Breaking News

U.S. PCE Price index YoY

Latest Release

May 30, 2025

Actual

2.1%

Forecast

2.2%

2.3%

The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways: a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency; on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: US Department of Commerce

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	08:30			2.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	08:30	2.1%	2.2%	2.3%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	10:00	2.3%	2.2%	2.7%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	08:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.5%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	09:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.6%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	09:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.4%

News

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Investing.com -- The April personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, an inflation metric closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, pointed to further easing inflationary pressures in the...

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Analysis

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It would seem evident that most investors would understand that consumer spending drives economic growth, ultimately creating corporate earnings growth. Yet, despite this somewhat tautological...

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The 200-day moving average (MA) is more than just a line on a chart. It's one of the most widely watched technical indicators on Wall Street—a long-term trend filter that helps investors separate...

The Bond Market ‘Paradigm Shift’: Why Yield Control Is Far From Over By Michael Lebowitz - Jun 02, 2025

Some bearish bond investors in Japan and the US appear to believe that a paradigm shift is underway in the sovereign bond markets. To wit, consider the following statement from Jim Bianco on...

PCE Price index (YoY) Discussion

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All Comments (3)

mg bishton Nov 30, 2023 9:33AM ET

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The Core PCE price index on Nov 24, 2021 indicated prices had inflated by 4.2% from the same period in 2020. On Dec 1, 2022 prices had inflated another 5%. Now they’ve inflated another 3.5%. The FED only wants to get inflation down to 2% per year while market mavens (I.e. Big Money) say getting it down to 3% is plenty and the FED should start dropping the FED’s “target Rate” and charging them less interest (Which is already way lower than the interest consumers have to pay to buy a house, care or other improvements) Unless a person is making 14% more than they did in 2020, they need negative inflation rates to catch up. and for future inflation rates to be at or less than the annual increases in their wages. That vast majority of people have savings accounts but don’t “play the markets” so higher Fed rates mean they get more interest on their savings. This economy is 70% dependent on consumer consumption. Don’t let the greed of those already in the markets kill the golden goose!

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Michael Caroline Nov 30, 2023 9:33AM ET

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Carl Igo Dec 01, 2022 6:29AM ET

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Musk brings up an interesting point. Based on the data used in their models, are the Feds looking in the rear view mirror instead of forward through the windshield? Are they massively over raising interest rates that could have a catastrophic momentum driving the economy into a recession next year?

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Javisman Dec 01, 2022 6:29AM ET

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They are socialists populists, they only care for today, they don't give a damnn about "the future"!

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wm sm Nov 14, 2022 10:38AM ET

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In the discussion section we start out talking about PCE as expected, but then it starts talking about the effect of CPI on currency. Looks like a typo.

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