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Stocks slide, commodities spike as Ukraine war shakes markets

Published 03/03/2022, 08:40 PM
Updated 03/04/2022, 04:56 PM
© Reuters. Investors sit in front of a board showing stock information at a brokerage house on the first day of trade in China since the Lunar New Year, in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China February 3, 2020. China Daily via REUTERS

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Data showing a vibrant U.S. jobs market strengthened the dollar and spurred commodity prices higher, but the war in Ukraine overshadowed the blowout report as the euro plunged on the worsening outlook for slower European economic growth.

The U.S. unemployment rate fell to a two-year low of 3.8% as job growth surged in February, a bright spot for an economy that faces mounting headwinds from rising inflation, tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions.

The euro tumbled below $1.10 for the first time in almost two years and hit a fresh seven-year low against the safe-haven Swiss franc as Russian forces seized the largest nuclear power plant in Europe and fighting raged elsewhere in Ukraine.

European stocks sank to near one-year lows, with the pan-regional STOXX 600 index sliding 3.56% to increase losses for the week to 7% - its worst weekly decline since the depths of a pandemic-fueled sell-off in March 2020.

The major U.S. stock indices declined less as Europe's dependence on Russian energy and its proximity to Ukraine has slammed the continent more than other parts of the globe.

If it were not for Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Federal Reserve would likely raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its policy meeting in two weeks, said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.

The jobs data is a blowout number but it doesn't ease Fed Chair Jerome Powell's job as he raises interest rates to tame inflation as the economy slows, Kinahan said.

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"He has a tough needle to thread here, in terms of making sure that tighter money doesn't upset what's already a very fragile situation," he said.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53%, the S&P 500 lost 0.79% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.66%.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe closed down 1.65%.

The dollar rose more than 1% against a basket of six trading currencies at one point. A key measure of economic expectations, the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, flattened to under 25 basis points.

A flattening curve can mean investors expect rate hikes soon and are losing confidence in the economic growth outlook.

However, a yield curve that is flat or flattening "isn't necessarily a bad omen for markets," said Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.

"Given all the uncertainty with the Ukraine situation, the higher inflationary backdrop and some slower global growth as a result, we think that you could see a more dovish Fed than currently is being priced in the financial markets," he said.

A closely watched measure of money-market stress and dollar funding conditions rose to its highest level since May 2020, reflecting the increased risk of banks hoarding the U.S. currency and squeezing liquidity.

European bond yields fell along with the euro as investors worried that higher commodity prices will dent growth in the European Union.

The euro fell 1.17% to $1.0934.

Commodity markets headed to their biggest weekly gains in years as the shuttering of Ukrainian ports and sanctions against Russia sent energy, crop and metal buyers scrambling for replacement supplies.

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Crude oil, which has hit its highest level in a decade this week, soared again in a volatile session as the disruption of Russian exports outweighed hopes for more Iranian supply if Washington reaches a nuclear deal with Tehran.

U.S. crude futures posted their biggest weekly gain since April 2020, up 25.9%. U.S. crude settled up $8.01 at $115.668 a barrel, while Brent rose $7.65 to $118.11.

Aluminum touched a fresh record high in London, heading to its biggest weekly gain on record amid fears of a squeeze on the metal from Russia. Nickel reached an 11-year high for similar reasons.

Palladium prices rose above $3,000 per ounce for the first time since May 2021 as concerns over supply shortages from top producer Russia mounted and the war in Ukraine bolstered demand for safe-haven gold.

U.S. gold futures settled 1.6% higher at $1,966.60 an ounce.

Overnight in Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares ex-Japan tumbled as much as 1.5% to 585.6, the lowest level since November 2020, taking the year-to-date losses to 7%.

Stock markets across Asia were in a sea of red, with Japan losing 2.2%, South Korea 1.1%, China 0.9% and Hong Kong 2.5%, while commodities-heavy Australia was down 0.6%.

