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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

Currency in USD
Delayed Data

United States 10-Year Discussions

Yields to 5.0
inflation is over man ...
Still looking Good 👍
Sooner than later Powell and friends will have to deal with the demotracts’ pump… brace
Reversal soon, stay tuned.....
meeting minutes tomorrow. They will say lots of hawkish stuff
lots of sweet nothings as usual
It seems like these auction days are always red. Probably a trap before 4.4 this week
It shall go to 4.5 quickly
wrong direction, going lower
Not today. But in the nevt days
we shall see, it is certainly worth watching
We are rapidly moving towards a point at which we must begin to question officialdom on everything... when data, reports, news, etc. from official sources can no longer be trusted or relied upon as fact.
China just made a huge cut to their LPRate. Desperate
It should hit 4.5 by now
time to Jack it up 👍
Prepare for higher yields, higher inflation and lower asset prices. you can't just create trillions of dollars and have no negative consequences
My strategy was to watch oil and basically trade around it. However, you already know Canadian cpi will be high. FOMC mintues might have an impact based on the number of votes for a cut if it goes anything but unanimous. Otherwise, I assume it has no effect.
one analyst reporter said if it crossed 4.2 it would climb back to higher regions like 4.5 or 4.8. I believe it but the market doesnt take one cpi as problem and they know rates and monetary policy are still in restrictive territories so i want to see fuel for a bond selloff.
Just a quick reminder - auctions Tuesday and Wednesday. Insofar, the trend has been higher yields ahead of auctions and lower on auction dates. TA indicates building strength.
*** building strength for yields
though some retreat may occur if yields pullback again during auctions.
It should go to 4.5
It doesn’t matter. It will be down after this up up up
If she stays above 4.23, we're heading much higher
That's the 3month trend line sir
The next fed meet is March 19. its the big daddy drop of all fed meetings until June.
so make that a clear distinction.
all sorts of inflationary pressure adding to and subtracting from the current balance, reading the fed is a misnomer. reading changes to the balance is the way to go.
i feel like you're complaining about the market going higher but the fed balance sheet is reducing and you kind of feel like its a hack or scam. just don't go short during earnings season generally. they increased requirements for bank collateral but it doesnt affect stocks as much as real estate or asset classes included in the cpi inflation.
Bostic was on CNBC this morning for the pre-speak and Eisin was like when do rate cuts start, like 10 times, and Bostic was like suggesting calm. Said something about June, normalization during the 2nd half of the year, still leaning to two cuts, and open minded to three.
nobody knows, they are all guessing, gauging how inflation is going to look like. might as well make your own guess.
I've come to the same conclusion too, we're all guessing :)
Wed 2/21: mortgage data, Bostic and Bowman; Thr 2/22: fed balance sheet, employment, PMI, fomc minutes, Jefferson, Cook, and Waller.
March 19th-20th. Meeting minutes February 21st are for the Jan19th-20 meeting, but the market still overreacts to a report from a month ago. I don't know why.
its not about bonds or yields. they need money to buy stock and other securities. They are always against higher ranes.
I guess that pretty much sums it up. That interview I watched on Friday felt like comedy.
Upcoming Auctions - Tue 2/20: 3m, 52w, 6m Tbills and Wed 2/21: 20y bond
Thr 2/22: 4w and 8w Tbills; 30y TIPS
Upcoming Auctions - Tue 2/20: 3m, 52w, 6m Wes 2/21: 20y bond
It will be a double top with october 2023
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