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BioNTech SE (BNTX)

NASDAQ
Currency in USD
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86.71
-1.38(-1.57%)
Closed
After Hours
88.17+1.46(+1.68%)

BNTX Comments

Hello everyone. I'm a doctor and I've been in the stock market for about a year. I did an analysis by Biontech and I think that the market is missing something. I'll be happy if someone gives me feedback and shows me I'm wrong. 1. Biontech has the best vaccine technologically and modernly with Moderna. As a doctor, I must say that the recent price correction of the mRNA vaccine producers Biontech and Moderna in the context of the results of the phase 3 MOVe-OUT study on MERCK's Molnupiravir makes absolutely no sense. Molnupiravir in modern medicine has absolutely no competition for vaccines. It will not lead to their reduced use, nor will it be mentioned in the guidelines as an alternative to vaccination. Even a layman will understand why from the data below. Molnupiravir has been proposed as adjunctive therapy to patients with COVID-19 who have become ill despite vaccination. In these cases, if they have a mild or moderate course of the disease at the beginning of the disease (in severe cases, it has not even been tested), they will reduce the risk of being hospitalized by only 50% within 29 days of infection. In contrast, Biontech was the first to come up with the results of a large study that confirms that after receiving a booster dose of the 3rd dose of Pfizer / Biontech, it should guarantee you with a 95.6% probability that you will not get Covid 19 at all. Imagine that we had two groups of 100 people, one we did not vaccinate and in case of COVID 19 infection they used Molnupiravir and the other group had 3 doses of Pfizer / Biontech. In the first group, due to the huge infectivity of the delta variant, everyone would gradually become infected, economically, each of those infected for at least 2 weeks could not be active and about 7 of them would get to the hospital due to more difficult course / if they did not get Molnupiravir 14 would get in the hospital /. In the fully vaccinated group, only 4 would be infected and none would get in hospital. 2. Pfizer / Biontech increased the prices of one batch from 1.8.2021. Now he sells at least one dose in Europe for about $ 25. They will produce at least 4 billion batches next year, as confirmed by Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla. So the market capitalization of a 71 B company that will earn about 50 B next year is OK? Surely the question is - will they sell them all? I say yes and they would sell even more. Why? MRNA vaccines outperform and defeat other alternatives in terms of efficacy and minimal side effects, so only Comirnaty (Pfizer / BioNTech) and Spikevax (Moderna) vaccines are used for revaccination, at least in Europe and in my country. Other vaccines will not be used for revaccination. Ie. even a person who has been vaccinated with eg Vaxzevria (AstraZeneca) and others will only be revaccinated with the mRNA vaccine. 3. It is almost certain that human society will never get rid of COVID 19, the question is how often and whether we will have to be revaccinated repeatedly. Personally, I'm sure it will be 1 dose every year. Which would earn Biontech at least about 50 B a year just for vaccines a year. However, they also have other preparations, especially from the oncological field in phase II, for mRNA technology, which will potentially generate more money for them in the future ... In the context of the above, is the current stock price OK?
You are missing a huge point - the vaning efficacy of the vaccination over time. Biontech was the first to come up with the results of a large study that confirms that after receiving a booster dose of the 3rd dose of Pfizer / Biontech, it should guarantee you with a 95.6% probability that you will not get Covid 19 at all. Check out Israel and UK, where there is already a booster programme. The 95.6% probability, you mentioned, ist the probability after vaccination and the follow-up in these studies is just 2-3 months. Pls. check data about efficacy up to 6-8 months.
 Just the big pink elephant in the room, no one wants to see: Remember, what were the efficacy numbers in the first trials in 2020 (without any thoughts of boosters!)...around 95% in all age groups. So, the obvious question is: Why do we need a 3rd vaccination to get 95.6% protection, if it is meant to be a 95% to be already there??? All these mRNA vaccines miss real long-term data. The trials just measure for a short period of time, how many infections are there in the vacc. vs. unvacc. arms. Infection was defined as one symptom (snoody nose) and positive PCR. One symptom is not severe disease, no hospitalization, no ICU, no dead. The studies are not covering these topics. One question, which is rarely asked: Can these new technologies, which never got FDA-permission before, do harm? How is our immune system influenced?
Did someone hear, that these vaccines should not get into the blood vessel. It is meant that the membrane-ankered spike proteins are produced by muscle cells at the place, where this has been injected. About 5-10% of injections in the upper-arm go into blood vessels. What happens, if blood vessel endothelial cells (instead of muscle cells) produce the spike proteins and present these ones into the blood stream. Ever heard of thrombosis? For all, who consider a booster shot - insist on "aspiration" through the injection process...your doctor should know!
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