Bonds Analysis & Opinion

10 year US notes are turning slightly down for the last few days, so we are wondering if maybe market finally completed its ending diagonal since we have all the pieces in place. However, it's always...

For the past year, the Fed has hinted it would raise interest rates. But investors haven't bought what Janet Yellen has been selling, driving yields lower and bond prices higher and higher.Take a look...

Investors just can’t get enough of low (and falling) yields. There’s a “nearly insatiable global demand for yield,” observes Aaron Kohli, interest-rate strategist at BMO...

Personally I love junk bonds. Yields greater than typical bonds and a high correlation to the stock market is not a bad combination – typically. In fact, this combination can generate some...

Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report was insanely strong, yet yields (interest rates) didn't move. Good economic news usually spikes yields because it means the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise...

The SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (NYSE:JNK) posted a solid 1.5% total return for the shortened four-day trading week through July 8—the best performance among the major asset classes, based on...

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range...

Right after I posted “Long Bonds Enter The Blowoff Stage,” Jeff Gundlach expressed some similar concerns to those I shared in that post: I think one thing he might be looking at, beyond...

After dipping to a record low of 1.37% on Tuesday, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield ticked higher yesterday (June 6), settling at 1.38%, based on daily data from Treasury.gov.Has the downside bias...

Back in late-2014 I first proposed the idea of a blowoff surge higher in the long bond. At the time, many were very negative toward bonds and expected higher interest rates were just around the...

DOW – 108 = 17,840SPX – 14 = 2088NAS – 39 = 482210 Y – .09 = 1.36OIL – 2.39 = 46.60GOLD + 5.70 = 1357.20Longer-end Treasury yields traded near record lows, with the...

We calculate the 30 Year Bond versus Historical core inflation averages and it is not a pretty picture for Bond Investors. This trade exposes the fallacy of central bank policy because it moves the...

Note: We've update this commentary with data through yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries in the wake of the turmoil in Europe following the Brexit, leave vote in the UK....

With the markets closed on Monday for the annual “Independence Day” holiday, the technical analysis from the past weekend’s missive still holds. As I stated: I discussed the...