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(36)
your wish I ask could 🤟🙉😎
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The End is Near!
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JGB's in absolute freefall... see my prediction: https://invst.ly/8lir6
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crash by Fryday, end of Babylon
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So does Japan now own over 50% of their own bonds. FTX has already tried that approach.
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Japanese bond futures got halted after hours?? 👀
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Nice product all
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Nice product all
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The Trouble is , JGB futures for Sept 2022 with current price of 149, (10yr bond @ 6% coupon, semi annual payment) are already priced for a YTM rate of 0.9% pa. Please correct me if my YTD calculation is in error.
But if BOJ doesnt relax its rate control the Yen will continue to decline viz the USD and that will play havoc with the balance of payments as Japan is a large energy importer.
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Boj cares zilch about yen , infact usdjpy 150 may even be target ,, need to deflate tge big debt bubble via inflation and weak currency .. add the Kuroda stubborn factor and there should only be one direction for the yen ( until the fed pivots )
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BOJ currently buys these JGBS to defend their Yield Curve Control target of 0.25%. They pay for them with JPY that they create out thin air. The increase in the money supply causes the JPY to devalue (USDJPY has moved already from 120->135 this year) which has also generated much wanted inflation with CPI now around 3%yoy. However with 10Y UST bonds now yielding around 3.5% the YCC policy is unsustainable. 10Y JGBs yielding 0.25% and denominated in a devaluing currency are extremely unattractive compared to 10Y UST's. The BOJ will sooner or later have to step away from the market and the yield will spike to more normal levels of around 1.4%. Stay short JGBs, the downside is minimal and the upside huge.
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That Or world stockmarkets crash and US yields pullback near 2% which relieves some of the pressure on the money printers at the boj
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BOJ currently buys these JGBS to defend their Yield Curve Control target of 0.25%. They pay for them with JPY that they create out thin air. The increase in the money supply causes the JPY to devalue (USDJPY has moved already from 120->135 this year) which has also generated much wanted inflation with CPI now around 3%yoy. However with 10Y UST bonds now yielding around 3.5% the YCC policy is unsustainable. 10Y JGBs yielding 0.25% and denominated in a devaluing currency are extremely unattractive compared to 10Y UST's. The BOJ will sooner or later have to step away from the market and the yield will spike to more normal levels of around 1.4%. Stay short JGBs, the downside is minimal and the upside huge.
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below 136 ?
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today willl be 136+
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welcome :))
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will need more than what you think here friends
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buy for 154 long term
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the Japanese government has always shown out and there public projects are a win win everytime so 154 isn't an impossibility