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Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week

Economy Jul 21, 2019 06:00AM ET
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© Reuters. - The European Central Bank’s policy meeting will be front and center this week as investors wait to see what action central bank head Mario Draghi may take to support the euro area economy.

The week will bring fresh insights into the global economic outlook, with manufacturing data for Japan, the euro zone and the U.S., due Wednesday. The calendar will also feature a first look at how the U.S. economy performed in the second quarter.

Investors will also be getting the latest barrage of earnings reports, with tech companies in the spotlight after last week’s bank earnings and a new UK prime minister should be in place by the end of the week, as concerns over the prospect of a no-deal Brexit continue to build.

Here’s what you need to know to start your week.

  1. ECB policy meeting

The ECB is not widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting on Thursday, but could signal that plans to loosen monetary policy are imminent amid heightened global uncertainty and ongoing trade tensions.

Investors will also be listening out for any hint that the ECB is prepared to inject fresh stimulus into the euro area economy in the form of bond-buying and if so, when.

Almost every major central bank, including the ECB and the Federal Reserve has adopted a dovish stance in response to the impact of trade tensions on the outlook for global growth.

  1. Economic data

Purchasing Managers' Indexes, generally reliable gauges of economic trends, have been painting a pretty gloomy picture in recent months. So advance manufacturing PMI data for Japan, the euro zone and the U.S. on Wednesday will be closely watched, given the bets on monetary easing in all three countries.

The U.S. will report on both new and existing home sales, along with figures on durable goods orders ahead of Friday’s advance reading of second quarter growth. Economists are forecasting growth of 1.8%, slowing from 3.1% in the first three months of the year.

  1. FAANGS earnings in focus

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) kicked off earnings for FAANG stocks on a bleak note last week, with shares dropping 10.2 % after it reported its first U.S. subscriber drop in eight years.

The result was a worry for investors since FAANGs' earnings and their shares have been crucial contributors to record-breaking Wall Street rallies this year and last.

Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), which reports on Wednesday, has seen shares fall in recent days amid calls for greater regulation of the company's handling of private information. It's also under fire in Washington for its plan to launch a cryptocurrency, Libra.

Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) releases results on Thursday, amid calls for it too to be more regulated. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) reports the same day amid worries that rivals Walmart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) are getting more competitive with online sales and deliveries.

The fifth FAANG, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), opens its books on July 30. By then the effect on market sentiment should be clear.

  1. New UK prime minister

The results in the race to succeed British Prime Minister Teresa May are due on Tuesday and she is expected to hand over power the next day. Boris Johnson, the face of the Leave campaign in the 2016 Brexit referendum, looks almost certain to become the new prime minister, beating foreign minister Jeremy Hunt into second place.

The transfer of power has major implications for Brexit with parliament having failed to approve May’s withdrawal deal.

Sterling has sunk to its lowest in 27 months as the two candidates tried to outdo each other with hard Brexit rhetoric, including pledges to leave the EU with or without a deal, come the Oct. 31 deadline.

But chances for a no deal Brexit received a blow last week after British lawmakers passed a measure that would prevent the next prime minister from suspending parliament in order to push through a hard Brexit.

  1. Turkey rate cut is coming

On Thursday Turkey's central bank meets for the first time since President Tayyip Erdogan sacked its former head for not moving fast enough on cutting interest rates, now at 24%.

The new governor Murat Uysal is widely expected to deliver a rate cut, with the only question being how much.

Given the lira only recently stabilized from last year's 30% dive, a rate cut would raise the risk of the currency buckling again, but with most major world central banks now shaping up to cut rates Turkey won’t stand out so much.

--Reuters contributed to this report

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week

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Comments (3)
Daniel Tumusiime
Daniel Tumusiime Jul 21, 2019 11:30AM ET
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Great oversight , thanks
Ali Graboski
Ali Graboski Jul 21, 2019 10:16AM ET
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so whats up with the markets....which pair will move better
claudia mosher
claudia mosher Jul 21, 2019 10:16AM ET
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From this article, I'd expect choppy markets. Maybe a swoon on Wednesday ( which can be a buying opportunity or a crisis depending on whether you're a buyer or a seller). Interesting, though, that as the US tried to lower its dollar by lowering interest rates, all the other big boys are planning to use the same tactic. Maybe a race to the bottom! Great time ahead to renew your mortgage?
Kim Boesgaard Lauritsen
Kim Boesgaard Lauritsen Jul 21, 2019 10:09AM ET
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Looking forward to See who will be the leader in the UK
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