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US Cocoa Futures - Dec 18 (CCZ8)

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2,145.00 -1.00    -0.05%
13:06:16 - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Metric Ton
  • Prev. Close: 2,146.00
  • Open: 2,144.00
  • Day's Range: 2,135.00 - 2,195.00
US Cocoa 2,145.00 -1.00 -0.05%

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US Cocoa Futures Discussions

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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar 4 hours ago
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Long waited push is coming . provided that it will stay up.
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Mauricio Vazquez
Mauricio Vazquez Aug 14, 2018 12:23PM ET
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UP!!! Yesterday was the 1st time since  july 13th to close above the 9 day wich was 2136.. Niño 70% of chances. Will go to test 2500 at least.
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures 23 hours ago
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If 2500 at least, then what is at most? (*_^)?
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Mar Cet
hazard 23 hours ago
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$ is very strong these days. London cocoa lost 0.5% today.
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Mauricio Vazquez
Mauricio Vazquez 18 hours ago
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BoNose Futures end of the year maybe 2,940
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Jorgen Andersen
Jorgen Andersen Aug 14, 2018 11:21AM ET
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Remarkable sideways movement for two weeks now. Cocoa looking for direction...
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 14, 2018 2:54AM ET
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Clear rally in the British Pound should bolster cocoa considerable right from the early opening bell.  And when the machines wake up... Away we may go~!~
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 13, 2018 7:52AM ET
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Being that the hub of cocoa trading is London and priced in British Pounds, any recovery for that beleaguered currency would bode well for cocoa.  And today the 'cable' is holding up well, maybe it is a buy here?! Like the cocoa!
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Mar Cet
hazard Aug 13, 2018 7:52AM ET
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BoNose Futures I was thinking the same way as you last October/November - I could not believe why prices are failing. I've lost more than half of my capital and sold in middle of February (I don't know why). I also could not believe that after 3 months price hit  2900 where there was no fundamental reasons to pay 1800 or 2900 neither. But you have to get use to it. MM have their strategies totally outside of fundamentals. Commercials just try to not fight with MM in some periods of time.
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 13, 2018 7:52AM ET
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hazard  Thank you for the sincere reply.  Losing a large portion of capital is very traumatic sobering.  I am in that situation now and appreciate your wisdom.  Thank you, Sir~!~
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Mar Cet
hazard Aug 13, 2018 7:52AM ET
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BoNose Futures Well I almost recover in February - but if would stay longer I could double my capital.
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 13, 2018 5:22AM ET
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Certainly, cocoa being up over 1% in value within the first 15 minutes of trading amidst a sea of red ink in all other commodities, this cannot be a bad thing!  It is distinguishing itself wonderfully, so far...
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 12, 2018 7:49PM ET
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That same trend line drawn on the weekly chart
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Jimmy Lindö
Jimmy Lindö Aug 12, 2018 7:49PM ET
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And Will it go up or down?
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 12, 2018 7:42PM ET
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On the monthly chart, there exists an interesting trendline drawn that appears to support now and  may portend a reversal back up.
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 3:43PM ET
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In New York managed money sold 13,000 lots and is now net short
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 2:03PM ET
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Huge managed money liquidation in London. They sold 17,000 lots this week.
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Mar Cet
hazard Aug 10, 2018 2:03PM ET
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Where we can find it?
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 2:03PM ET
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CFTC commitment of traders report
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 10, 2018 11:18AM ET
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Today is interesting dynamic as December Cocoa flushed out the 2118 low on spike volume down to 2108.  And that is within one tick of last week's settlement, in essence a test of sorts.  Then price rose back above broken support of 2118 and is trading back in the 2120 to 2130 prior range.  Perhaps a cycle low has been notched here today.
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 10:30AM ET
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No reason for funds to go short when commercials have been sitting on the sidelines just waiting for these prices. I think the selling has just about stopped, and I anxiously await the CoT
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 10, 2018 6:48AM ET
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Cocoa showing strength despite the strongest dollar in a long time.
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 10, 2018 6:48AM ET
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This is a good test of strength for the cocoa.  It is most resilient of  the softs. Price is currently up. Bodes well
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JC Osb
JC765 Aug 10, 2018 6:48AM ET
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Of course the machines got switched on at 7 am
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 09, 2018 2:56PM ET
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Talking about Bollinger Bands, looking at daily we've left the lower band and odds are in favor of reaching at least middle and later higher band if so. We'll see how it evolves.
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 09, 2018 2:38PM ET
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Bollinger band compression over time scales ranging from an hour to 5 hours indicate a squeeze in progress.  Foretells volatile breakout soon.
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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar Aug 09, 2018 1:50PM ET
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there is at least some sort of resistance here.   Cocoa could easily drop 70 points a day.  it means there is a possibility of further up soon.
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Abhinav Gupta
Abhinav Gupta Aug 09, 2018 11:38AM ET
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About when is the market gonna be trending like past months april-may-june
