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Rally in stocks runs out of steam as coronavirus toll climbs

Published 02/07/2020, 01:43 AM
Rally in stocks runs out of steam as coronavirus toll climbs

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian share markets fell on Friday and oil price gains stalled, as the growing death toll and economic damage from the coronavirus outbreak snuffed out a late-week rally.

U.S. stock futures (ESc1) and European futures (STXEc1) point to soft openings in Friday.

The death toll in mainland China from the new virus has more than doubled in just under a week.

It rose to 636 on Friday, with the number of infections at 31,161. And in the early hours of the morning one of the first Chinese doctors to raise the alarm about the virus died from it at a hospital in Wuhan, the outbreak's epicenter. He was 34.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.9%. Japan's Nikkei (N225) edged lower, while Korea's Kospi (KS11), Hong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) and the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) fell by between 0.5% and 1.2%.

Thanks to a $400 billion wipeout on Monday, Shanghai is poised for its worst week in eight months. But the other Asian indexes are ahead, amid a broad global rally.

It has been underpinned by China's sweeping efforts to contain the spread of the virus. But with deaths rising, cities shut off, flights canceled and factories closed, global supply chains are in disarray and fears of a pandemic remain high.

"The rate of infection is not slowing," said Michael McCarthy, chief markets strategist at brokerage CMC Markets in Sydney.

"I'm a little surprised at the way European and U.S. investors have shrugged this off. I think the reaction in the Asia-Pacific region is much more reasonable. There is real uncertainty," he said.

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U.S. stocks gained for a fourth straight session on Thursday and Wall Street's main indexes hit record highs, while Asian assets - particularly currencies - remain under pressure.

In Asian trade, the yen halted a slide that has it set for its worst week in 18 months, leaving the currency sitting just above a two-week low at 109.89 per dollar.

Gains in the Australian dollar , a liquid proxy for China because of the heavy exposure of Australian exports, were likewise halted.

While the Aussie is on track for its first weekly gain this year, elsewhere in Asia the Singapore dollar and Thai baht have been trampled in a rush from emerging market currencies into majors.

Several Chinese politicians from President Xi Jinping down made reassuring comments on Friday. But Chinese trade figures due on Friday that are set to offer an early glimpse of the effects of the virus on the flow of goods are yet to be published.

Investors will also turn later to U.S. jobs figures due at 1330 GMT for an update on the United States' economic health.

COMMODS CAUTIOUS

Much is unknown about the coronavirus, including its lethality and transmission routes. The World Health Organization has said it is too early to call a peak in the outbreak.

China's aggressive response, dubbed a "people's war for epidemic prevention" by President Xi, appears to have inspired confidence.

Beijing has pumped billions of dollars into the money market to stabilize confidence and the central bank said on Friday it expects the virus impact to be temporary.

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Yet, owing to much greater exposure to Chinese demand and less access to the benefits of monetary stimulus, commodity prices have been more sensitive to conditions on the ground.

Oil and metal prices fell hard as the coronavirus outbreak gained pace and have been slow to recover.

U.S. crude (CLc1) was firm on Friday at $51.02 per barrel, but is flat for the week and remains 14% below its Jan. 21 level. Brent prices were last at $55.14 per barrel.

A rally in copper - often seen as a barometer of global economic health because of its wide industrial use - ran out of steam on Friday, softening 0.1% to $5,728 per tonne.

"We think that demand could come back strongly as opposed to gradually in Q2 2020," said Commonwealth Bank commodities analyst Vivek Dhar.

"But the risk in the near term is that provinces take longer to return to work in order to contain the spread of the virus."

Latest comments

Reuters should be deported to China... they've got the flu
Today's downturn has nothing to do with the virus. The market soared this week. Did you really think the market makers were really gonna pay all the calls today?
Back to reality.
Shanghai Composite SSEC went up 0,33%, not down!
same factors you can use for explanation of the rise or decline markets with a small modification... maybe just state the facts and dont make up imaginary correlations...
over reaction over the virus ,its an outbreak not an epidemic, Chinese stock markets will rally soon.
Its an epidemic. Cruises being quarantined, 80 confirmed cases on one, cities all across china on lockdown, people being put in back of vans and disappeared, CDC and the military making major quarantine sites near about 7 large US airports. You can also get the virus more than once as well, plus it can mutate even if a vaccine is made. Its a chinese bioweapon that got out of a military lab in wuhan. Its DEFINITELY way worse than media is letting up.
Cite your sources for this info. This sounds like those who want panic are making comments.
 agree. governements are playing down the epidemic to avoid a market crash..so take profits and close long positions and buy back on the correction.
I think maybe the media should just stop trying to pretend like they know whats going on in the markets
The real risk is when The factorys open, the dieds are not risk.
The title is so misleading. 🤣🤣
Imagine the field day that the media would have if a flu virus like the one in the early 20th century which killed million existed to day. The media should act responsibly. This too shall pass
The US futures don’t quite seem to indicate this yet. We shall see in a few hours.
No sooner that a short-covering rally peak has arrived: the Roller-coaster here we go again! --- 1st it was the trade war, now it's a virus that fans the flames to drive the market from one extreme to the next --- LOL
That "one of the first Chinese doctors to report the outbreak of the new virus" was an eye doctor. When he reported the new virus to the authorities the CCP arrested him and forced him to apologize. --- Our governments in Germany, England and Canada are mad to put our G5 data into the hands of Huawei that answers to a dictatorship government under Xi who has so grossly mismanaged the new virus. --- Think about it ! The Chinese eye doctor could have lived if the totalitarian Xi had not had stuck high in insensitive CCP air. --- Calling it a PEOPLE'S WAR is another lie. It's a shameful government trying to make good on its incompetence.
not the sharpest tool in the box are you chris.so you think had the chinese doc not been silenced he woulda got a vaccine and be miraciously cured?
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