Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Falling in love is one of the greatest experiences on earth. However, it also leaves us blind to the flaws or shortcomings of our counterpart. That is how I feel about bonds right now with the U.S....

There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down...

T-Bonds have had a heck of a run. Whether you're talking about the last 6 months, the last 5 years or the last 3-and-half decades, bond prices have a come a long way. At the moment, t-bonds are...

Central banks are encouraging excessive risk taking in the bond markets, setting the stage for the next financial crisis. Bill Gross is right - bonds are a systemic risk bubble right now.Conditions...

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield eased yesterday (June 15) to 1.60%–the lowest since late 2012, based on daily data via Treasury.gov. The downtick follows yesterday’s decision by the...

The volatility on FOMC days can be quite amazing even on days when the Fed does nothing unexpected nor says anything unexpected. Here is a case in point in regards to US Treasury Bonds. On the U.S....

US Treasuries have been chugging along as stocks flirt with all-time highs. And now with stocks pulling back slightly Treasuries are continuing higher. Lets set aside the fairy tale that stocks and...

Risk aversion continues to dominate the global financial markets on Brexit fears. Nikkei suffers another day of selloff and is trading down -204 pts, or -1.28% at the time of writing. That followed...

The stock market has seen various forms of extremely rare behavior over the past three years. The bond market has also checked some very, very rare boxes recently. From Bloomberg: Today’s bond...

The 30-year US Treasury Bond market has been trending up since 1981. This massive bull market is set to reach its conclusion next quarter if my analysis is correct.Let’s analyse the technicals...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators went long on 10-Year Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Lower yield(s) are pressing beneath key support in what has morphed from a possible bottom between July 2013 (1.38%) through mid-to-late 2015 (2.37%-2.49%) into a massive distribution pattern that...

There are a couple elements of this perma-rising market that I actually applaud. One of them is precious metals, which I hope roars to the moon and beyond. The second is bonds. Looking at the chart...

Bund holding above 165.20/22 keeps the outlook positive and targets quite strong resistance at 165.51/55. We should struggle here again but picking a top at this stage is not a great idea, despite...