Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Since the beginning of 2009, the U.S. 10-Year yield has averaged around 2.6%.Consequently, most investors feel that interest rates have nowhere to go but up. However, from 1930 to 1955, the U.S....

The following 1-Year Daily chart of 30-Year U.S. Bonds (USB) shows that a bearish moving average Death Cross has recently formed — warning that lower prices may be in store. However, the rising...

Our equity/bond model - This long term reliable investing model provides investors with simple decision making in the markets:When the model favors stocks, investors should overweigh in equities for...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators turned bullish on 10 Yr Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

I realized that our mentally-challenged bullish friends will refuse to accept it for a long, long time, but their welfare-sponsored bull-run ended last December. The breakdown has been subtle since...

Friday was a surprising day for world markets as The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced some interesting data points that have some marked implications for the US. The news wires were awash with...

USD and German 10 year yields: The Price Drivers for the WeekFrom current price at 2.347, note the current USD Yield lineup from 10 year averages to 1 year. 3.16, 2.31, 2.41 and 2.16. Viewed from 1 to...

US State pensions face $1 trillion dollar funding gap in a world increasingly dependent on centralized promises. Even more troubling, this number is trending higher at an alarming rate: Greece-Like...

10 Year Bund/ Treasury and Bund / Treasury Spreads Vs EUR/USDThe 10 Year Bund / Treasury spread at its last -1.55 monthly average is approaching important levels. Just below lies the 1 year monthly...

The chart of 30-year fixed mortgage rates dating back to the early ’70s is a sight to behold: For the last several years American borrowers have been blessed with the good fortune of...

During the past 3-4 weeks my preferred scenario called for the 10-year yield to stall at around 2.50% followed by a decline into the 2.10%-2.00% support zone prior to my expectation of the emergence...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators increased bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

Countless investors and financial advisors wrestle currently with the conundrum of how to approach bonds. We are reminded constantly of the likelihood of rising interest rates; most recently Fed chair...

A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...