Latest comments

It's time to end the rule of big oil. Develop alternative energy and hydrogen. South Korea already builds hydrogen-fuelled cars. Hydrogen is split from water.
Maybe the only good thing that will come out of this, when Europe ditches russian oil/gas for good and (partially) replaces it with renewables
lol your clothing comes from oil/gas not to mention 5000 other products
Nuclear powerplant does not explode even if hit by the bomb
If those bombs had damaged the plant’s electrical and cooling systems, there could have been a disastrous meltdown = Chernobyl x 10
Lol bonds? How long you guus been talking of people.buying up.bonds...oh sure.everyones buying them up for 2% gains..please.
Hollywood plant fire
With you on the COVID show John, but this ********is real.
I'm buying long in all Russian stocks. biggest deal ever in the market
Good for you!!!!! I'm sure you'll learn a great lesson....
Attack on nuclear plants???? The guy that puts s bullit in Putin head will be a hero to all the world
I hear that's the plan. from here on out, putin his family and inner circle are human targets.. they will never be safe again..... the Ukrainians will make them pay for Russia's genocidal brutality.
Putins expiration date is rapidly approaching
Let’s hope so. I know the formal position of the United States is to not assassinate, but in this case we should make an exception. He needs to be permanently removed.
Plant on fire? More like car on fire on parking lot.. But any fake news is good way to tank the market
not covering up. Watching from live stream. I have no need to cover anything as our country is probably next one on the list after ukraine. I just hate this media reactions on these. First casualty of war is truth. Didn't honestly think it would be media who killed it .
you can join all these telegram groups etc which provide constant coverage on both sides , then make your own assessment from it. But here is prime example. If you want shell/bomb/whatever nuclear plant .. Would you go do it next to reactor .. Or just fire cruise missile from safe distance ? 🤔 also.. Also don't really help russian plans to control crimea if they explode nuclear plant next to it .. 😅
jussi ...the media is just doing their job trying to report what's going on in a war zone they don't always get it right.....the Russian dictatorship owns the media my experience with Russian media has shown they are nothing more than a propaganda arm of the Russian dictatorship and have always covered up their mistakes and corruption. the independent press was giving an honest account of the war, that's why the have threatened an now closed what independent free press Russia had left.
Davil Biden ,I have no words for this third class us president.
I have no words for trolls covering up Russian war crimes...
2d
200,000 Russian soldiers @ each surrendering of $ 5,000 /soldier = 200k x 5 x 1,000 = $1B. -- If Likely only half the Russian soldiers in Ukraine now would surrender to Ukraine authorities and then be sent to Poland as POW and to collect their reward in Poland's Banking subsidiaries then the payout could amount to only half a billion to settle the whole war and save billions of inconvenience that goes bust now for non-trader investors and governments around the world for aid for Ukraine and nuclear powerplants on fire, etc.
chris sounds good....
Ukraine’s State Emergency Service later issued an update stating that the blaze had actually erupted in a “training building” adjacent to the nuclear site, not the facility’s reactor buildings. While it noted firefighters were initially unable to respond due to the fighting, they were ultimately able to contain the blaze.
The UN’s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), meanwhile, said that no “essential equipment” had been damaged at the plant, adding that there has been “no change reported in radiation levels,” citing Ukrainian officials.
What a waste of money: --- '..Asian equity markets and the euro suffered heavy losses on Friday while oil prices jumped as investors took fright from reports of a nuclear power plant on fire amid fierce fighting between Ukraine and Russian troops.  The risk-off appetite battered markets across the region, sending U.S. stock futures also sharply lower, suggesting more pain for European and U.S. markets when they open later in the day..' --- HOW MANY billions of DOLLARS OF 'HEAVY LOSSES' are we talking? -- I mean: Offer each Russian soldier in the Ukraine who surrenders a sum of USD 5,000 (4,000 for surrendering and 1,000 for sabotaging their unit's advance), and have that administered by the big international brokerages like GS and JPM and have those funds shifted to Poland awaiting payouts to surrendered soldiers: THEN WE've all this unnecessary war SOLVED and all can be good again.
I try to imagine the young russian men who joined the military out of economic need; what a terrible position they find themselves in, hated by the world and putting their lives on the line for other people's agendas. 5k to surrender sounds like a good deal, but they need citizenship and protections or they are basically signing their own death warrants. I have no doubt Putin would execute defectors if given the chance.
Sean livingstone... telling lies, your nose is going to grow... Zelenskyy is not responsible for that law; it was passed by the Supreme Rada, Ukraine's parliament, under the previous Administration. in 2017, and didn't come into full effect until .2020
livingstone...so you admit you lied....
having a common officsl language is a problem for you. Russian wasn't banned. it's still spoken and understood by most Ukrainian but in Ukraine, Ukrainian is the official language. most countries have an official language. Russia has similar laws about Russian spoken in the Russian Federation. only a radical Russian nationalist would take issue against Ukraine.
Nuclear Plant Fire is now contained. I guess that means stocks soar a 1000 points...LOL
hi
hi
Nuclear Plant on fire? Well, you won't notice a few misfired Nukes in Ukraine now.
more stupidity from the dipstick putin
humans are dieing, this is not theater
Humans are dieing, many a life’s work destroyed for the vanity of one man, this is not theater. perhaps must have the opportunity to carry your own water, plant your own wheat and then watch it spill on the ground and burn to ash, left with nothing, your children burried, many foolish people on this site
Kabuki theater
Russian stock exchange lost 45% in a day and then closed its exchange but we are gradually inching same figures day by day
Another evening, another panic. A sea of red or a reversal off early gains set to stymie investors in the morning. Thanks Putin.
Putin now Trump a couple of years ago, Musk in between: All attention grabbers with a small ego.
Meanwhile Sleepy Joe just keep trying hard to get attention. LOL
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