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Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN)

Jakarta
Currency in IDR
Disclaimer
19,000
+125(+0.66%)
Closed

BYAN Comments

The 2021 CAPE ratio for the stock is 61.59x with an implied earnings yield of 1.62%, when compared to the 10 year gov. bond yield, the stock's risk premium would be in the negative indicating that the stock is relatively overvalued now, at least to that of the long term gov. bond. Expected catalyst for the decline of the stock price is that of the decline in coal prices as coal would eventually within the next 2 to 3 years head back down to its long term average prices aligning with economic fundamentals, this assumption is primarily based on an optimistic forecast regarding the declining intensity of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine which has been disrupting supply for coal for sometimes now, once the war begins to slow down coal prices should also drop due to the removal of disruption limiting the amoung of coals being supplied to the market.
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