Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Feb....

Over the past decade, historically low bond yields have converted many bond investors into bond traders. Bond traders strategically buy and sell bonds to generate price gains. A bond coupon, a primary...

This post was originally published at TopDown Charts Bond market sentiment is reaching extreme levels Treasury volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, spiked to very high readings We see...

Alpine Capital Research commentary for the month of February 2022, titled, “Beta No Longer Has a 40-Year Tailwind.”Circa 1981-82, then Fed Chairman Paul Volcker hawkishly slayed...

On Tuesday, following Russian President Vladimir Putin's accelerated saber rattling and latest moves on Ukraine, investors are increasing their flight to safe havens, obscuring any action or inaction...

After flirting with an upside breakout for months, the US 10-year Treasury yield moved decisively to the upside in recent weeks and broke through a level that appeared to be a ceiling for much of the...

Investors in US Treasuries are being squeezed between the rock of Russia’s threat to Ukraine and the hard place of surging inflation. The consumer price index for January registered a 7.5%...

This article was first published at TopDown Charts Developed market 10-year rates jump as the US 10-year hurdles the 1.9% figure. The 2% level is in sight as multiple signs point north for...

The 10-year bond market continued to fall today as yields broke the 2% level, highest levels since 2019. The market has been laser focused on the "2%" level in recent months.If you look at the 10-year...

The stern message is that the Fed Funds rate could be raised at any time (which is possible even before the next FOMC meeting on March 16, in my opinion).I would not advise you to listen to those who...

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde roiled government bond markets big time when she said last week that eurozone policymakers can no longer exclude a rate hike this year. This...

Much has transpired in the macro world in the last five weeks ago, most notably the January 5 Fed Minutes that realigned investor perceptions of the Fed’s concern about inflationary...

The Federal Reserve’s plan to start raising interest rates in March—maybe by half a percentage point—is putting bond market analysts in a pickle. Yield on the 2-year Treasury note,...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Jan....