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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
3.625
+0.004(+0.11%)
Delayed Data

United States 10-Year Discussions

Can you imagine if they cut 75 bps
I meant .75
it's possible, but I think 50bps is more likely. I do however think they should cut 75 anyway, Fed is way behind the curve at the moment
Don't even want to laugh at the bears, just sad now
People don't know that republicans' economics are better than democrats because their tax plan is competitive with other countries. We have the highest taxes in the world or almost the highest. Its trash for socialism.
It should go green as many times in the past days but people bet on a 2% cut by end of the year. Yes, please, cut rate to 0% so people can continue to increase debt at low cost and inflation will explode!!!
imgur.com/qG4A0OH
Raise rates to 7-9% now!!!
What about the interest on debt? For the government & variable rates loans and mortgages?
pbs.twimg.com/media/GXhjdCNWoAA_fqm?format=jpg&name=small
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXhjdCNWoAA_fqm?format=jpg&name=small
People don't consider the forward looking nature of investors. Basically, this first round of rate cuts is already priced in to some extent. The dollar looks like it will crash to 95 but people dont consider what Trumps tariffs will do to the dollar. Trump will win btw. His tariffs will push the dollar back up. Believe it or not, I believe this outcome is also predicted at point. That's the way I will put that.
Retail Sales, Core, and Core Sales without gas/autos report Tuesday. All forecast to report lower than the previous month and YOY. Industrial Production, Manufacturing, and NAHB also to report Tuesday. Higher forecasts expected.
See posts below about revisions to jobs data? At what point do we stop trusting these reports produced by agencies that are not being honest and not working in our interest?
It makes sense for the yields to come up after Wednesday.
Non Farm Payroll job data has been revised down 16 of the last 17 months. Last 7 months were revised down by more then 360,000. Excluding government jobs, 11 out of 12 months in 2023 were revised lower, the most since 2008.
US job openings data has been revised down 15 of the last 19 months, the longest streak since 2008.
The yield curve inverted for 700 days prior to the Great Crash of 1929. The yield curve was inverted for 789 days from 07/05/2022 to 09/06/2024. 95 years
Blackrock is behind the Yen carry trade via Japanese banks - if Japanese banks blow - Blackrock blows - if Blackrock blows - Federal Reserve blows... chain reaction - JP10Y / YEN / USDT / BTC / USD / EURO / POUND
What difference does it make to go with 50 now or start with 25? There isn't intrinsic value to one or the other while market forces are running hot with speculation of priced in cuts. Mortgage rates will go lower and closing costs will go higher. Hiring has slowed because of fewer applicants. Layoffs are predominately in specific areas and labor shortages continue to exist in other areas.
teena the answer would be unsustainable debt he created to inflate a bubble
Hi Bill, that's the practical answer. I'm an airhead trying to figure out which data points the Federal Reserve is using as a premise to cut rates.
the markets are speculation and debt and participants that overload a trend. not all but a lot of participants. they see yields drop then a big rush in. keeps dropping more rush in. same with equities only up and like now they believe it'll never go bad.
It has legs... because that spread keeps getting wider....
Silver +$30 Gold +$3K is a major problem for the stability of the current financial system and the federal reserve hegemony... things start breaking soon.
Silver and Gold salvo. The greatest transfer of wealth in human history is about to kickoff. SLAVES NO MORE.
We have been enslaved to a debt-based financial system controlled by a globalist banking cabal that usurped our government and financial system in 1913 & took our silver and gold and replaced it with debt in 1933 (The Creature from Jekyll Island - Edward G Griffin) That system (the federal reserve) has reached the end of it's life and is coming to an end. The globalists have plans to move us into their next system of financial enslavement, CBDC (central bank digital currency). We are at a crossroad. We will either succomb to their plans and that will likely be the beginning of the end of what was humanity as we knew it, or we will rebel and toss off this evil oppressive force and take back control of our nation, money, government, schools, means of production, food supply, etc. I'm on the rebel team. It's time to pick a lane. Buckle up.
We have been at the mercy of the globalista banking cabal that controls the fed for our entire lives. The world is waking up and rejecting the fed, US debt has reached absurd levels, OPEC no longer selling oil in fed reserve notes, Saudi Arabia just announced they're selling oil in Chinese Yuan not dollars, BRICS moving to gold-backed currencies. As the world moves away from the fed, a flood of fed dollars is coming back to America. Expect inflation, hyperinfIation, and a banking / liquidity crisis like 2008, but this time there will be no bailouts. Stock up. Silver and Gold. Pray.
One more thought on this. This is not a time for panic, not the end of the world (although it may feel like it at times), and NOT the end of the dollar (it is the end of fed debt dollar as we knew it). Think BRIDGE. How do move from one side to the other safely and then be ready to rebuild on the other side? Difficult transition period ahead. Prepare. Pray.
Commodities are pumping across the board. Seems smart money is front running another long term burst of new inflation about to hit the planet. These macro moves seem bigger than fake data and media spin.
Wow, 10yr down 100bps today, and 2yr down by 180bps. Dropping like a rock.
Powell has agreed to Dimon's cabal for lower capitalization requirements. Silicon Valley is courting Harris and Trump for deregulation in crypto currency.
Doesn't matter. The bond market doesn't care about either of those things, and it definitely doesn't care who is in the White House.
I understand that.
Time to start the show
European Central Bank cut rates today, refering to restrictive financing conditions, weak private consumption and investment. Their inflation rate is not within target, but they cut anyway. Are we starting to realize that the Fed will cut regardless of what inflation is doing?
The Fed will not wait to hit its inllation target to start cutting. It views policy as restrictive and will ease to male it less so. Expect them to cut at the next meeting.
Agreed, they'll definitely cut next meeting, hopefully by 50bps for their sake. Unfortunately, history tells us they will get it wrong and cut 25.
Something big brewing in the crypto market. Republican Congressman John Rose introducing a new bill BRIDGE DIGITAL ASSETS ACT. Ripple XRP white paper - BRIDGE CURRENCY. Also, Trump just made a sudden announcement about a WORLD LIBERTY FINANCIAL "embracing future with crypto leaving slow outdated banks behind" - Tuesday night 9/16 at 8:00 PM... the day BEFORE FMOC.
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