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US 30 Year T-Bond Futures - Dec 24 (USZ24)

CME
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
USZ24CMEUSD
USc2CMEUSD
USc3CMEUSD
Currency in USD
117.84
+0.75(+0.64%)
Closed

US 30 Year T-Bond Futures Discussions

It needs a couple of days. My calls expiring today.
Jumped out with moderate losses. Call options always needs +1 day
Seasonality charts say Yes
time to buy?
if Trump wants to win the economic War he has to boost exports and reduce Imports through tariffs. you cannot do that with high interest rates and a strong dollar you will need a weaker dollar and lower interest rates.
another indication that the sudden spike in rates will be short-lived is the fact that Trump is a real estate investor and high interest rates are not good for Real estate. I look for a reversal in interest rates and a spike in real estate prices and probably all commodities considering the tariffs that he plans to put in place. this will create huge inflation that will spike prices and make him richer along with his billionaire buddies like Elon Musk and others.
high interest rates are not good for the corporate world so the first think Trump will do is crush these rates down to zero so I would be a buyer of bonds here regardless of how much manipulation the market maker performs
if bonds don't bounce here the US will have a catastrophe on its hands! Where is Warren Buffett and his bet on America!
time to rock n roll
i believe we are going to correct till we reach 116 because it happen to around 50% from the highs and it's the top of the dec 2023 candle after the reverse and it was the main previous resistance after we dropped below 115 in the first correction. but again this just an opinion that make sense in my way of thinking.
my post below first was 118 but now believe the lows will be between 116 to 117.
Sold some puts to go long .. Happy Friday.
Show me a V Bottom
my timing may be off but like I have said in the past I am never wrong!
Being off on timing = being wrong mister. Arrogance is the death of traders
Big Dome thank you grandmaster!
118 should b your buy target.
could go up 5% today
remember people will buy Bonds in anticipation of what's coming they won't wait until after the fact so load up immediately
like i use to tell my financial advisor. I'm would rather be early to the party then be late
Guys, major labor strikes hitting the United States soon will force prices to skyrocket pushing the country into stagflation which will force the FED to bring interest rates back down to zero or negative if there's such a thing and bond prices will go through the roof!
ATH soon
I am a believer that inflation will be stubborn and. it will not go down below 2% just bill atman , and do not think I am following akman because he is not a prophet but a student of history,
loading up
Why is this garbage rallying? Better yields on money market, with less risk. Smh
rate cuts = rising bond prices
it's not suppose to rally till the rate cut begins. Bill Acman open short on bonds round 125 , he claims that inflation is not going away , and he might be right if the feds chairman cut in sept if he gets any reading below 2.9 coz he will be doing it to keep his job, what i am sure of that ackamn grabbed an easy short before the rate cut which what i will do myself if i have 1 tenth of his money.//the bottom line it's an afen mess between a party wants hold the job, brain washed voters and the vultures smelling blood in the air.
About time!
👇
it's july 20th my guess we in the next few days we are going to dip again, this might be the last time we get close to our support at 114.
june 20th we rebounded after we sold but the rebound lacked volume , the rally is standing on one leg , it seems we will correct next week.
that does not mean it will correct successfully because we can get 2 or 3 lame selling days which will be a signal to buyers to step back in and the rally will continue in july that's why i always take trading day by day .
wait till comes down and 116 and below 116.50.
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