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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

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1.671 +0.005    +0.31%
16:00:00 - Real-time Data. ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Bond
Group:  Government
Market:  United States
  • Prev. Close: 1.666
  • Day's Range: 1.644 - 1.685
U.S. 10Y 1.671 +0.005 +0.31%
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All Comments (6897)
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 11 minutes ago
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I think Dankes a Whale and is here for fun! What are your views on gold and especially silver? Don't just quote a textbook saying balanced portfolio blah blah give me a reason and your thoughts. I myself see silver as the key to this unraveling because I see how much the banks keep it down even when there's record demand for physical! That's communism!
Ray Trader
Ray Trader 1 hour ago
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what's with all the spam , in this room ?
Pat Am
AROB 1 hour ago
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Quick link to federal reserve balance sheet expansion, directly from fed reserve itself: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm.  This is why the equity markets keep rising.  This is the fuel being used to artificially suppress treasury yields. It's not rocket science. The moment the balance sheet stops expanding, everything will crash back down (stocks, bonds, crypto, etc).  The only question is if/when the balance sheet will stop expanding. All other reasons for the equity market rally is just commie noise to distract you from fed balance sheet expansion.
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Danke Glock
Danke Glock 19 minutes ago
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Pat Am  my political views most closely align with libertarians, as I can’t stand either party, but I’m a registered independent.  I made my living in financial markets and as an investor I want free markets.  I believe in capitalism, and have a disdain for both socialism and communism as it penalizes merit and promotes mediocrity.  When it comes to policy decisions, whether fiscal or monetary, you’re often left with choosing between two unappealing options.  When I invest, I don’t dwell on what I think should be and lament what is, I asses what is happening and try to make money.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 15 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  the link to the auction results I posted on the thread below will show you the auction participants.  Here is today’s results. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2021/R_20210412_4.pdf
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 7 minutes ago
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Thanks so much!
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 6 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  look at the footnotes on the bottom of the results PDF.  You can use that to back into the information for bid-to-cover, percentage of demand from various buyer (divide each bidders allocation of accepted orders by the total accepted orders).  I wish they kept running totals for comparisons, but you need to track the auctions to compare them at this point.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 6 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  you’re welcome.
Todd Gray
Todd Gray 1 hour ago
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it's a crazy country, where nothing reflect the reality of where things really are. shrinks say, the further things are from reality, the more insane the condition is.
Ray Trader
Ray Trader 1 hour ago
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the important thing is for MSM to keep repeating the lies, cause then people believe them
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 8 minutes ago
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Orwell wrote that the more society drifts from the truth the more it will despise those who speak it.
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 1 hour ago
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*U.S. Budget Deficit Widened Last Month to $660 Billion as Latest Stimulus Payments Flowed *Federal Revenue in March Rose 13% From Year Earlier to $268 Billion *Federal Spending in March Rose 161% From Year Earlier to $927 Billion
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 1 hour ago
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Revenue rose 13%, but spending rose 161%. I’m sure it will all magically work out in the end. This seems entirely sustainable.
Mantvidas Žėkas
Mantvidas Žėkas 1 hour ago
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Mark Ma it will, I give you my word :))
Ray Trader
Ray Trader 1 hour ago
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Glad the yield stabilized so we can  make new ATH's in equities everyday
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 1 hour ago
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There hasn’t been much discussion about today’s 10-Year Treasury auction.  The results seemed close to average.  The bid-to-cover ratio was 2.36, slightly lower than the average of the last several auctions, but not by much.  Indirect bids, which includes foreign buyers, was 59.6%, again slightly less than the average of the last several auction, but not by much.  Primary dealers and direct bids were slightly above average at 24.18% and 16.22%, respectively.  The high yield was 1.68%, which was a 0.2 basis point tail.  All in all, it was about as close to average as it gets.
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Trade MMM
Trade MMM 1 hour ago
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thank u
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 1 hour ago
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bill burt  you’re welcome.  Given the auction calendar still to come, this wasn’t a bad result.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 1 hour ago
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Trade MMM  you’re welcome.
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 42 minutes ago
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This is great information. Yields climbing suggests it wasn't so good.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 33 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  if you were grading the auction, it was a C or C+.  It was almost on top of the averages of the last six months, perhaps a touch softer, but not enough to make a difference.  There is a lot of supply coming, so in some ways it’s surprising it didn’t tail more.
CHAD TENDIES
CHAD TENDIES 2 hours ago
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2 year yield spiking sell everything we are gonna crash
Bob Stttt
Bob Stttt 1 hour ago
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When the current yield is as low as the 2-year, even a modest increase in yield looks like a spike.  Nothing to worry about.  It is an order of magnitude behind the 10 year.
