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Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up

By Investing.com (Pinchas Cohen/Investing.com)Market OverviewJun 23, 2022 07:32AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/opening-bell-us-futures-recover-as-powell-admits-economic-challenges-btc-up-200626179
Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up
By Investing.com (Pinchas Cohen/Investing.com)   |  Jun 23, 2022 07:32AM ET
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  • Powell admits recession is "certainly a possibility"
  • But Fed boss said economy is strong
  • Bitcoin rebounds

Key Events

On Thursday futures on the Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and Russell 2000 were marginally up while European stocks traded lower ahead of US Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell's second day of testimony to Congress. Yesterday he conceded, in his semiannual monetary policy report that higher interest rates could cause a recession.

Oil fluctuated but remains above $105 as CEOs of seven oil majors are due to meet US President Biden at the White House.

Global Financial Affairs

NASDAQ 100 contracts rebounded into clear gains after the underlying index closed in the red yesterday. Futures on the S&P 500 Index also traded higher followed by Dow and Russell 2000 futures. We suspect today may see some volatility in markets as earlier all four contracts were trading in the red.

The European session opened lower, with the STOXX 600 Index falling to its lowest level since Feb 1, 2021. Energy and mining stocks underperformed as ongoing concerns of an economic downturn dented commodities. Investor sentiment was dented by the Fed Chair's comments, lower than expected PMI data and an S&P Global survey which showed euro zone business growth slowed significantly in June.

Asian markets were mixed, with inflation concerns dominating headlines. China's Shanghai Composite closed up 1.62%, outperforming while South Korea's KOSPI dropped 1.22% to its lowest level since Nov 2, 2020.

Powell's admission that the US central bank found it challenging to walk the fine line between taming inflation while maintaining a solid job market and avoiding a recession ended a two-day rally in US markets. However, the selloff was tempered by his reassuring remarks about the economy's strength.

Treasury yields on the 10-year note extended an advance, moving towards 3.1%.

10-year Treasuries Daily
10-year Treasuries Daily

Yields neared a triple support area: the May highs, the uptrend line since the Mar low, and the 50 DMA.

After a two-day decline, the dollar advanced. It may be developing a bullish pattern.

Dollar Index Daily
Dollar Index Daily

The greenback was testing the top of a pennant, bullish after the preceding five-day rally. However, the pattern is only complete upon an upside breakout. This continuation pattern is a market device to help it overcome resistances, such as the May highs.

Gold declined on dollar strength.

Gold Daily
Gold Daily

Technically, the yellow metal is out of sorts. A rising dollar is keeping it down, but there is still sufficient demand to maintain it within a short-term rising channel and a long-term uptrend (black). On the other hand, the 50 DMA slumped below the 100 DMA and is falling hard and may cross below the 200 DMA which would trigger a Death Cross.

Bitcoin climbed back above the psychological round $20K level.

Bitcoin Daily
Bitcoin Daily

The cryptocurrency is trading according to a pennant formation, bearish after the preceding seven-day-straight loss. A downside breakout will confirm our long-term bearish call. According to the principles of technical analysis, the digital currency's bearish pennant implies a target around $5K.

Oil moved between gains and losses and was just 0.7% lower at $105.3 at the time of writing.

Up Ahead

Market Moves

Stocks

  • The German DAX was 0.6% down.
  • London's FTSE 100 was up 0.2%
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was little changed
  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed

Currencies

Bonds

  • Germany's 10-year yield fell to 1.46%
  • Britain's 10-year yield fell to 2.40%

Commodities

Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up
 

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Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up

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Comments (7)
Arun Khare
Arun Khare Jun 24, 2022 3:43AM ET
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still waiting for that 5k bitcoin great call ...
Pinchas Cohen
Pinchas Cohen Jun 24, 2022 3:43AM ET
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You sound sarcastic, and if so, I didn't say it will reach there by the same day. I also said the pattern has to be first completed.
Viren Patel
Viren Patel Jun 23, 2022 9:16PM ET
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Still waiting for that 5k bitcoin... great call...
Pinchas Cohen
Pinchas Cohen Jun 23, 2022 9:16PM ET
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You didn't think I meant it will happen in the same day, did you?
Mohd Izhar Muslim
Mohd Izhar Muslim Jun 23, 2022 4:58PM ET
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Thank you for sharing the article 💯
Pinchas Cohen
Pinchas Cohen Jun 23, 2022 4:58PM ET
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You're welcome, Mohd.
Alpha Omega
Alpha Omega Jun 23, 2022 9:27AM ET
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USA trade shortfall over a Trillion per year.worst ever. The gravy train due to stall .the consumer debt is too heavy. Who is going to forgive all the credit card debt so that the train can start moving again?
Isabella Grayson
Isabella Grayson Jun 23, 2022 9:27AM ET
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Well I was able to get my debt sorted out by allowing a profitable firm handle my financial account.
Captain jeff irons
Captain jeff irons Jun 23, 2022 9:22AM ET
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I thought Biden wasn’t meeting personally with Oil CEO’s and it was the Energy Secretary or something?
Angus Malarkey
Angus Malarkey Jun 23, 2022 7:42AM ET
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1st quarter GDP NEGATIVE 1.4%. The economy is not strong...inflation was not transitory.... The "leaders" lie to the public and the public allows it.
Vish Malik
Vish Malik Jun 23, 2022 7:42AM ET
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USD strong today
Vish Malik
Vish Malik Jun 23, 2022 7:14AM ET
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jobless claims news effects to gold move up or down .....????
Pinchas Cohen
Pinchas Cohen Jun 23, 2022 7:14AM ET
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If it doesn't meet expectations, it can.
 
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