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Hopes Dim For Trade Deal

Published 10/08/2019, 12:53 AM
UK100
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FCHI
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DJI
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DE40
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JP225
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HK50
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SSEC
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Chart-10-07-2019

Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements:

Index Futures Net Changes and Settlements

Foreign Markets, Fair Value and Volume:

  • In Europe 13 out of 13 markets are trading higher: CAC +0.25%, DAX +0.36%, FTSE +0.28%
  • Fair Value: S&P -0.47, NASDAQ +14.50, Dow -40.22
  • Total Volume: 1.49 million ESZ & 334 SPZ traded in the pit
  • *As of 7:00 a.m. CST

    Today’s Economic Calendar:

    Today’s economic calendar includes Neel Kashkari Speaks 10:20 AM ET, TD Ameritrade IMX 12:30 PM ET, Jerome Powell Speaks 1:00 PM ET, and Consumer Credit 3:00 PM ET.

    S&P 500 Futures: #ES Up 100 Handles In Two Days

    The S&P 500 futures (ESZ19:CME) rallied 98.75 handles from Thursday’s 2855.00 low to Friday’s high. During Thursday nights Globex session, the futures printed a low at 2896.75 right before the release of the jobs number, and the high at 2921.25 was printed right after.

    I could do a big blow by blow of the days trade, but why? After a rally up to the 2934.00 area at 9:00 CT, the ES sold off down to 2920.50 at 9:47, rallied up to 2938.50 at 10:51, then back and filled for a few hours. The futures shot up to 2953.50 at 2:56 when the MiM went from $200 million to sell, to $1.5 billion to buy, then back down to $500 million to buy.

    The ES went on to trade 2951.50 on the 3:00 cash close, and settled at 2951.00 on the 3:15 futures close, up +39.25 handles, or +1.35 % on the day.

    In the end, what can I say? Or, for that matter, what can anyone say? The decline and rally are both part of the overall pattern of selling off, getting people short (negative), and then reversing. I will say one thing, the 100 handle rally in 2 days is pretty astonishing, but not necessarily out of the realm of how things work.

    In terms of the days overall trade, 2 million mini S&P 500 futures contracts traded Thursday, and only 1.5 million traded on Friday.

    MEJT Stock Market Forecast

    Original Post

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