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Debt limit talks, Biden's trip overseas, Walmart reports - what's moving markets

Published May 18, 2023 05:30AM ET Updated May 18, 2023 06:29AM ET
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Investing.com -- U.S. President Joe Biden climbs off a plane in Japan to discuss global issues at this weekend's G7 meeting, but the spotlight remains focused on the outcome of the debt ceiling talks in Washington. Meanwhile, Walmart prepares to report its quarterly results after its retail peers unveiled disappointing sales.

1. "We will not default"

President Biden sounded a cautiously bullish tone on the ongoing negotiations over raising the $31.4 trillion borrowing limit, saying that top-level members of Congress have agreed that the country "will not default."

Biden also confirmed that he would indeed trim his trip abroad this week to arrive back in Washington on Sunday to help hammer out a deal. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who has been at the forefront of the discussions as one of the key Republican leaders in Congress, told reporters that it is "doable" to forge an agreement by the time Biden returns this weekend.

For now, a formal resolution has yet to emerge, with both sides at odds over spending plans. Time is of the essence: Officials have estimated that the federal government could run out of money to pay its debts as soon as June 1.

U.S. stock futures edged slightly higher on Thursday as investors maintained guarded optimism for the outcome of the talks. At 04:49 ET (08:49 GMT), the Dow futures contract was up 25 points or 0.07%, S&P 500 futures traded 5 points or 0.14% higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 20 points or 0.15%.

2. Biden in Japan

Biden has arrived in Japan for a meeting with leaders from the Group of Seven leading democracies, with pressing global issues like the war in Ukraine and strained relations with China among the biggest topics on the table.

However, the debt ceiling negotiations back home will also likely still be a major focus at the gathering in Hiroshima, which is due to begin on Friday. Economists have warned that a U.S. default would not only impact the world's largest economy but have far-reaching consequences abroad.

A White House official told Reuters that Biden will hold a news conference on Sunday before he heads back to Washington.

3. Walmart to release earnings

Walmart (NYSE:WMT) is set to report its quarterly results on Thursday, rounding out a week of earnings that have provided a peek into the state of the retail industry and the health of the U.S. consumer.

The budget big-box chain faces a challenge to keep prices low even as inflationary pressures threaten to push up input costs, according to Investing.com's Damian Nowiszewski.

According to DataWeave statistics, which analyzed prices from early 2022 to February 2023, Walmart's average prices for a selected basket of nearly 600 products rose by just 3%. This would come in under both the average inflation rate and Walmart's closest competitors, Nowiszewski noted.

Rivals Target (NYSE:TGT) and Home Depot (NYSE:HD) have already posted their latest figures this week. Both firms unveiled sales that missed Wall Street estimates as high inflation convinced many shoppers to rein in non-essential spending.

4. Fresh U.S. jobs, housing data

Investors will have chance to parse through new data on Thursday that could give further definition to the outlook for both the U.S. labor and housing markets.

Weekly initial jobless claims are projected to edge down by 254,000 after they touched a year-and-a-half high of 264,000 in the week ended on May 6.

Meanwhile, existing home sales are expected to fall to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.30 million in April, although elevated mortgage rates - a drag on homebuying activity in the prior month - are starting to show signs of easing.

The numbers may give clues into how the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hiking campaign to corral inflation has impacted demand for labor and housing. The Fed raised borrowing costs by 25 basis points at its most recent policy meeting, but expectations remain that the U.S. central bank may push pause on its tightening cycle at its next gathering in June.

5. Oil inches lower amid debt ceiling discussions

Oil prices dipped on Thursday, paring back some of the previous session's gains, as traders eyed the potential outcome of the debt limit negotiations in Washington.

By 04:50 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.45% lower at $72.50 a barrel, while the Brent contract edged down by 0.49% to $76.58 per barrel.

Crude prices rallied over 3% on Wednesday on hopes that a deal to raise the U.S. debt limit could shortly be reached, adding to the news of a drop in U.S. gasoline inventories due to demand surging to its highest levels since 2021.

Debt limit talks, Biden's trip overseas, Walmart reports - what's moving markets
 

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Comments (15)
Bob Hattar
Bob Hattar May 19, 2023 5:49AM ET
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Biden is tge crises/ kick back - alleged president
Jay Garrelts
Jay Garrelts May 18, 2023 7:43PM ET
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I feel good that someone so old I wouldn’t let them drive me around the block in charge lol
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 18, 2023 7:43PM ET
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When you finish drivers ed, you won't have to worry about it.
Mark Jannetty
Mark Jannetty May 18, 2023 1:51PM ET
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who is financially better off today than under Trump? thumbs up Trump and down for Biden and be honest.
Maximus Maximus
Maximus Maximus May 18, 2023 1:51PM ET
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mark nothing happens in a vacuum.. you should know by the one you have between your ears...
Mark Jannetty
Mark Jannetty May 18, 2023 1:47PM ET
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Biden = inflation machine
Boruto Uzumaki
Boruto Uzumaki May 18, 2023 1:47PM ET
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Haha
Dave Jones
Dave Jones May 18, 2023 1:47PM ET
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brandon = Cornpops beach.
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 18, 2023 12:47PM ET
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Biden = Jobs Machine
Dave Jones
Dave Jones May 18, 2023 12:47PM ET
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🤪🤣
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 18, 2023 12:47PM ET
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Dave Jones Oh no! Emojis! What a retort.
Bhaskar Roy
Bhaskar Roy May 18, 2023 9:03AM ET
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job data not so good..Worried..
na na
na na May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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Next year budget won't be balanced. In 2024 the same people who haven't balanced the budget since 2001 will bring out the Constitution to argue we can't default.
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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The Constitution does not mandate a balanced budget. You should read it some time. It's not very long.
April Westin
April Westin May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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Brad Albright  scoring propaganda points has nothing to do with the Constitution.
Mark Jannetty
Mark Jannetty May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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brad, I know you have difficulties, but where did he say it was in the constitution? he is saying we will be at the debt ceiling again and it does state we can not default. just stop embarrassing yourself
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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To my dumb little friends. The Constitution cannot be used as a cudgel to fault lawmakers for not balancing a budget. There is no such requirement in it. Such lawmakers are not out of bounds, however, when they argue we cannot default on our debt. That is in the constitution. Now back to your pudding cups.
Bill Powers
Bill Powers May 18, 2023 8:06AM ET
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Brad Albright aw you guys are friends. maybe they'll share their pudding cups with you
rob finch
rob finch May 18, 2023 7:52AM ET
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Its the weakness of a democracy. people learn to vote themselves money. our hope falls on our republic. our representatives must step up and control the spending.
na na
na na May 18, 2023 7:52AM ET
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Gotta ban both parties from holding office again.
Derick Lim
Derick Lim May 18, 2023 7:36AM ET
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Debt ceiling talks continue with inflation and recession goes away.as the talks progress
Michael Crowley
Michael Crowley May 18, 2023 7:32AM ET
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I cant pay my mortgage, can i borrow more to pay it please?
 
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