Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates today, a policy move that may further squeeze the difference between short and long Treasury yields. If the already narrow rate spread...

Just about the only “honest” market left is bonds, which are reflecting the true underlying state of the world economy. The EMB market, which peaked on January 5, has been following a...

US 10 Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bonds speculators sharply decreased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

European political uncertainty spiked volatility in sovereign bond markets and the euro Hawkish emerging market monetary policy attempts to alleviate local FX havoc and inflationary concerns Chances...

In this space I write a lot about inflation, but specifically I focus mostly on US inflation. However, inflation is substantially a global process – a paper by two ECB economists in 2005 (and...

This week it's a look at credit risk pricing in the eurozone. This is a chart I've been using a lot in recent months, of course as of the last week it's looking a bit more interesting! The reason why...

This week Durig Capital reviews a supplements company who is combining the best of traditional and online retailing. The Vitamin Shoppe (NYSE:VSI) has combined the convenience of online retail with...

Trading successfully over an extended period of time is not easy. Period. It takes investment capital that can be risked, a money management plan, a method for deciding when to enter a trade, criteria...

Through the cycle a lot of factors push and pull bond yields around, but as I was doing some research on governance rankings across countries I found an interesting yet intuitive correlation. Based on...

This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note over the past 9 years. A double bottom looks to have taken place as it hit identical lows in 2012 and 2016. Yields have rallied since the lows in 2016...

According to numerous treasury bears, yields would soar out of control once the 3.0% threshold broke. Well? Here are some amusing predictions. No Such Thing As Lines in the Sand Note to Bill Gross,...

One of the financial world’s most dangerous expressions is “this time is different”, because the expression is often used during investment bubbles as part of a rationalization for...

This week, I took a long hard look at the survey results and a series of other charts, because they all seemed to be challenging my medium term views and biases. Not only that, they seemed to be...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators cut back on their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...