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A pair of strong jobs reports on Friday will help to keep the hawkish theme at central banks intact in the week ahead. Last week the Canadian dollar led the way while the yen lagged. CFTC positioning...
The gravitational pull for EUR/USD to move higher, which the Danske Medium-term Valuation (MEVA) model has been pointing to for some time, has started to kick in. Also, MEVA still points to further...
You can almost hear the announcer for the movie trailer; “In a world stricken by financial crisis, a country plagued by spiraling deficits and cities on the verge of collapse – a war is...
Monday July 10: Five things the markets are talking aboutTo date, rising interest rates continue to overshadow geopolitical developments and it’s the Bank of Canada (BoC) turn this week to...
In emerging countries, the economic recovery is firming thanks to China’s growth stabilisation, the upturn in foreign trade and the normalisation of financial conditions after the turmoil that...
The political and legal saga that has shaken the country over the past three years is perpetually postponing the normalisation of the institutional environment. Accusations against the President are...
Economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2016/2017. This slowdown is only partly due to the demonetisation process. As of September, investment began to slow and the production of...
Monetary tightening and a stricter prudential and regulatory framework for the financial sector should curb domestic credit growth in 2017. For the time being, the main consequences are a slowdown in...
by Pinchas CohenKey Events Yellen grilled by Congress this week, while Fedpseak pours down on investors Internal data diverges from headlines in world’s two biggest economies Positive US...
The number three, a symbol of unity, marks Turkey’s history and provides a cardinal reference point for the country’s modern economy. More prosaically, despite recent geopolitical and...
The economy has entered a phase of cyclical acceleration. The output gap is closed and inflation is gradually picking up though from a low level. Unemployment has reached a historic low, thanks to...
After a severe political and economic crisis, the economy has swung back into growth. Stabilisation of the exchange rate laid the groundwork for lower inflation. The central bank has begun to ease...
The Algerian economy has been hard hit by the drop off in oil prices. Although the adjustment process was launched rather late, the first measures are beginning to pay off. Though still significant,...
Economic activity has been severely hit by the decline in oil prices and the troubles disrupting oil production. Real GDP contracted by 1.5% in 2016, and the recession continued in first-quarter 2017....
Inflation: EGP depreciation does not explain everythingThe floatation of the Egyptian pound since November 2016 and the introduction of fiscal reforms have significantly improved the macroeconomic...