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Ashraf Laidi
All Aboard The Hike Train, Except One By Ashraf Laidi - Jul 13, 2017

A Bank of Canada rate hike wasn't even on the radar a month ago but on Wednesday the BoC joined the Fed and is the second major central bank to hike rates. What's more, as we anticipated, it was a...

Marc Chandler
Calculating The Fed Funds Futures By Marc Chandler - Jul 12, 2017 1

US measures of core inflation fell from February through May. The US reports June CPI at the end of the week. There is a reasonable chance that the core rate stabilizes. However, the movement away...

Tim Ord
SPX, Gold And Miner Technicals: July 12, 2017 By Tim Ord - Jul 12, 2017

SPX Monitoring purposes; Covered short on 7/6 at 2409.75=gain 1.2%; Short SPX 6/26/17 at 2439.07. Monitoring purposes Gold: Neutral Long-Term Trend monitor purposes: Neutral. Above is a sentiment...

Jill Mislinski
Is The U.S. Workforce At Full Recovery? By Jill Mislinski - Jul 12, 2017

We've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include last week's Employment Report for June. The unemployment rate ticked back up from 4.3% to 4.4%, and the number of new nonfarm jobs (a relatively...

James Picerno
Will Low Inflation Delay Fed Rate Hikes? By James Picerno - Jul 12, 2017

Fed funds futures are currently pricing in a low probability that the Federal Reserve will squeeze monetary policy at any one of the next three FOMC meeting (July 26, September 20, November 1). The...

Craig Erlam
Yellen And BOC Could Play Havoc With USD/CAD By Craig Erlam - Jul 12, 2017

Wednesday promises to be quite an entertaining day for markets, with central banks once again the focus as the Bank of Canada announces its latest monetary policy decision and Federal Reserve Chair...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Booming Wages In Eastern Europe By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Jul 12, 2017

Wages keep booming in Eastern Europe, expanding at +15% year-on-year (yoy) in Hungary and Romania in April-May 2017 and more moderately in Poland, Czech Republic and Slovakia. Unemployment rates...

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