Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Jeffrey Gundlach predicts trouble for the equity, corporate and junk-bond markets if the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond goes above 3% in 2017. Even the housing market would suffer.Gundlach is the...

The Bank of International Settlement asks in its quarterly report if there has been "a paradigm shift in the markets?" Although it does not provide an explicit answer, it does argue that there has...

Disclaimer/Caveat/Warning: The idea I am going to discuss here is definitely not for everyone. As traders and investors we are told time and again that it is “foolish” to attempt to...

In 2012 I wrote a book called The Coming Bond Market Collapse, in which I predicted that the bond market would begin to collapse by the end of 2016. Clearly, this prediction has started to come true....

Income investors are currently facing an uptick of concern over bond holdings that is reminiscent of the 2013 taper tantrum. While it was no more than a few years ago, many are quick to forget the...

10 Year T-Note: Yields escaping a long-term downtrend, which explains the USD index strength Original post

Early every morning at Cumberland an email is sent around to all folks in the firm who touch portfolios. LIBOR rates are part of the dataset.An estimated $150 trillion worldwide is US-dollar-based...

90% (my low-balled estimate) of you, the investing public, are herding when it comes to the bond market. You may not know it because the overwhelming psychological atmosphere is to reaffirm, not...

Note: We've update this commentary with data through yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries in recent weeks. The yield on the 10-year note ended yesterday at 2.39% and the...

Interest rates have shot up since July. But have they “stretched too far too fast?” One way to measure if an asset has made a rare/extreme short-term move is too see how far above or below...

Treasury yields and market-based inflation expectations have taken a sharp turn higher in recent weeks. Is the shift a sign of regime change… or just noise? A convincing answer is on hold until...

Is the bubble in the bond market about to burst? Even a move back to the 38% retracement level over the next several weeks would cause chaos in the global financial markets. Below, U.S. 30-Year annual...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders sharply decreased their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week to an overall net bearish...

Talk over the past couple of months has been focused on the fact that interest rates are rising and the Fed will raise rates very soon. A big test is in play before one can say the “rate trend...