Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The single most important bond in the world is the United States 10-Year Treasury bond.According to modern financial theory, this bond, with a duration that is meant to cover a full economic cycle, is...

The question has gone viral lately, courtesy of the recent rise in interest rates. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, for instance, edged up to 2.73% yesterday, the highest in nearly four years....

The following two monthly charts show that 10-year Treasury Yields (TNX) are on the rise.The first chart shows that it has popped above the upper edge of a very long-term downtrend channel and is...

The U.S. sovereign bond market is in upheaval.United States 10-Year Treasury yields have broken out. Chart 1 is a monthly chart. If in the next couple of sessions, these yields stay north of at least...

The benchmark 10-year rate yesterday (Jan. 30) jumped to 2.70% for the first time since 2014, based on daily data via Treasury.gov. One of the catalysts is firmer expectations for higher inflation. A...

US Treasuries have been an enigma the past 3 years. Just as the Fed states an end to Quantitative Easing, instead of losing value they start to rise. A rate hike in December 2015 also saw an...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10 year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The High-Yield Corporate Bonds ETF (NYSE:HYG) is in jeopardy at major resistance.The monthly chart below shows that price is facing double resistance at the confluence of a 60% Fibonacci retracement...

Perhaps the best tool for anticipating major shifts in the financial system is the ratio between iShares TIPS Bond (NYSE:TIP): and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT). In its simplest...

This week’s chart of the week features the ETF, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT), which has been under pressure as treasury yields have been on a run. Fundamentally, strong upward...

There’s nothing especially special about 2.62%. It’s a level pretty much like any other, given significance by only one phrase: the highest since 2014. It sounds impressive, which is the...

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 16, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 89.3k, down 107.6k.A Bloomberg article last week about China beginning to weigh slowing or...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators sharply reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

When a long-held market correlation begins to break, we wait to see if the divergence is temporary before making predictions whether the disparity will continue or not. Either way, we must attempt to...