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After talking about it for several weeks, the European Commission on Thursday unveiled a proposal for a new asset-backed security. The backing would be sovereign bonds weighted by the size of the...
The 10-year Treasury yield has been the topic of conversation lately among fixed-income investors. Earlier this month, the T-note closed above 3 percent for the first time since July 2011, prompting...
The 10-year Treasury yield has been the topic of conversation lately among fixed-income investors. Earlier this month, the T-note closed above 3 percent for the first time since July 2011, prompting...
10-year bond yields are hammering on the 3.10% level, which was the pivot high from 2013 and is current resistance. However, if the 10-year yield breaks over 3.10%, there is no resistance until 3.50%,...
Investors are having a fit. For the first two months after the early March Italian elections, investors could hardly care less. Italy's premium over Germany to borrow money for a decade fell to a...
An inverted yield curve occurs when the yield on shorter-dated securities is above that on longer-term bonds; and it has predicted all nine U.S. recessions since 1955, according to Bloomberg. Of...
10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large treasury bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets again this week, according to the latest...
Simply put, the bond market got clobbered this week.After yields on the Benchmark 10-year treasury sat below the 3% level for almost a month, they finally broke through and by quite a margin. The...
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield edged up to 3.08% on Tuesday (May 15), marking a new seven-year high, based on daily data published by Treasury.gov. The implied inflation forecast via Treasuries...
For the first time in a decade, the yield on 3-month Treasuries exceeds that of S&P 500 dividends. The above chart is from the Financial Times article by John Authers, Authers’ Note: Hunting...
The market expects a 100% chance of a hike in June and a 78.2% chance of at least one more hike by September. Then what? December Rate Hike Odds 10-Year Treasury Yield vs Fed Funds Rate 10-Year...
10 Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets again this week, according to the latest Commitment of...
To date, 2018 has been a particularly rough year for investors in US treasury bonds.After starting the year with a yield near below 2.5%, the benchmark 10-year bond has seen yields surge to a high of...
To date, 2018 has been a particularly rough year for investors in US Treasury bonds.After starting the year with a yield near below 2.5%, the benchmark 10-year bond has seen yields surge to a high of...
I try to stay away from making predictions. I don’t see the upside. If I am right, then yay! But after the fact, predictions often look obvious (hindsight bias) and it is hard to get much credit...