Black Swan Man
Black Swan Man 2 hours ago
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Pat Am
AROB 2 hours ago
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Old economic indicators no longer matter. They are based on old rules that no longer applied. All that matters is how much and how fast the fed is willing to expand their balance sheet and if/when they'll stop.
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Dave Jones
Dave Jones 46 minutes ago
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That's not accurate. Dankes information is superb. How he interprets it is flawed IN MY OPINION but that's just an opinion. Like yours.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 46 minutes ago
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Pat Am  U.S. 10Y Feb 25, 2021 6:22PM ET  the problem is the Fed for more than a decade has encouraged excess risk taking and backstopped markets.  Investors are being conditioned that every sell off is just another dip to be bought.  I suspect that will be the case for a while longer until we get the economy moving and people working again, but eventually the tab will come due.  https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-commentary?comment=26028570#26029485
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 45 minutes ago
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Pat Am  U.S. 10Y Mar 02, 2021 7:39PM ET  markets have been addicted to stimulus since the financial crisis.  It’s be hard to remove accommodation over the next couple of years unless we drive employment to levels that existed prior the pandemic, or higher.  I feel bad for younger generations that are going to have to pay for our fiscal irresponsibility.  Unfortunately, the Fed is in a bad situation, partly of it’s own doing.  It should have let the economy run hot for a while when it had the chance in 2016-2018. https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-commentary?comment=26148770#26151253
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 43 minutes ago
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Pat Am  U.S. 10Y Mar 12, 2021 6:03AM ET  I agree rates should be higher given the pace of the recovery and amount of stimulus used to achieve it.  Unfortunately, with the amount of market intervention by central banks globally, all asset prices are distorted.  The data can tell you higher rates are warranted and you can be absolutely correct and then the Fed comes out and play whack-a-mole with the yield curve and drives down rates.  I take a longer-term view when I invest, so I don’t get bothered by daily market moves.  Stock and bonds will have their rallies and corrections as we work through this recovery and back toward policy normalization. https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-commentary?comment=26451357#26452547
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 41 minutes ago
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Pat Am  The above posts undermine the nonsense you state about my view(s), which is why I’ve recommended you work on your reading comprehension.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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The Fed bought $1.735 bln of Treasuries with maturities from 2043-2050, which is in line with their operations in longer-dated Treasury securities.  Thus far, that don’t seem overly concerned about yields in the long-end of the curve, since they haven’t increased their purchases or started targeting long bonds relative to shorter maturities.
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Danke Glock
Danke Glock 40 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  I get the results when they are posted on Treasury direct - I’ll get you a link.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 39 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  here are the results from today.  https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2021/R_20210412_4.pdf
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 37 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  if you go to this web page and then expand the section for Announcements and Results by year, you can then choose a specific auction.  Open the PDF tab in the competitive column.  https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_auctionresults.htm
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 29 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  here is a link that takes you to the page for the Fed’s daily Treasury operations (sorry about the above links - I thought your comment was on my thread about the auctions).  https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/treasury-securities
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 28 minutes ago
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Dave Jones  and this link is for MBS purchases - https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/desk-operations/ambs
CHAD TENDIES
CHAD TENDIES 4 hours ago
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2 year yield is inverting be careful
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Bob Stttt
Bob Stttt 3 hours ago
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Inversion is meaningless when the bond market is so grossly manipulated by The Fed.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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Bob Stttt  an inversion of the curve would be meaningful is it was actually happening, but we are no where close to the curve inverting.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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^if it was...and nowhere.  Small keypads and autocorrect hate me.
Bob Stttt
Bob Stttt 3 hours ago
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Danke Glock   We had multiple inversions in the past couple of years.  What brought on a "recession" was COVID and the worldwide lockdowns of entire economies, not the fundamentals linked to the significance of a yield curve inversion.  Though I would welcome panic over meaningless inversion, so that I can bought equities at discounts.  :)
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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Bob Stttt  I’m waiting for a buying opportunity in both stocks and bonds.  I just want one market or the other to shake loose.
Atlantic Coast Money
Atlantic Coast Money 4 hours ago
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Scary day. Institutions fleeing to bonds?! About to get real ugly. CPI tomorrow just might do it.
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Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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The market is expecting a 2.5% increase y-o-y in headline CPI and 1.5% in CPI less food and energy, so it would take a big upside surprise from those levels.
Bob Stttt
Bob Stttt 3 hours ago
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Fleeing TO bonds?  Yields are up.  The opposite is happening.  Bonds are being dumped.
Joe Lane
Joe Lane 3 hours ago
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Danke Glock  kind of like the surprise in PPI last Friday?
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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Joe Lane  it would take something bigger.  Bonds only sold off 3bps on a day we had an upside surprise in an inflation reading and stocks rallied 0.75%.  The PPI reports wasn’t much of of market mover in my view.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 3 hours ago
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Joe Lane  likewise the 10-year TIPS breakeven rate of inflation actually fell on Friday.
