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Gold Slides While Energy Stocks Rally

Published 02/18/2021, 12:54 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Gold Slides to 3-month Low

Gold continued to weaken during yesterday's trading, falling at one point to $1,772.80 an ounce (spot price for Feb. 17), trading near the lowest levels since November. The weakness pulled the 50-day average for SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD), a proxy for the metal, under its 200-day average for the first time in two years—a bearish signal. 

According to Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at Oanda Corp.:

“A runaway rally in global bond yields has delivered a fatal blow to gold. Yields are rising on reflation bets, and that is triggering an unwind of many safe-haven trades.”

Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Research said:

"what gold really does is it protects you from an environment where inflation is much higher than the bond yields, and that’s what we’ve seen in 2020 is that gold over the past couple of years had a pretty big appreciation because it was protecting against that. Now, since about late summer 2020, negative real yields have been roughly flat.”

GLD Daily Chart

Energy Stocks Continue Rally; Goldman Bullish on Sector

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) turned bullish on energy shares as Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLE) closed at the highest level in nearly a year. Alessio Rizzi, an analyst at the investment bank, wrote that “adding energy equity exposure is attractive at this juncture, especially considering our constructive commodity view.”

XLE Daily Chart

Another Record High for iShares MSCI China ETF 

The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:MCHI) ticked up to another record high Wednesday. China’s stock market “will stay bullish,” predicts Kingston Lin, managing director of the asset management department at Canfield Securities in Hong Kong. “The only matter is how much it will rise.”

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MCHI Daily Chart

Latest comments

"50-day average for SPDR Gold Shares" James Picerno, you seem familiar with this particular gold fund. I've spent quite a bit of time doing my due diligence into GLD. Would you happen to know why there is a clause in the GLD prospectus that states GLD has no right to audit subcustodial gold holdings? The GLD managing organizations sure went out of their way to create this glaring audit loophole. What is the purpose of this loophole? Additionally, the GLD organizations promise that this fund is 100% backed by actual physical gold but yet they staunchly deny retail investors the right to any of their listed physical gold. There was a highly publicized visit by CNBC's Bob Pisani to GLD's gold vault. This visit was organized by GLD's management to prove the existence of GLD's gold but the gold bar held up by Mr. Pisani had the serial number ZJ6752 which did not appear on the most recent bar list at that time. It was later discovered that this "GLD" bar was actually owned by ETF Securities.
Even on the subject of GLD's insurance, they are not at all straightforward about it. Their representatives will not confirm nor deny the existence of GLD's insurance. I recommend anyone curious about this to confirm via calling GLD's publicly listed number for general inquiries at 866 320 4053 and ask about this clause from the GLD prospectus: "The Custodian maintains insurance with regard to its business on such terms and conditions as it considers appropriate which does not cover the full amount of gold held in custody." Exactly how much of the fund is insured? They will not give you a straight answer and might even throw in some bizarre excuse which I've experienced. Why hide this information from investors? The people behind GLD certainly do not seem like the most honest types.
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