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2700 by May 18 . Goog : Amzn and Energy will carry it there . Sideways till Sept 2870 to 2930 by Dec . 2019 expect Contraction and Trough as 10 Year will be at 3.5 by 2019 . Just my thoughts .
S&P 500 and DJIA is in a short term downtrend. However, it has bounced off of the 200 EMA with confidence. Should the 200 EMA not hold it is probable that the bear market could be longer term.
Economies have 4 phases.. Expansion, Peak, Contraction, and Trough. Some use different words for them. We are beginning the third phase now. Peak has ended.. Contraction is beginning.
You're correct about the 4 phases, just a little confused about your timing We are still in "Peak, and will be there for some time. S and P 3000 by the end of the year.......
study the charts of the NYSE Comp, S&P 500, Wilshire 5000 and IBD 6000 indexes. FANG is over! and that has carried the entire market for years Now GE can take over as the leader with a RS of 1! LOL. AAPL Phones ****
better sell now or if in mutual funds on market today's market close. get sell orers in before 4 PM! Monday and next week could be a blood bath since the fourth attempted rally above the declining 50 dma on greatly decelerating volume has failed. and remember the big break off the top was on huge volume. the smart money has exited and isn't buying yet. The SPY can easily drop another 30% over a couple of months. Unless the PPT steps in to make Trump look good. so don't think that just because "buying the dip" has worked for the last 8 years or so that it will work this time and most folks fully invested in those popular ETF's called QQQ SPY and IWM. that they think can never stay down and make lower highs and lower lows should realize this time could be different.
yep 10 Year will drop back to 2.75 to 2.8 we will hit 2750 for sure by May 18 then it is sideways till Sept . We will hit 2800. 2850 by Dec . Then the trough or drop for 2019
During the last many weeks of trading there have been a number of whipsaw trading days, which is lots of time to position for a big move. The intial drop was just the warning signal to close your longs and reverse your positition to short. The highs have been going lower and lower aside from today trading above the monthly high but going straight back down under it and establishing it as resistance. And the day ended down in both es and cash. A major break lower is still my primary view and all the possible news catayst for a blackswan style event to transpire are set and ready to happen any moment. Good Luck All:pray:
IMHO i think today was just an example of buying the dip. For long term traders or those that DCA it is not that big of deal. Short term traders beware, however I don't believe the roller coaster is done in the short term. Until the tariffs situation is resolved, the short term may be rocky.
And there we have the catalyst for a further move south. Chemicals in Syria and the Donald is tweeting unfriendly things about the Russians, Iranians. He's going to pick a fight with just about everyone before it's over. But hey, God bless America, right?
hi all
Usually I just read what you write ,and not long ago there was one post that explained trading for the month of April.
That person mentioned market makers,
(I don't know that there are people so powerful to control direction of the market )
He mentioned the drop to 2550 that happened next day after his post , and that it might drop again on 4-12 to the same level 2550.
Then market will recover till 4-25 when it will fall to 4230
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