CHAD TENDIES
CHAD TENDIES 5 hours ago
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RIP bulls
Gold Bull
Gold Bull 5 hours ago
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Why? Seems they are VERY alive.
Billy Boy
Billy Boy 4 hours ago
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Gold Bull  This chart is inverted. The value of bonds is falling if interest rates are rising.
Ray Trader
Ray Trader 4 hours ago
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Gold Bull  rumors of bulls demise has been greatly exagerated
Mark Warren
Mark Warren 4 hours ago
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Ray Trader
Ray Trader 6 hours ago
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Equities not skyrockeintg at the open, they need to push it down a bit more
Not buying
Not buying 6 hours ago
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reverse HAS
Joel Schwartz
Joel Schwartz 6 hours ago
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1.7 today
stf va
stf va 11 hours ago
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that's right keep pushing it down, don't want to let things get out of hand here
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 10 hours ago
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sums it up
togorba Solomon
togorba Solomon 18 hours ago
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Manipulation start again. Controlling DXY and Markets
Dave Jones
Dave Jones 18 hours ago
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If they did print another couple of trillion for infrastructure I'd be happy because it would provide jobs and improve a lot of things. If they give it to their wall street cronies...not so happy. how many billions went to big pharma from the last lot? It was in the hundreds!
Bryan Ali
Bryan_Ali 17 hours ago
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Bond infrasctructure ;)
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 16 hours ago
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Given the state of disrepair of our infrastructure, the low level of rates, and the need to boost the economy, it’s a good time to invest in infrastructure.  The only problem is our government’s propensity for wasteful spending, so it depends on how much pork gets added.  A lot of the money that went to pharma was part of operation warp speed to produce therapeutics and vaccines, which in hindsight was probably money well spent.
Not buying
Not buying 6 hours ago
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money would/will be poorly allocated. might as well get flushed down the wall street toilet. None of this will benefit the people.
Joel Schwartz
Joel Schwartz 6 hours ago
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Danke Glock I mean, an infastructure bill’s efficiency is dependent on commodity prices. If lumber is up 300% in the last year and copper 200%, then spending on projects gets you that much less actual result for the same cost...
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 5 hours ago
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Joel Schwartz I’m not talking about the input costs; I’m talking abojt per projects that aren’t needed and things unrelatrd to infrastructure fhat get thrown in to the bills
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 20 hours ago
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This should rise based on powells comments in the interview
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Dave Jones
Dave Jones 18 hours ago
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Me? I already know he's a lying fraud. And if you accept they are telling the truth about the fed balance sheet it's going parabolic. Buyer of last resort is buying everything.
JAMES CUNHA
JAMES CUNHA 18 hours ago
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Mark Ma  what did he say about asset bubbles?  I figured the issue would be raised during the interview.
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 18 hours ago
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JAMES CUNHA  basically said there could possibly be asset bubbles but then said we don't have the ability to identify asset bubbles.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 18 hours ago
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Mark Ma  he basically kept the party line then.
Joe Lane
Joe Lane 10 hours ago
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Dave Jones  Very well said! Powell is in clear violation of the Fed's price stability mandate. Can we fire him yet?
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 20 hours ago
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Powell Interview about to start
Shaman Fondler
Shaman Fondler 20 hours ago
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Please stop with the spam
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 20 hours ago
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It doesn’t give you a lot of confidence in the website security.
Shaman Fondler
Shaman Fondler 20 hours ago
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Danke Glock good point
Mark Ma
Mark Ma 23 hours ago
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U.S TREASURY TO SELL $370 BILLION IN TREASURIES IN THE NEXT THREE WEEKS, HIGHEST MONTHLY ISSUANCE EVER -FT rates up
Shaman Fondler
Shaman Fondler 21 hours ago
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Could yields be high enough to create solid demand?
Bob Stttt
Bob Stttt 19 hours ago
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Shaman Fondler   Probably not.  More supply generally means yields are going to continue going up.  Yields are still well below inflation targets, so I cannot imagine anyone being too excited about bonds yet.  I think interest will pick up at 2% yield.
Mark Ma
Mark Ma Apr 11, 2021 3:44PM ET
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The U.S. economy is at a turning point thanks to government support and a speedy campaign to inoculate Americans against Covid-19, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in a new interview. "What we're seeing now is really an economy that seems to be at an inflection point," Powell told Scott Pelley during an interview that will air Sunday evening on CBS News' "60 Minutes." CBS released a portion of the interview earlier Sunday.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock 22 hours ago
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The articles I’ve read previewing the interview all seem to rehash all his previous comments.
 
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