Bonds Analysis & Opinion

During the past year, or so, U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yields have shot up sharply, in comparison with 10-Year Yields, as shown on the following weekly price comparison chart and percentage comparison...

The yield on the 3-month US Treasury bill is pushing above 2% today for the first time since 2008. The yield had briefly dipped below zero as recently as late 2015. Although today's yield seems high,...

The most important bond in the world is the 10-Year US Treasury bond.This bond represents the “risk-free” rate of return for a total economic cycle (roughly 10 years) denominated in the...

Given that some of the retail sales that were expected in June were actually booked in May is unlikely to lead to a large revision of expectations for Q2 US GDP, the first estimate of which is due in...

There is one school of thought that claims “Timing is Everything” (and in life in general, you can make a pretty good case that that is true). When it comes to the financial markets...

10 Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

With all the mass hysteria in the business media about the incredibly flattening yield curve, one would think that the consequences of a flat curve would be devastating. History has shown than when...

Have interest rates increased over the past couple of years? Yes. Have interest rates broken above long-term falling channels? No. Interest rates (2, 5, 10 & 30-Year yields) are all testing...

The June payroll report last week showed that average hourly earnings rose just +0.19% versus the +0.3% expected, yet the 10-year Treasury yield couldn’t generate any upside volume on the...

The seemingly arcane issue of the shape of the US yield curve has percolated into a cause celebre. The difference between the US two-year yield and 10-year yield has been trending down for several...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond market speculators very sharply boosted their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets last week, according to the...

Price has a way of being drawn to significant support and resistance areas. What happens once it gets there often provides useful and important information about what comes next. So keep a close eye...

It is back to the grind, but at lest it is a short tail to the week. The fireworks celebrations Wednesday were incredible, but they are over now. You will have to wait until next year for that...

According to numerous articles written in the last six months, a flattening yield curve nearing the zero boundary is a major red flag for stocks and the economy.10-year Yield Vs. 2-Year Treasury...