year Treasury bonds hit 2.337% as the yield on United States 10-Year bonds fell to 2.331%,...

Treasury bonds have left a bad taste in investors’ mouths for the past couple of years. And this collective "UGH!" comes after years of solid returns.Will the bull market continue? Or is this...

The yield curve inversion—when yield on the 2-year Treasury note exceeds that on the 10-year note—is normally considered a sign that recession is coming. But this time, analysts say, it...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Mar....

The yield curve plots the current yield of a range of government notes and bonds in the “primary market.” The worldwide bond market – including private and government debt —...

Inflation is running hot, and the Fed is projecting seven rate increases this year alone. As if that is not concerning enough for bond investors, the Fed hints at draining liquidity via balance sheet...