Futures dip, oil tops $100 as Iran reviews U.S. peace plan - what’s moving markets
Tuesday is often quite a soft day for gold. There are numerous theories about why it happens, but the more important news is if there is softness today, it could mark the final low before a powerful surge to $3800 begins.
Some key insight into this golden matter. This action on this daily chart is technically superb.
A (14,7,7 series) Stochastics buy signal is coming into play and enough time has passed during the formation of the rectangular drift between $3200 and $3440 to reasonably assume that a major upside breakout is imminent.
As good as the daily chart looks, the weekly is even better.
A positive triangle/pennant is in play and the (14,5,5 series) Stochastics oscillator is sporting an ultra-bullish inverse H&S pattern.
What about silver? The launchpad for silver is a Friday close over the highs near $39.
Last week’s dip stopped almost precisely in the centre of my $37-$35.50 buy zone for gamblers. There’s not enough of a price sale for investors to buy, but eager gamblers and momentum players should have bought… and still can today!
Palladium is another very interesting precious metal. It’s in the buy zone for both gamblers and investors, and it would become a bigger buy for investors at about $1100.
I’m not expecting palladium to make new highs on this run (which should last well into 2026), but it should double in price and happy investors can then put the proceeds into supreme money gold.
What about palladium’s sister metal, Platinum? A pullback to the deep value zone near $1100 is much less likely for platinum than palladium and a move over the $1500 area highs could ignite another big surge towards $1800-$2200.
I would expect that breakout over $1500 to bring in significant Chinese gambler buying on the SHFE futures market. In a nutshell:
All the metals look good, but there can only be one currency queen, and that of course is gold!
With the jobs report disaster now in the history books, the next big reports of fear trade significance are next week’s CPI and PPI inflation reports.
Some stock market pundits are calling for a 50bps rate cut in September. That could occur if the new jobs report chief isn’t simply a government propagandist and issues real numbers that highlight the dismal jobs growth but...
That cut won’t occur if the CPI, PPI, and PCE inflation reports begin spiking higher too. In fact, if they spike too high there could be hikes rather than cuts!
It’s likely going to take a few more months to get a handle on how much growth stagnation and price inflation the government’s tariff taxes are going to create.
When that smoke finally clears, there’s likely to be some concerning stagflation… and gold stocks could quickly become a significant focus for major institutional investors.
The stunning CDNX weekly chart. My projected pullback is in play, and it likely ends in the 700-600 range. A move over the 800 area highs would create fresh institutional interest.
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDXJ) chart. Note the fantastic position of the (14,7,7 series) Stochastics oscillator at the bottom of the chart. The bullish action of the GDXJ ETF and the CDNX index is adding to the bullishness of the entire metals sector.
What about the senior miners? The fabulous GDX (NYSE:GDX) chart. There’s an exciting triple-headed inverse H&S pattern in play… with a close over the neckline of the pattern.
A few days of pullback action now would be technically normal and gamblers can buy. Investors should already be “locked and loaded” for a surge to $60. That’s the target of the H&S pattern.