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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar Aug 09, 2018 11:38AM ET
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that's a million $ question. . I think we will see it after September October.  there should be another weather  shortage report  to make any change in the supply channel. . May be an En Nino effect in mid august could help. otherwise i dont see much move.  in any case there is no reason the market would move higher than 2400-2500 for next 6-9 months.
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Willie Booker
Willie Booker Aug 09, 2018 10:00AM ET
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Won't touch this thing till under 2000 then it'll give some good buy opportunities.
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Raja As
Raja As Aug 09, 2018 10:00AM ET
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No
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Willie Booker
Willie Booker Aug 09, 2018 10:00AM ET
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Raja As what you mean no? It almost went under 2000, and it was under 2000 almost all of 2017.
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Jimmy Lindö
Jimmy Lindö Aug 09, 2018 10:00AM ET
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Said for you to miss the train upwards
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 09, 2018 5:00AM ET
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So, can the market recover?..“Longer term, I think the grinding numbers are going to be supportive,” said Cordier of Optionsellers. “And it could easily range about $100 to $200 more than where it is right now. If not now, we’ll definitely see that happen in the third or fourth quarter.”..ADM Investor Services seems to concur with that view, saying in a recent note that while momentum in cocoa remained bearish, the market was “now at oversold levels and will tend to support reversal action if it occurs”. (Investing.)
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Mar Cet
hazard Aug 09, 2018 5:00AM ET
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I'll probably hold with buying until next week to see how's current COT report and weather.. This news is also not support bulls:. "The governments of Ivory Coast and Ghana haven’t made progress in their plans to halt price volatility in the global cocoa market and it is doubtful if their goal will be achieved for a long time."
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BoNose Futures
BoNose Futures Aug 08, 2018 1:53PM ET
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New generation of chocoholics may turn China into a major chocolate market!..https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/2110537/new-generation-chocoholics-may-turn-china-major-chocolate-market
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 08, 2018 1:53PM ET
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Great for Switzerland then and the rest of EU!. Top exporting countries:. . Germany: US$4.8 billion (17.5% of total chocolate exports). Belgium: $3 billion (11%). Italy: $2 billion (7.2%). Netherlands: $2 billion (7.1%)
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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar Aug 08, 2018 1:53PM ET
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Doc_Greenmoore wow , I never knew how much these countries can produce chocolate.
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Raja As
Raja As Aug 08, 2018 1:53PM ET
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No
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 1:19PM ET
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China will slap 25 pct tariffs on $16 billion worth of US imports starting Aug 23, said the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council on Wed, after the US announcement of imposing a similar tariff on $16 billion worth of Chinese goods from the same day.
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 1:19PM ET
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Doc_Greenmoore  this trade war affects the whole world
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 08, 2018 1:19PM ET
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Tahere Niknam Well, now we're talking Chocolate. You have to put your statement in context with that China imports just as much Chocolate like an island in the North Atlantic, Ireland. And that's import from all the exporting countries of Chocolate, so they can easily import Chocolate from another country than the US. Negligible. US loss.
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 1:19PM ET
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Doc_Greenmoore I'm not so optimistic unfortunately
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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar Aug 08, 2018 1:10PM ET
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Coming back to touch 50 and 20 MA . on 30 m chart. .On daily chart we are below water. below 20 and 50 MA .  where are we heading? .your views?
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 1:10PM ET
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there will be a bear market
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Fariba Ostovar
Fariba Ostovar Aug 08, 2018 1:10PM ET
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Tahere Niknam it seems so .  bear it is.
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Jimmy Lindö
Jimmy Lindö Aug 08, 2018 1:10PM ET
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Bull
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Zahoor Ahmed
Zahoor Ahmed Aug 08, 2018 11:16AM ET
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I am trading in Plus500. And here it is still September contract For which the rollover is today. And starting tomorrow it will enter December contract. How are you trading in December now??
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 08, 2018 11:05AM ET
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As I wrote, fundamentals will be taking over sooner or later.
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Mar Cet
hazard Aug 08, 2018 11:05AM ET
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Doc, I'm also thinking that current levels are inadequate to demand and supply levels. But I also don't know where is good time to enter. MM increased short positions and they wanted to make some profits or time to close contracts without lifting price too much. Regarding to rain levels current weeks are below average but soil moisture was good thanks to previous abundant rains. If will rain more in next weeks it should be no damage to the crops, besides that cocoa trees also need lot of sun. . I'm thinking that we'll see higher prices but not in next few weeks. Another price slide will be also beneficial to buy on lower levels. GBP price is also not supporting higher prices now.
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Hg Greenmoore
Doc_Greenmoore Aug 08, 2018 11:05AM ET
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It can take weeks, sure, I don't think we will see 2400 tomorrow but the longer period without any rain at all the more it favors the bullish case. Then we have all the other bullish factors mentioned before.
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 7:07AM ET
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Target
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Tahere Niknam
Tahere Niknam Aug 08, 2018 7:07AM ET
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Sorry my taget is 1995-1800
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Raja As
Raja As Aug 08, 2018 7:07AM ET
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Mo
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